Trading Signals: NUGT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ NUGT: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Apr. 4, 2014

Trading Signals: NUGT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Dec. 8, 2010 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Gold Miners Bull 3X ETF)
NUGT latest price $1500.8000 (2.43%) ($1478.0000 - $1574.0000) on Fri. Apr. 4, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   6.3% (three month average)
RSI   26
Latest Price   $1500.8000(2.43%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   NUGT advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   NUGT declines -12% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support NUGT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
GDX(97%)    SIL(90%)    GLD(74%)    SLV(62%)    GDXJ(51%)
Factors Impacting NUGT price   NUGT will decline at least -3.15% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-22%)    DIA(-0%)    XLF(2%)    UNG(2%)    XHB(5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -3.15% (StdDev 6.3%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -4.4%

Resistance Level   $1710.79
5 Day Moving Average   $1450.56(3.46%)
10 Day Moving Average   $1461.72(2.67%)
20 Day Moving Average   $1710.79(-12.27%)
To recent high   -34.9%
To recent low   34.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.04%

$. NUGT is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.04% a day on average for holding it.$. NUGT price fluctuates within 17.32% (three month std-dev: 6.3%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140504

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_4_2014	1495.24	1710.79	1461.72	1450.56			1500.8(2.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-28	-10000	1	-114	0.13	58%	-0.19	-44.1	6.3%	0	-0.7	26	0
2	Apr_3_2014	1498.03	1733.63	1485.96	1445.28			1465.2(-2.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-33	-10000	2	-138	0.15	58%	-0.12	-43.5	6.34%	0	-0.9	20	0
3	Apr_2_2014	1499.85	1765.07	1513.47	1437.36			1500(7.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-35	-10000	6	-159	0.17	60%	-0.08	-42.8	6.34%	0	-0.9	22	0
4	Apr_1_2014	1501.08	1791.54	1538.02	1412.64			1400.8(1.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-50	-10000	-7	-180	0.14	59%	-0.23	-45	6.45%	0	-1.3	26	0
5	Mar_31_2014	1504.49	1820.2	1594.36	1443.6			1386(-6%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-47	-10000	-6	-168	0.14	59%	-0.24	-45.7	6.5%	0	-1.6	34	0

6	Mar_28_2014	1508.08	1852.02	1661.87	1474			1474.4(3.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-48	-10000	-12	-155	0.15	57%	-0.16	-48.2	6.52%	0	-1.5	38	0
7	Mar_27_2014	1510.44	1875.22	1741.07	1534.96			1425.6(3.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-41	-10000	-13	-126	0.15	57%	-0.28	-48	6.57%	0	-1.8	34	0
8	Mar_26_2014	1514.7	1902.3	1825.09	1602.72			1376.4(-11.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-36	-10000	-14	-103	0.18	57%	-0.27	-48.6	6.56%	0	-2.4	28	0
9	Mar_25_2014	1518.75	1933.15	1901.24	1680.96			1555.6(1.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-32	-10000	-15	-83	0.11	60%	-0.2	-46.1	6.37%	0	-2	36	0
10	Mar_24_2014	1521.8	1957.26	1943.31	1767.92			1538(-13.56%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-30	-10000	-18	-64	0.19	62%	-0.11	-39.6	6.42%	0	-2.5	40	0

11	Mar_21_2014	1523.45	1986.18	1986.02	1876.64			1779.2(0.84%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-23	-10000	-17	-41	0.09	66%	-0.1	-25.6	6.17%	0	-1.5	45	0
12	Mar_20_2014	1525.02	2000.22	2006.55	1981.68			1764.4(-0.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-15	-10000	-16	-11	0.13	66%	-0.3	-0.6	6.23%	0	-1.8	49	0
13	Mar_19_2014	1529.62	2016.47	2041.95	2084.16			1767.6(-11.19%)	N/A	N/A	0	-2.6	-1	-10000	-10	27	0.22	66%	-0.21	36.2	6.22%	0	-2	48	0
14	Mar_18_2014	1532.9	2023.47	2070.92	2152.16			1990.4(-4.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-1.5	16	-10000	2	57	0.14	70%	-0.21	57.9	6.07%	0	-0.3	55	0
15	Mar_17_2014	1536.07	2025.9	2068.16	2140.96			2081.6(-9.67%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	17	-10000	5	53	0.12	70%	-0.11	69.3	6.07%	0	0.5	55	0

16	Mar_14_2014	1537.73	2022.12	2059.17	2106.72			2304.4(1.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	20	-10000	12	44	0.12	73%	0.07	82.3	5.88%	0	2.5	58	0
17	Mar_13_2014	1536.6	2001.1	2016.89	2036.88			2276.8(8.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.5	8	-10000	6	15	0.14	73%	0.2	102.7	5.93%	0	2.9	59	0
18	Mar_12_2014	1533.53	1972.74	1978.69	2001.04			2107.6(8.95%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	2	-10000	3	-3	0.14	72%	-0.05	111.5	5.87%	0	1.5	51	0
19	Mar_11_2014	1534.32	1960.89	1960.17	1983.92			1934.4(1.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-2	-10000	-0	-6	0.09	67%	0	134	5.81%	0	-0.3	57	0
20	Mar_10_2014	1534.25	1949.78	1966.63	1985.2			1910.4(-2.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-4	-10000	-3	-8	0.09	69%	0.07	124.1	6%	0	-0.4	46	0

21	Mar_7_2014	1533.22	1933.09	1983.14	2000.4			1955.2(-6.79%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	2	-10000	2	1	0.13	69%	0.08	101.9	6.13%	0	0.2	49	0
22	Mar_6_2014	1531.94	1907.97	1991.53	1988.64			2097.6(3.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	6	-10000	6	5	0.1	71%	0.35	76.5	6.09%	0	1	60	0
23	Mar_5_2014	1526.64	1874.8	1986.64	1952.56			2022(4.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	5	-10000	3	10	0.09	71%	0.23	59	6.09%	0	0.7	66	0
24	Mar_4_2014	1523.14	1848.64	1971.57	1934.96			1940.8(-2.3%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	-1	-10000	-2	3	0.08	72%	0.26	54.4	6.16%	0	0.4	55	0
25	Mar_3_2014	1519.2	1824.61	1980.96	1946.8			1986.4(4.75%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	3	-10000	-3	22	0.12	72%		54.4	6.22%	0	0.7	64	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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