Trading Signals: NUGT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ NUGT: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. May. 10, 2013

Trading Signals: NUGT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Dec. 8, 2010 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Gold Miners Bull 3X ETF)
NUGT latest price $4824.4000 (-1.3%) ($4360.0000 - $4840.0000) on Fri. May. 10, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   8.13% (three month average)
RSI   56
Latest Price   $4824.4000(-1.3%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   NUGT advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   NUGT declines -0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support NUGT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
GLD(75%)    LQD(27%)    PCY(26%)    TIP(25%)    EEM(24%)
Factors Impacting NUGT price   NUGT will decline at least -4.065% in a week (0% probabilities).
PEJ(8%)    XLY(9%)    XLK(10%)    XAR(11%)    SHY(12%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -4.065% (StdDev 8.13%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 7.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $4822.48(0.04%)
10 Day Moving Average   $4860.47(-0.74%)
20 Day Moving Average   $4739.62(1.79%)
To recent high   -69.5%
To recent low   23.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.07%

$. NUGT is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.07% a day on average for holding it.$. NUGT price fluctuates within 11.25% (three month std-dev: 8.13%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20130610

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_10_2013	12401.8	4739.62	4860.47	4822.48			4824.4(-1.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-0	-10000	0	-1	0.03	34%	-1.24	-124.7	8.13%	0	0.2	56	0
2	May_9_2013	12557.38	4821.76	4855.53	4812.8			4888(-4.83%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	2	-10000	1	4	0.03	34%	-1.24	-84.7	8.2%	0	0.1	59	0
3	May_8_2013	12715.51	4964.96	4893.41	4791.2			5136(16.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	7	-10000	3	17	0.03	34%	-1.25	-68.6	8.25%	0	0.1	63	0
4	May_7_2013	12877.01	5110.59	4888.58	4730.88			4420(-8.75%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	1	-10000	-8	27	0.02	30%	-1.38	-54.6	7.93%	0	-0.5	62	0
5	May_6_2013	13056.8	5344.51	4886.52	4882.08			4844(1.42%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	9	-10000	-1	40	0.01	31%	-1.32	-49.3	7.88%	0	-0.3	55	0

6	May_3_2013	13230.94	5513.19	4864.02	4904.4			4776(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	11	-10000	0	43	0.02	31%	-1.3	-50.3	7.77%	0	-0.4	53	0
7	May_2_2013	13404.73	5702	4833.79	4901.2			4780(-1.13%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-2	-10000	-5	7	0.02	31%	-1.42	-52.2	7.83%	0	-0.5	39	0
8	May_1_2013	13597.44	5897.1	4787.12	5008.4			4834.4(-6.6%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-11	-10000	-3	-36	0.02	31%	-1.26	-54.8	7.89%	0	-0.6	33	0
9	Apr_30_2013	13770.83	6061.18	4701.91	5069.52			5176(4.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-14	-10000	9	-84	0.02	31%	-1.24	-55.8	7.84%	0	-0.4	34	0
10	Apr_29_2013	13944	6266.25	4638.71	4890.32			4955.6(4.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-35	-10000	4	-153	0.01	31%	-1.18	-55.1	7.8%	0	-0.6	29	0

11	Apr_26_2013	14110.71	6544.37	4609.04	4816			4760(-10.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-46	-10000	4	-196	0.03	31%	-1.15	-57.1	7.75%	0	-0.8	34	0
12	Apr_25_2013	14274.46	6855.44	4778.73	4748			5316(3.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-44	-10000	12	-211	0.04	32%	-1.08	-55.3	7.73%	0	-0.6	35	0
13	Apr_24_2013	14429.92	7144.44	5018.36	4535.04			5140(20.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-44	-10000	15	-220	0.03	30%	-1.21	-54	7.76%	0	-0.8	33	0
14	Apr_23_2013	14605.96	7421.53	5313.04	4287.84			4280(-6.63%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-64	-10000	-4	-245	0.02	24%	-1.24	-55.6	7.3%	0	-1.2	29	0
15	Apr_22_2013	14788.88	7763.17	5804.98	4351.04			4584(3.71%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-59	-10000	-2	-230	0.02	24%	-1.31	-56.1	7.32%	0	-1.2	27	0

16	Apr_19_2013	14985.29	8110.4	6184.93	4375.84			4420(3.97%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-81	-10000	-26	-246	0.03	24%	-1.35	-56.1	7.33%	0	-1.4	23	0
17	Apr_18_2013	15190.71	8483.15	6620.65	4828.48			4251.2(8.89%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-88	-10000	-37	-240	0.03	24%	-1.33	-53.3	7.35%	0	-1.7	20	0
18	Apr_17_2013	15395.39	8830.02	7093.56	5599.04			3904(-15.06%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-85	-10000	-39	-224	0.04	21%	-1.3	-50.6	7.21%	0	-2.1	16	0
19	Apr_16_2013	15598.26	9201.73	7554.68	6503.84			4596(-2.38%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.9	-79	-10000	-37	-204	0.03	22%	-1.36	-49.4	7.03%	0	-2.2	21	0
20	Apr_15_2013	15813.51	9537.84	8064.84	7478.08			4708(-29.55%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.5	-61	-10000	-26	-165	0.04	22%	-1.34	-44.7	7.03%	0	-2.7	21	0

21	Apr_12_2013	16028.64	9865.82	8690.77	8231.68			6683.2(-17.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-50	-10000	-16	-150	0.02	26%	-0.61	-44.2	6.04%	0	-2.2	26	0
22	Apr_11_2013	16127.01	10082.5	9146.59	8654.24			8104(-3.84%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-38	-10000	-6	-134	0.01	28%	-1.04	-43	5.73%	0	-1.6	29	0
23	Apr_10_2013	16297.28	10208.69	9463.98	8811.84			8428(-10.98%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-28	-10000	2	-119	0.01	31%	-0.95	-45.5	5.72%	0	-1.6	38	0
24	Apr_9_2013	16452.99	10361.05	9701.74	8769.44			9467.2(11.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.7	-31	-10000	-0	-123	0.01	33%	-0.91	-43.1	5.68%	0	-0.8	42	0
25	Apr_8_2013	16604.2	10419.45	9855.27	8779.2			8476(-3.64%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-48	-10000	-19	-136	0.01	28%		-41.1	5.43%	0	-1.9	34	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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