Trading Signals: NUGT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ NUGT: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Nov. 28, 2012

Trading Signals: NUGT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Dec. 8, 2010 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Gold Miners Bull 3X ETF)
NUGT latest price $23900.0000 (2.22%) ($21500.0000 - $23960.0000) on Wed. Nov. 28, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   5.87% (three month average)
RSI   35
Latest Price   $23900.0000(2.22%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   NUGT advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   NUGT declines -7.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support NUGT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
GLD(75%)    LQD(26%)    PCY(25%)    EEM(24%)    TIP(24%)
Factors Impacting NUGT price   NUGT will decline at least -2.935% in a week (0% probabilities).
PEJ(8%)    XLY(9%)    XLK(10%)    XAR(11%)    XLP(12%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.935% (StdDev 5.87%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 9.2%

Resistance Level   $26167.72
5 Day Moving Average   $24436(-2.19%)
10 Day Moving Average   $23627.57(1.15%)
20 Day Moving Average   $26167.72(-8.67%)
To recent high   -37%
To recent low   11.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.03%

$. NUGT is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.03% a day on average for holding it.$. NUGT price fluctuates within 12.16% (three month std-dev: 5.87%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20121228

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_28_2012	26510.63	26167.72	23627.57	24436			23900(2.22%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-17	-10000	2	-75	0	54%	0.19	-43.3	5.87%	0	-0.7	35	0
2	Nov_27_2012	26459.91	26476.45	23892.69	24300			23380(-7.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-22	-10000	-1	-85	0	54%	0.1	-45.8	5.86%	0	-1	38	0
3	Nov_26_2012	26434.76	26842.74	24307.45	24390.56			25260(-0.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-12	-10000	10	-77	0	56%	0.15	-45.9	5.81%	0	-0.5	47	0
4	Nov_23_2012	26393.93	26995.43	24615.04	23734.56			25360(4.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-12	-10000	12	-85	0	56%	0.08	-56.9	5.81%	0	-0.5	45	0
5	Nov_21_2012	26372.69	27217.58	25027.55	22934.56			24280(4.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-25	-10000	3	-109	0	57%	-0	-66.9	5.79%	0	-0.9	34	0

6	Nov_20_2012	26373.11	27624.21	25514.24	22726.56			23220(-2.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-41	-10000	-11	-129	0	57%	0.05	-68.3	5.8%	0	-1.3	28	0
7	Nov_19_2012	26359.29	28034.91	26033.44	23466.56			23832.8(8.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-39	-10000	-11	-121	0	57%	0.08	-63.4	5.79%	0	-1.3	39	0
8	Nov_16_2012	26338.75	28403.94	26363.92	24272			21980(2.9%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-45	-10000	-19	-124	0	58%	0.08	-62	5.71%	0	-2	32	0
9	Nov_15_2012	26317.31	29014.57	26957.34	25656			21360(-8.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-42	-10000	-22	-100	0.01	58%	0	-56.6	5.84%	0	-2.7	38	0
10	Nov_14_2012	26316.69	29625.26	28003.55	27404			23240(-13.67%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-27	-10000	-15	-61	0.01	60%	0.07	-46.8	5.74%	0	-2.6	39	0

11	Nov_13_2012	26298.95	30061.45	28999.17	28648.84			26920(-3.37%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-11	-10000	-4	-33	0	65%	0.17	-46.6	5.47%	0	-1.5	40	0
12	Nov_12_2012	26254.01	30294.1	29341.97	28940.84			27860(-3.6%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.5	-6	-10000	2	-28	0	65%	0.24	-54.5	5.47%	0	-1.2	45	0
13	Nov_9_2012	26191.12	30547.44	29637.07	28753.24			28900(-3.99%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-5	-10000	4	-32	0	65%	0.27	-67.3	5.45%	0	-0.9	47	0
14	Nov_8_2012	26120.81	30738.37	29594.91	28465.24			30100(2.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.8	-18	-10000	-4	-60	0	65%	0.16	-72.4	5.43%	0	-0.3	43	0
15	Nov_7_2012	26079.99	30838.5	29564.56	28761.24			29464.2(3.82%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-24	-10000	-9	-67	0	65%	0.1	-73.8	5.44%	0	-0.7	44	0

16	Nov_6_2012	26052.73	31078.18	29850.1	29489.96			28380(5.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-15	-10000	-4	-49	0	67%	0.06	-68.4	5.44%	0	-1.4	46	0
17	Nov_5_2012	26037.88	31417.81	30143.89	29853.96			26922(-1.96%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-18	-10000	-9	-44	0	67%	0.05	-63.4	5.46%	0	-2.2	43	0
18	Nov_2_2012	26025.08	31889.16	30583.44	30621.56			27460(-13.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-10	-10000	-2	-33	0	67%	0.07	-56.1	5.47%	0	-2.3	41	0
19	Nov_1_2012	26006.31	32213.05	31241.97	30777.56			31580(-4.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-3	-10000	4	-25	0	72%	0.24	-54.2	5.19%	0	-0.3	48	0
20	Oct_31_2012	25943.22	32378.45	31370.18	30437.56			33107.8(9.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.4	-7	-10000	1	-31	0	72%	0.44	-53.4	5.19%	0	0.4	53	0

21	Oct_26_2012	25830.57	32493.68	31177.25	30336			30200(-1.82%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-14	-10000	-3	-46	0	70%	0.23	-46.8	5.07%	0	-1.1	40	0
22	Oct_25_2012	25771.38	32754.76	31301.04	30549.28			30760(8.92%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-14	-10000	-1	-54	0	72%	0.15	-49.2	5.11%	0	-0.9	39	0
23	Oct_24_2012	25732.19	33007.17	31506.9	30597.28			28240(-5.49%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-28	-10000	-14	-69	0	70%	0.05	-52.7	5.1%	0	-2.3	28	0
24	Oct_23_2012	25718.25	33276.83	31985.51	31749.28			29880(-8.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-18	-10000	-8	-49	0	70%	0.13	-56.6	5.04%	0	-1.9	42	0
25	Oct_22_2012	25684.31	33436.19	32237.92	32389.28			32600(4.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-8	-10000	3	-42	0	74%		-63.9	5%	0	-0.5	44	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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