Trading Signals: NUGT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ NUGT: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Mar. 8, 2012

Trading Signals: NUGT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Dec. 8, 2010 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Gold Miners Bull 3X ETF)
NUGT latest price $41300.0000 (3.77%) ($39660.2000 - $42180.0000) on Thu. Mar. 8, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   5.88% (three month average)
RSI   45
Latest Price   $41300.0000(3.77%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   NUGT declines -3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   NUGT declines -7.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support NUGT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
GLD(75%)    EEM(25%)    LQD(25%)    PCY(25%)    IGOV(24%)
Factors Impacting NUGT price   NUGT will decline at least -2.94% in a week (0% probabilities).
PEJ(9%)    XLY(10%)    XLK(11%)    XAR(11%)    SHY(12%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.94% (StdDev 5.88%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.5%

Resistance Level   $45696.13
5 Day Moving Average   $41568(-0.64%)
10 Day Moving Average   $45013.32(-8.25%)
20 Day Moving Average   $45696.13(-9.62%)
To recent high   -29.6%
To recent low   14.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.03%

$. NUGT is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.03% a day on average for holding it.$. NUGT price fluctuates within 7.82% (three month std-dev: 5.88%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120408

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_8_2012	52040.6	45696.13	45013.32	41568			41300(3.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-27	-10000	-10	-77	0	43%	-0.26	-55.8	5.88%	0	-1.2	45	0
2	Mar_7_2012	52175.19	46027.3	46019.25	42852			39800(0.86%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-19	-10000	-10	-47	0	43%	-0.43	-52.4	5.95%	0	-1.8	49	0
3	Mar_6_2012	52401.23	46491.3	47120.22	44232			39460(-6.89%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-19	-10000	-18	-21	0	45%	-0.42	-48	5.95%	0	-2.2	48	0
4	Mar_5_2012	52623.73	47007.79	48057.41	46732			42380(-5.61%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.6	-2	-10000	-9	18	0	47%	-0.42	-32.9	5.95%	0	-1.7	50	0
5	Mar_2_2012	52846.44	47399.87	48345.32	47968			44900(-5.91%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.2	3	-10000	-7	34	0	44%	-0.3	-25.6	5.91%	0	-1	53	0

6	Mar_1_2012	53006.65	47781.73	48507.87	48932			47720(2.18%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	7	-10000	-5	44	0	45%	-0.29	-8.3	6%	0	-0	52	0
7	Feb_29_2012	53161.08	47903.22	48078.9	49688			46700(-10.12%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	7	-10000	-5	44	0	49%	-0.29	4.8	6.17%	0	-0.4	50	0
8	Feb_28_2012	53315.67	48065.2	47794.86	50436			51960(7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	16	-10000	5	49	0	52%	-0.19	28.7	6.04%	0	1.3	56	0
9	Feb_27_2012	53414.63	47938.2	47030.77	49632			48560(-2.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	12	-10000	6	31	0	50%	-0.17	34.6	6.01%	0	0.2	48	0
10	Feb_24_2012	53506.08	48083.12	46667.52	48752			49720(-3.46%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	6	-10000	5	10	0	50%	-0.21	43.6	6.01%	0	0.6	48	0

11	Feb_23_2012	53616.92	48014.81	46371.74	47980			51500(2.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	7	-10000	12	-7	0	48%	-0.12	50.2	6.04%	0	1.2	45	0
12	Feb_22_2012	53679.21	47765.09	45905.19	46236			50440(5.21%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.5	0	-10000	11	-33	0	48%	-0.05	40.6	6.08%	0	1	49	0
13	Feb_21_2012	53703.79	47246.12	45640.79	44796			47940(8.56%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-10	-10000	5	-55	0	48%	-0.25	18	6.06%	0	0.2	45	0
14	Feb_17_2012	53840.87	46986.8	45710.29	44116			44160(-3.71%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-18	-10000	-1	-68	0	44%	-0.26	7.9	5.93%	0	-0.8	34	0
15	Feb_16_2012	53980.66	46843.09	46273.05	44272			45860(7.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-19	-10000	-2	-70	0	44%	-0.22	1.6	6%	0	-0.3	33	0

16	Feb_15_2012	54097.15	46599.68	46912.22	44544			42780(-1.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-21	-10000	-7	-63	0	41%	-0.38	-2.5	5.93%	0	-1	37	0
17	Feb_14_2012	54301.48	46651.19	47695.65	45508			43240(-2.92%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-18	-10000	-8	-47	0	41%	-0.37	1.2	5.93%	0	-0.9	45	0
18	Feb_13_2012	54505.4	46661.94	48408.26	46584			44540(-0.89%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-10	-10000	-7	-17	0	41%	-0.31	7.4	5.93%	0	-0.5	67	0
19	Feb_10_2012	54676.33	46695.6	48995.47	47528			44940(-4.83%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-3	-10000	-7	9	0	44%	-0.43	16	6.01%	0	-0.4	60	0
20	Feb_9_2012	54913.44	46784.06	49717.63	48540			47220(-0.8%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	5	-10000	-8	43	0	42%	-0.62	26.1	5.98%	0	0.1	67	0

21	Feb_8_2012	55254.06	46696.93	49896.84	49660			47600(-2.1%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	16	-10000	-4	77	0	42%	-0.67	36.1	6.02%	0	0.2	68	0
22	Feb_7_2012	55624.16	46604.61	49872.44	50224			48620(-1.3%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	22	-10000	-2	95	0	44%	-0.55	42.6	6.02%	0	0.5	62	0
23	Feb_6_2012	55929.53	46369.35	49075.87	50504			49260(-1.48%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	23	-10000	-1	96	0	44%	-0.55	50.9	6.08%	0	0.7	63	0
24	Feb_3_2012	56239.63	46065.34	48441.58	50668			50000(-5.34%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	22	-10000	-3	95	0	46%	-0.49	59.3	6.08%	0	1	59	0
25	Feb_2_2012	56514.89	45768.61	47523.43	51056			52820(4.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	28	-10000	6	94	0	46%		75.5	6.11%	0	1.8	59	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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