Trading Signals: NUGT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ NUGT: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Jan. 12, 2015

Trading Signals: NUGT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Dec. 8, 2010 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Gold Miners Bull 3X ETF)
NUGT latest price $691.8400 (11.3%) ($630.0000 - $718.0000) on Mon. Jan. 12, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   10.98% (three month average)
RSI   68
Latest Price   $691.8400(11.3%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   NUGT advances 5.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   NUGT advances 23% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support NUGT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
GDX(97%)    SIL(90%)    GLD(74%)    SLV(61%)    GDXJ(46%)
Factors Impacting NUGT price   NUGT will decline at least -5.49% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-21%)    TBT(-17%)    VIXM(1%)    XLF(2%)    UNG(2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -5.49% (StdDev 10.98%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 8.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $608.29(13.74%)
10 Day Moving Average   $540.4(28.02%)
20 Day Moving Average   $480.99(43.84%)
To recent high   -22.7%
To recent low   90.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.12%

$. NUGT is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.12% a day on average for holding it.$. NUGT price fluctuates within 18.94% (three month std-dev: 10.98%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150212

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_12_2015	804.05	480.99	540.4	608.29			691.84(11.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	41	-10000	11	130	0.45	53%	-1.3	32	10.98%	0	2.3	68	0
2	Jan_9_2015	814.67	470.38	514.05	574.48			621.6(13.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	33	-10000	9	106	0.41	50%	-1.37	23.6	10.93%	0	2	63	0
3	Jan_8_2015	826.01	464.44	492.09	546.94			547.6(-4.67%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	28	-10000	7	89	0.37	51%	-1.59	12.3	10.85%	0	1.2	64	0
4	Jan_7_2015	839.35	464.59	475.22	526.7			574.4(-5.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	26	-10000	9	77	0.41	50%	-1.54	6.6	11.17%	0	1.7	71	0
5	Jan_6_2015	852.5	460.13	456.11	501.82			606(15.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	28	-10000	15	65	0.53	51%	-1.55	-9	11.23%	0	2.2	70	0

6	Jan_5_2015	865.94	453.52	439.34	462.38			522.8(8.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	13	-10000	7	31	0.51	49%	-1.59	-27.9	11.09%	0	1.2	54	0
7	Jan_2_2015	879.91	453.16	432.96	445.34			483.88(8.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	9	-10000	7	15	0.41	47%	-2.91	-44.8	11.16%	0	0.6	49	0
8	Dec_31_2014	906.25	456.32	425.78	429.6			446.4(-0.8%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	2	-10000	6	-9	0.36	47%	-1.72	-54.2	11.11%	0	-0.2	44	0
9	Dec_30_2014	922.12	460.31	417.83	415.28			450(10.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-6	-10000	6	-40	0.51	47%	-1.59	-62.3	11.11%	0	-0.2	41	0
10	Dec_29_2014	936.99	466.16	411.01	402.8			408.8(-6.58%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-19	-10000	-4	-65	0.36	47%	-1.56	-65.3	11.05%	0	-0.8	45	0

11	Dec_26_2014	951.86	469.89	417.46	412.51			437.6(8%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-18	-10000	-3	-61	0.33	47%	-2.41	-71.1	11.03%	0	-0.5	48	0
12	Dec_24_2014	975.33	479.36	423.36	419.55			405.2(8.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-16	-10000	-1	-60	0.3	47%	-1.36	-57.5	10.9%	0	-1	42	0
13	Dec_23_2014	988.74	491.97	434.75	421.87			374.8(-3.3%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.6	-15	-10000	1	-61	0.43	47%	-1.34	-52.4	10.85%	0	-1.4	36	0
14	Dec_22_2014	1002.18	503.17	453.89	419.55			387.6(-15.25%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-15	-10000	0	-58	0.51	46%	-1.36	-54.9	10.87%	0	-1.4	40	0
15	Dec_19_2014	1015.96	514.93	465.71	418.47			457.36(-3.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-18	-10000	-2	-66	0.32	47%	-1.23	-53.8	10.74%	0	-0.7	42	0

16	Dec_18_2014	1028.6	522.17	469.28	423			472.8(13.44%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-18	-10000	-3	-63	0.46	47%	-1.3	-46.2	10.76%	0	-0.6	53	0
17	Dec_17_2014	1042.18	526.7	474.56	430.02			416.8(14.76%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-25	-10000	-9	-73	0.62	44%	-1.4	-41.7	10.61%	0	-1.4	39	0
18	Dec_16_2014	1056.93	539.49	488.94	452.02			363.2(-4.97%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-31	-10000	-16	-74	0.46	42%	-1.47	-25.4	10.44%	0	-2.2	32	0
19	Dec_15_2014	1072.66	551.56	507.02	493.78			382.2(-20.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-20	-10000	-9	-54	0.55	42%	-1.4	-4.5	10.44%	0	-2.4	40	0
20	Dec_12_2014	1087.85	561.3	527.42	517.74			480(-5.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-11	-10000	-1	-42	0.46	45%	-1.16	7.9	10.16%	0	-1.4	44	0

21	Dec_11_2014	1100.6	561.3	528.24	520.61			507.92(-3.58%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-15	-10000	-2	-52	0.43	45%	-1.2	12.7	10.15%	0	-0.9	47	0
22	Dec_10_2014	1113.94	561.93	540.62	525.34			526.8(-7.9%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-13	-10000	-3	-44	0.47	44%	-1.19	23.2	10.15%	0	-0.6	52	0
23	Dec_9_2014	1127.33	560.77	553.64	532.3			572(13.94%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-7	-10000	3	-38	0.48	44%	-1.19	30.3	10.13%	0	0.2	47	0
24	Dec_8_2014	1140.85	554.74	555.37	524.38			502(1.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-16	-10000	-6	-47	0.58	41%	-1.23	20.6	9.98%	0	-0.8	49	0
25	Dec_5_2014	1155.09	556.84	567.3	539.5			494.32(-7.01%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.7	-7	-10000	1	-31	0.42	41%		35.6	10.04%	0	-1	51	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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