Trading Signals: NUGT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ NUGT: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Oct. 14, 2015

Trading Signals: NUGT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Dec. 8, 2010 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Gold Miners Bull 3X ETF)
NUGT latest price $204.7600 (18.88%) ($181.5600 - $208.1200) on Wed. Oct. 14, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   10.87% (three month average)
RSI   69
Latest Price   $204.7600(18.88%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   NUGT advances 4.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   NUGT advances 23.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support NUGT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
GDX(97%)    SIL(89%)    GLD(74%)    SLV(61%)    BWX(43%)
Factors Impacting NUGT price   NUGT will decline at least -5.435% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-20%)    TBT(-17%)    XLRE(-0%)    XLF(2%)    VIXM(2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -5.435% (StdDev 10.87%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 11.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $178.22(14.89%)
10 Day Moving Average   $163.15(25.5%)
20 Day Moving Average   $142.41(43.78%)
To recent high   -22.8%
To recent low   94.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.12%

$. NUGT is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.12% a day on average for holding it.$. NUGT price fluctuates within 19.77% (three month std-dev: 10.87%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20151114

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_14_2015	217.72	142.41	163.15	178.22			204.76(18.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	39	-10000	8	133	1.6	54%	-0.99	71.9	10.87%	0	2.2	69	0
2	Oct_13_2015	219.9	138.08	154.17	170.46			172.24(1.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	33	-10000	1	127	0.85	52%	-0.22	74.7	10.62%	0	1.4	71	0
3	Oct_12_2015	220.39	134.74	147.99	169.57			169.4(-8.51%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	37	-10000	4	134	1.17	52%	-1.33	73.9	10.62%	0	1.4	69	0
4	Oct_9_2015	223.37	131.47	141.85	165.89			185.16(16.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	41	-10000	13	126	1.13	52%	-1.28	70.4	10.57%	0	2.3	65	0
5	Oct_8_2015	226.26	127.43	135.35	155.58			159.52(-3.88%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	34	-10000	14	95	1.22	50%	-1.42	63.7	10.38%	0	1.6	56	0

6	Oct_7_2015	229.52	124.69	132.06	145.28			165.96(-1.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.1	27	-10000	14	65	1.12	48%	-1.35	47.1	10.38%	0	2.1	59	0
7	Oct_6_2015	232.66	121.6	126	135.21			167.8(11.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	22	-10000	18	32	1.61	48%	-1.57	31.5	10.5%	0	2.8	62	0
8	Oct_5_2015	236.36	118.82	119.85	123.33			151(12.99%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.1	12	-10000	15	2	1.51	47%	-1.61	8.1	10.41%	0	2.4	65	0
9	Oct_2_2015	240.23	116.8	117.01	114.49			133.64(23.74%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.7	-2	-10000	3	-18	2.1	46%	-1.68	-21.4	10.36%	0	1.5	62	0
10	Oct_1_2015	244.33	115.68	117.25	112.56			108(-6.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-9	-10000	-7	-14	1.71	41%	-1.74	-33.2	9.92%	0	-0.7	54	0

11	Sep_30_2015	248.66	116.27	119.85	116.8			115.6(6.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	6	-10000	3	15	1.11	41%	-1.54	-17.7	9.93%	0	-0.1	58	0
12	Sep_29_2015	252.55	116.56	120.67	115.12			108.4(1.5%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	4	-10000	-1	17	0.64	41%	-1.46	-23.2	9.88%	0	-0.8	55	0
13	Sep_28_2015	256.3	117.74	120.77	115.44			106.8(-13.87%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-3	-10000	-7	10	0.98	41%	-1.44	-24.5	9.88%	0	-1	49	0
14	Sep_25_2015	260.04	117.74	120.94	119.52			124(-4.02%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	1	-10000	-5	20	1	43%	-1.32	-31.1	9.75%	0	0.4	57	0
15	Sep_24_2015	263.51	119.21	119.46	122.8			129.2(20.52%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.6	6	-10000	-2	30	1.76	43%	-1.25	-50.7	9.75%	0	0.9	60	0

16	Sep_23_2015	266.85	118.09	117.19	123.84			107.2(-2.55%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.5	3	-10000	-6	28	0.78	40%	-1.46	-72.8	9.36%	0	-1	46	0
17	Sep_22_2015	270.79	118.99	117.4	127.12			110(-13.52%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-1.6	9	-10000	1	34	1.15	40%	-1.48	-81.3	9.36%	0	-0.8	46	0
18	Sep_21_2015	274.85	120.41	118.2	126.4			127.2(-9.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	13	-10000	8	27	0.98	41%	-1.35	-89.1	9.25%	0	0.6	47	0
19	Sep_18_2015	278.62	122.77	116.8	122			140.4(4.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	10	-10000	12	3	1.52	42%	-1.25	-59.4	9.22%	0	1	50	0
20	Sep_17_2015	282.16	125.14	113.78	115.6			134.4(8.74%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	3	-10000	11	-23	2.02	43%	-1.43	-45	9.21%	0	0.4	55	0

21	Sep_16_2015	286.25	126.87	111.96	110			123.6(16.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-4	-10000	7	-37	1.57	43%	-1.38	-48.6	9.19%	0	-0.1	62	0
22	Sep_15_2015	290.26	128.66	111.56	106.72			106.4(1.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-17	-10000	-4	-54	0.7	40%	-1.25	-49.5	8.93%	0	-0.8	43	0
23	Sep_14_2015	293.92	131.79	114.06	108.88			105.2(-2.95%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-16	-10000	-4	-51	0.8	40%	-1.14	-44.3	8.93%	0	-1	37	0
24	Sep_11_2015	297.32	134.26	117.11	110.64			108.4(1.88%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-18	-10000	-2	-64	1.43	40%	-1.21	-40.3	8.93%	0	-0.9	29	0
25	Sep_10_2015	300.96	136.87	118.83	111.52			106.4(-0.75%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-27	-10000	-5	-93	0.84	40%		-35.5	8.92%	0	-1.1	26	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.