Trading Signals: NUGT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Feb. 2, 2012

Trading Signals: NUGT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Dec. 8, 2010 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Gold Miners Bull 3X ETF)
NUGT latest price $52820.0000 (4.76%) ($50780.0000 - $54060.0000) on Thu. Feb. 2, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   6.11% (three month average)
RSI   59
Latest Price   $52820.0000(4.76%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   NUGT advances 1.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   NUGT advances 9.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support NUGT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
GLD(75%)    EEM(25%)    LQD(25%)    PCY(25%)    IGOV(24%)
Factors Impacting NUGT price   NUGT will decline at least -3.055% in a week (0% probabilities).
PEJ(9%)    XLY(10%)    XLK(11%)    XAR(11%)    SHY(12%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -3.055% (StdDev 6.11%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $51056(3.46%)
10 Day Moving Average   $47523.43(11.15%)
20 Day Moving Average   $45768.61(15.41%)
To recent high   -29.7%
To recent low   46.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.04%

$. NUGT is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.04% a day on average for holding it.$. NUGT price fluctuates within 8.45% (three month std-dev: 6.11%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120302

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_2_2012	56514.89	45768.61	47523.43	51056			52820(4.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	28	-10000	6	94	0	46%	-0.45	75.5	6.11%	0	1.8	59	0
2	Feb_1_2012	56770.14	45302.46	46262.33	50208			50420(0.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	23	-10000	5	75	0	46%	-0.55	82.4	6.1%	0	1.5	59	0
3	Jan_31_2012	57081.48	44971.73	45496.57	49476			50020(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	28	-10000	15	65	0	45%	-0.53	84.8	6.1%	0	1.5	57	0
4	Jan_30_2012	57386.02	44428.14	44728.7	47368			50080(-3.58%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	17	-10000	11	35	0	45%	-0.61	65.9	6.14%	0	1.8	61	0
5	Jan_27_2012	57739.42	43825.97	44130.77	45812			51940(6.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	18	-10000	17	21	0	45%	-0.61	46.1	6.16%	0	2.6	65	0

6	Jan_26_2012	58095.09	43022.06	43467.74	43472			48580(3.89%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.8	9	-10000	13	-5	0	43%	-0.61	16.6	6.11%	0	2	58	0
7	Jan_25_2012	58453.65	42590.15	43070.29	41792			46760(18.44%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.7	-2	-10000	6	-27	0	43%	-0.64	2.3	6.09%	0	1.4	56	0
8	Jan_24_2012	58828.08	42341.17	42904.13	41040			39480(-6.67%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-14	-10000	-5	-41	0	39%	-0.34	-4.4	5.65%	0	-1	38	0
9	Jan_23_2012	59029.63	42440.43	43380.66	41676			42300(5.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-9	-10000	-4	-22	0	41%	-0.7	3.9	5.68%	0	-0.1	62	0
10	Jan_20_2012	59444.42	42436.87	43489.54	42176			40240(0.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-9	-10000	-10	-7	0	41%	-0.66	10.3	5.66%	0	-0.8	62	0

11	Jan_19_2012	59842.13	42566.11	43935.87	43432			40180(-6.56%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.2	2	-10000	-8	30	0	38%	-0.63	18.2	5.66%	0	-0.9	66	0
12	Jan_18_2012	60224.42	42522.78	44380	44480			43000(0.8%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	11	-10000	-4	55	0	39%	-0.59	6.4	5.79%	0	0.2	58	0
13	Jan_17_2012	60582.13	42464.45	44529.45	45040			42660(-4.78%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	16	-10000	-2	70	0	39%	-0.81	-15.4	5.8%	0	0.1	53	0
14	Jan_13_2012	61073.86	42332.27	44253.14	45288			44800(-3.7%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	20	-10000	2	73	0	41%	-0.47	-39.7	5.8%	0	0.9	59	0
15	Jan_12_2012	61362.31	42149.78	43630.11	44972			46520(2.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	18	-10000	3	61	0	41%	-0.39	-74.8	5.8%	0	1.6	59	0

16	Jan_11_2012	61605.4	42064.53	42615.6	44544			45420(-0.83%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	12	-10000	2	41	0	41%	-0.47	-111.5	5.79%	0	1.3	56	0
17	Jan_10_2012	61898.19	42350.8	42090.55	44296			45800(4.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	12	-10000	2	43	0	44%	-0.55	-123.9	5.79%	0	1.3	65	0
18	Jan_9_2012	62243.34	42887.47	41684.7	44000			43900(1.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	17	-10000	8	43	0	44%	-0.49	-98.4	5.84%	0	0.3	55	0
19	Jan_6_2012	62548.08	43472.82	41372.26	43048			43220(-2.61%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	14	-10000	8	33	0	44%	-0.44	-80.1	5.87%	0	-0.1	58	0
20	Jan_5_2012	62823.75	44345.12	41237.8	42012			44380(0.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	16	-10000	14	23	0	46%	-0.46	-75.3	5.9%	0	0	56	0

21	Jan_4_2012	63112.62	45164.29	41007.12	40336			44180(-0.32%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	3	-10000	7	-10	0	45%	-0.44	-65.7	6%	0	-0.1	48	0
22	Jan_3_2012	63391.18	45847.17	40438.11	39564			44320(13.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-11	-10000	3	-51	0	45%	-0.54	-60.2	6.06%	0	-0.2	40	0
23	Dec_30_2011	63736.98	46594.03	40129.58	39148			39140(2.89%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-26	-10000	-3	-95	0	41%	-0.5	-54.7	5.83%	0	-0.8	28	0
24	Dec_29_2011	64058.2	47936.04	40210.59	39520			38040(5.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-37	-10000	-7	-127	0	41%	-0.5	-46.6	5.81%	0	-1	28	0
25	Dec_28_2011	64381.27	49347.76	40558.68	40352			36000(-10.71%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-48	-10000	-11	-159	0	39%		-41	5.76%	0	-1.3	22	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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