Trading Signals: NUGT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ NUGT: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Apr. 5, 2013

Trading Signals: NUGT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Dec. 8, 2010 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Gold Miners Bull 3X ETF)
NUGT latest price $8796.0000 (-1.08%) ($8604.0000 - $9476.0000) on Fri. Apr. 5, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   5.41% (three month average)
RSI   37
Latest Price   $8796.0000(-1.08%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   NUGT declines -5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   NUGT declines -8.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support NUGT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
GLD(75%)    LQD(26%)    PCY(25%)    EEM(24%)    TIP(24%)
Factors Impacting NUGT price   NUGT will decline at least -2.705% in a week (0% probabilities).
PEJ(8%)    XLY(10%)    XLK(10%)    XAR(11%)    XLP(12%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.705% (StdDev 5.41%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -4.7%

Resistance Level   $10537.34
5 Day Moving Average   $9248(-4.89%)
10 Day Moving Average   $10161.34(-13.44%)
20 Day Moving Average   $10537.34(-16.53%)
To recent high   -58%
To recent low   7.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.03%

$. NUGT is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.03% a day on average for holding it.$. NUGT price fluctuates within 8.92% (three month std-dev: 5.41%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20130505

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_5_2013	16746.35	10537.34	10161.34	9248			8796(-1.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-41	-10000	-19	-106	0.02	28%	-0.78	-34.1	5.41%	0	-1.9	37	0
2	Apr_4_2013	16878.6	10634.98	10463.45	9736.8			8892(8.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1	-31	-10000	-18	-71	0.01	28%	-0.89	-25.3	5.46%	0	-2.1	39	0
3	Apr_3_2013	17029.64	10747.02	10682.12	10230.4			8216(-13.66%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.7	-24	-10000	-18	-41	0.01	22%	-1.14	-16.4	5.33%	0	-3.4	35	0
4	Apr_2_2013	17226.52	10841.54	10984.62	10747.2			9516(-12.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.3	-12	-10000	-11	-13	0.01	24%	-1.11	-20.1	5.28%	0	-2.5	36	0
5	Apr_1_2013	17419.61	10867.02	11145.63	11064			10820(-3.74%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-1	-10000	-5	11	0	27%	-1.81	-24.7	5.15%	0	-0.1	55	0

6	Mar_28_2013	17740.04	10867.3	11152.79	11204			11240(-1.06%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	3	-10000	-4	22	0	31%	-1.06	-24.4	5.3%	0	0.8	58	0
7	Mar_27_2013	17929.87	10854	11103.87	11316			11360(5.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	11	-10000	3	34	0	31%	-0.98	-22.6	5.3%	0	0.9	60	0
8	Mar_26_2013	18107.16	10870.59	11013.32	11228			10800(-2.7%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	5	-10000	-1	23	0	31%	-0.92	-18.5	5.26%	0	-0.1	50	0
9	Mar_25_2013	18275.1	10950.11	11069.98	11260			11100(-3.65%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	11	-10000	1	42	0	31%	-0.92	-19.3	5.26%	0	0.2	65	0
10	Mar_22_2013	18445.52	10993.2	11018.59	11228			11520(-2.37%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	17	-10000	5	51	0	31%	-1.12	-30.2	5.25%	0	0.8	68	0

11	Mar_21_2013	18654.48	10989.23	10926.11	11088			11800(8.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	17	-10000	8	43	0.01	31%	-1.18	-57.9	5.29%	0	1.2	58	0
12	Mar_20_2013	18876.43	10975.93	10793.05	10872			10920(-0.36%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	9	-10000	4	25	0	27%	-0.44	-88.5	5.17%	0	-0.1	50	0
13	Mar_19_2013	18960.18	10989.12	10793.71	10772			10960(0.18%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	-1	-10000	-3	7	0	27%	-0.45	-100.7	5.17%	0	-0	44	0
14	Mar_18_2013	19045.29	11083.65	10676.44	10856			10940(1.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-1	-10000	3	-13	0	27%	-1.06	-107.9	5.18%	0	-0.2	39	0
15	Mar_15_2013	19250.19	11206.41	10564.04	10776			10820(0.93%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-10	-10000	1	-41	0	27%	-1.09	-103.2	5.15%	0	-0.4	42	0

16	Mar_14_2013	19462.31	11408.96	10558.02	10736			10720(2.88%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-12	-10000	1	-51	0	27%	-0.95	-83.6	5.19%	0	-0.5	46	0
17	Mar_13_2013	19648.7	11611.48	10583.03	10700			10420(-8.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-19	-10000	-4	-62	0.01	26%	-1.04	-77.4	5.17%	0	-0.8	43	0
18	Mar_12_2013	19855.72	11866.25	10716.26	10808			11380(7.97%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-2	-10000	12	-45	0	31%	-1.12	-68.2	5.16%	0	-0.3	52	0
19	Mar_11_2013	20081.46	12052.53	10808.31	10472			10540(-0.75%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-13	-10000	6	-70	0	27%	-1.09	-69.5	5.17%	0	-0.8	36	0
20	Mar_8_2013	20301.96	12330.95	10955.48	10316			10620(0.76%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-25	-10000	-2	-94	0.01	27%	-1.06	-65.9	5.17%	0	-0.8	34	0

21	Mar_7_2013	20518.76	12620.56	11048.45	10356			10540(-3.83%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-34	-10000	-4	-122	0.01	27%	-1.2	-60.1	5.2%	0	-0.9	29	0
22	Mar_6_2013	20768.34	12914.38	11165.07	10456			10960(12.99%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-41	-10000	-6	-144	0.01	27%	-1.12	-56.5	5.21%	0	-0.9	31	0
23	Mar_5_2013	21003.66	13174.67	11191.75	10636			9700(-0.61%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-63	-10000	-21	-188	0	19%	-1.09	-54.2	4.89%	0	-1.5	19	0
24	Mar_4_2013	21234.3	13514.46	11528.14	11208.4			9760(-9.8%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-55	-10000	-16	-173	0.01	19%	-1.07	-48.9	4.97%	0	-1.7	23	0
25	Mar_1_2013	21463.66	13845.65	11917.45	11676.4			10820(-1.99%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-46	-10000	-5	-169	0	19%		-46.7	4.87%	0	-1.4	23	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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