Trading Signals: NUGT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ NUGT: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. May. 10, 2012

Trading Signals: NUGT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Dec. 8, 2010 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Gold Miners Bull 3X ETF)
NUGT latest price $20800.0000 (0.87%) ($20213.0000 - $21940.0000) on Thu. May. 10, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   5.12% (three month average)
RSI   33
Latest Price   $20800.0000(0.87%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   NUGT declines -1.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   NUGT declines -9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support NUGT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
GLD(75%)    EEM(25%)    LQD(25%)    PCY(25%)    VWO(24%)
Factors Impacting NUGT price   NUGT will decline at least -2.56% in a week (0% probabilities).
PEJ(8%)    XLY(10%)    XLK(11%)    XAR(11%)    SHY(12%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.56% (StdDev 5.12%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -3.2%

Resistance Level   $24591.17
5 Day Moving Average   $21016.4(-1.03%)
10 Day Moving Average   $23020.55(-9.65%)
20 Day Moving Average   $24591.17(-15.42%)
To recent high   -60%
To recent low   6.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.03%

$. NUGT is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.03% a day on average for holding it.$. NUGT price fluctuates within 10.95% (three month std-dev: 5.12%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120610

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_10_2012	37733.71	24591.17	23020.55	21016.4			20800(0.87%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-31	-10000	-5	-107	0	36%	-0.59	-58	5.12%	0	-1.4	33	0
2	May_9_2012	37956.63	25025.72	23546.67	21280.4			20620(5.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-38	-10000	-15	-107	0	36%	-0.6	-55.7	5.14%	0	-1.7	30	0
3	May_8_2012	38185.59	25348.05	24100.91	22152.4			19580(-10.1%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.1	-41	-10000	-23	-94	0	34%	-0.52	-58.5	5.07%	0	-2.4	24	0
4	May_7_2012	38384.13	25774.74	24621.4	23504.4			21780(-2.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-30	-10000	-15	-74	0	36%	-0.54	-67.8	4.94%	0	-2	27	0
5	May_4_2012	38593.09	26040.16	24901.89	24396.4			22302(0.82%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-27	-10000	-15	-63	0	36%	-0.47	-76.8	4.9%	0	-2.1	33	0

6	May_3_2012	38775.15	26257.69	25287.74	25328			22120(-11.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.1	-21	-10000	-12	-48	0	36%	-0.51	-88.7	4.94%	0	-2.7	28	0
7	May_2_2012	38975.56	26531.4	25777.67	26116			24980(-5.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-12	-10000	-3	-38	0	40%	-0.55	-111.4	4.79%	0	-1.3	31	0
8	May_1_2012	39191.61	26820.17	25964.48	26324			26340(0.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-2	-10000	7	-28	0	41%	-0.69	-94.7	4.82%	0	-0.3	50	0
9	Apr_30_2012	39465.77	27184.08	26069.69	25900			26240(-2.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-5	-10000	7	-40	0	41%	-0.85	-71.5	4.78%	0	-0.4	46	0
10	Apr_27_2012	39803.27	27485.49	26120.37	25488			26960(3.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-11	-10000	3	-52	0	44%	-0.79	-68.9	4.79%	0	-0.2	52	0

11	Apr_26_2012	40118.27	27709.13	26229.9	25284			26060(0.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-14	-10000	-2	-51	0	44%	-0.94	-67	4.86%	0	-0.6	51	0
12	Apr_25_2012	40498.9	27975.83	26548.48	25428			26020(7.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-12	-10000	-3	-39	0	51%	-0.93	-66.9	4.89%	0	-0.7	48	0
13	Apr_24_2012	40880.15	28332.83	26623.28	25596			24220(0.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-20	-10000	-10	-50	0	46%	-0.88	-62	5.36%	0	-1.4	32	0
14	Apr_23_2012	41243.48	28863.31	26987.84	26272.04			24180(-6.78%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-20	-10000	-7	-57	0	46%	-0.91	-51.6	5.41%	0	-1.5	27	0
15	Apr_20_2012	41622.02	29322.34	27277.93	26804.04			25940(-3.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-22	-10000	-7	-67	0	49%	-1.02	-49.8	5.4%	0	-1.1	35	0

16	Apr_19_2012	42051.4	29606.71	27333.04	27290.84			26780(-0.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-24	-10000	-7	-76	0	47%	-0.99	-51.5	5.39%	0	-1	39	0
17	Apr_18_2012	42470.36	29932.26	27382.92	27842.84			26860(-2.68%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-19	-10000	0	-77	0	47%	-0.79	-48.2	5.45%	0	-1	40	0
18	Apr_17_2012	42808.48	30270.39	27770.77	27810.84			27600.2(2.83%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-22	-10000	-0	-86	0	47%	-0.75	-55.5	5.44%	0	-0.9	37	0
19	Apr_16_2012	43131.81	30545.89	28382.21	27822.8			26840(-5.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-22	-10000	0	-88	0	47%	-0.7	-64.8	5.45%	0	-1.3	33	0
20	Apr_13_2012	43435.15	30898.15	28947.69	27794.8			28374(-3.95%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-18	-10000	6	-88	0	47%	-0.36	-77.6	5.46%	0	-0.9	41	0

21	Apr_12_2012	43593.68	31188.33	29271.25	27364			29540(10.64%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-19	-10000	6	-95	0	47%	-0.67	-91.2	5.46%	0	-0.6	48	0
22	Apr_11_2012	43885.89	31415.77	29451.82	26896			26700(-3.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-39	-10000	-12	-120	0	42%	-0.81	-102.2	5.28%	0	-1.6	37	0
23	Apr_10_2012	44244.42	31989.51	30126.42	27764			27660(3.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-40	-10000	-17	-108	0	42%	-0.73	-93.7	5.27%	0	-1.4	38	0
24	Apr_9_2012	44569.05	32555.49	30847.08	29100			26700(1.83%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-31	-10000	-15	-77	0	42%	-1.2	-83.2	5.28%	0	-1.8	37	0
25	Apr_5_2012	45110	33269.13	31531.12	30304			26220(-3.6%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-25	-10000	-14	-57	0	42%		-68.9	5.24%	0	-1.9	34	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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