Trading Signals: NUGT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ NUGT: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Nov. 7, 2013

Trading Signals: NUGT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Dec. 8, 2010 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Gold Miners Bull 3X ETF)
NUGT latest price $1701.2000 (-7.26%) ($1686.0000 - $1860.0000) on Thu. Nov. 7, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   9.4% (three month average)
RSI   51
Latest Price   $1701.2000(-7.26%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   NUGT declines -2.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   NUGT declines -6.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support NUGT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
GLD(74%)    LQD(26%)    PCY(25%)    TIP(24%)    EEM(22%)
Factors Impacting NUGT price   NUGT will decline at least -4.7% in a week (0% probabilities).
PEJ(8%)    XLY(10%)    XLK(10%)    XAR(11%)    SHY(12%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -4.7% (StdDev 9.4%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -3%

Resistance Level   $1899.71
5 Day Moving Average   $1769.12(-3.84%)
10 Day Moving Average   $1947.94(-12.67%)
20 Day Moving Average   $1899.71(-10.45%)
To recent high   -56.8%
To recent low   10%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.09%

$. NUGT is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.09% a day on average for holding it.$. NUGT price fluctuates within 12.21% (three month std-dev: 9.4%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20131207

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_7_2013	2441.53	1899.71	1947.94	1769.12			1701.2(-7.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-15	-10000	-5	-45	0.09	59%	-0.62	-1.8	9.4%	0	-0.9	51	0
2	Nov_6_2013	2456.83	1899.94	1998.17	1814.8			1834.4(3.92%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-14	-10000	-8	-30	0.08	55%	-0.69	0.5	9.35%	0	-0.3	54	0
3	Nov_5_2013	2473.81	1895.84	2015.32	1889.2			1765.2(-4.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-7	-10000	-7	-6	0.09	55%	-0.84	6.7	9.55%	0	-0.6	60	0
4	Nov_4_2013	2494.77	1894.89	2058.72	1952.56			1848.4(8.96%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-2	-10000	-9	19	0.1	55%	-0.8	11.8	9.54%	0	-0.2	58	0
5	Nov_1_2013	2514.81	1897.11	2070.6	2041.84			1696.4(-12.09%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.5	4	-10000	-11	47	0.16	55%	-0.93	20.6	9.51%	0	-0.9	59	0

6	Oct_31_2013	2538.4	1903.97	2089.32	2150.88			1929.6(-12.55%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	17	-10000	-5	82	0.12	58%	-0.78	30.5	9.45%	0	0.1	65	0
7	Oct_30_2013	2558.42	1898.77	2083.95	2204.08			2206.4(5.98%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	30	-10000	4	108	0.15	61%	-0.64	33.5	9.33%	0	1.3	67	0
8	Oct_29_2013	2574.88	1880.24	2025.43	2159.2			2082(-9.27%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	23	-10000	-2	96	0.1	61%	-0.83	24.1	9.3%	0	0.9	62	0
9	Oct_28_2013	2596.56	1867.78	1988.25	2179.53			2294.8(2.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	33	-10000	8	109	0.11	61%	-0.74	23.8	9.24%	0	2	68	0
10	Oct_25_2013	2615.93	1850.25	1915.24	2106.01			2241.6(2.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	28	-10000	9	85	0.1	61%	-0.99	14.7	9.25%	0	2	59	0

11	Oct_24_2013	2642.01	1836.37	1845.09	2020.09			2195.6(10.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	21	-10000	8	59	0.1	58%	-0.92	-1.7	9.25%	0	2	61	0
12	Oct_23_2013	2666.58	1824.81	1788.68	1947.37			1982(-9.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	17	-10000	9	40	0.1	56%	-0.97	-28.9	9.32%	0	0.9	56	0
13	Oct_22_2013	2692.82	1829.23	1761.31	1868.73			2183.64(13.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	14	-10000	12	19	0.13	59%	-1	-59.4	9.33%	0	2	59	0
14	Oct_21_2013	2719.93	1818.06	1709.48	1769.2			1927.2(6.36%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	5	-10000	9	-7	0.07	57%	-0.93	-85.3	9.47%	0	0.7	53	0
15	Oct_18_2013	2745.56	1821.8	1701.14	1696.32			1812(-1.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-1	-10000	7	-26	0.07	59%	-1.06	-90.6	9.56%	0	-0.1	42	0

16	Oct_17_2013	2775.09	1839.56	1697.85	1643.14			1832(15.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-7	-10000	5	-44	0.18	59%	-0.8	-71.9	9.56%	0	-0	42	0
17	Oct_16_2013	2797.48	1876.77	1694.1	1608.42			1588.8(-5.77%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-18	-10000	-4	-61	0.11	59%	-0.71	-51.5	9.42%	0	-0.9	28	0
18	Oct_15_2013	2817.51	1940.36	1721.99	1636.26			1686(7.88%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-16	-10000	-1	-61	0.13	59%	-0.41	-46.5	9.63%	0	-0.8	28	0
19	Oct_14_2013	2829.06	1970.89	1738.2	1641.78			1562.8(1.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-23	-10000	-8	-68	0.1	59%	-0.76	-49.9	9.58%	0	-1.2	26	0
20	Oct_11_2013	2850.78	2003.28	1782.54	1706.98			1546.08(-6.77%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-19	-10000	-6	-57	0.15	62%	-0.81	-55.7	9.61%	0	-1.4	25	0

21	Oct_10_2013	2874.15	2039.43	1831.43	1758.24			1658.4(-4.03%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-16	-10000	-4	-51	0.09	62%	-0.72	-64.9	9.95%	0	-1.3	23	0
22	Oct_9_2013	2895.1	2066.4	1868.54	1791.04			1728(0.84%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-18	-10000	-3	-61	0.13	62%	-0.64	-70	9.94%	0	-1.1	17	0
23	Oct_8_2013	2913.8	2108.92	1907.02	1819.68			1713.6(-9.28%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-21	-10000	-3	-75	0.13	62%	-0.77	-75.2	9.95%	0	-1.3	14	0
24	Oct_7_2013	2936.27	2150.31	1939.07	1848.1			1888.8(4.79%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-22	-10000	-3	-78	0.09	62%	-0.48	-75.6	9.91%	0	-0.8	43	0
25	Oct_4_2013	2950.54	2197.71	1953.56	1872.42			1802.4(-1.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-24	-10000	-5	-79	0.09	60%		-70	9.98%	0	-1.1	45	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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