Trading Signals: NUGT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ NUGT: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Nov. 25, 2011

Trading Signals: NUGT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Dec. 8, 2010 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Gold Miners Bull 3X ETF)
NUGT latest price $55960.0000 (-2.34%) ($55900.0000 - $58080.0000) on Fri. Nov. 25, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   5% (three month average)
RSI   32
Latest Price   $55960.0000(-2.34%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   NUGT declines -2.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   NUGT declines -9.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support NUGT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
GLD(75%)    EEM(26%)    LQD(25%)    PCY(25%)    REMX(25%)
Factors Impacting NUGT price   NUGT will decline at least -2.5% in a week (0% probabilities).
PEJ(9%)    XLY(11%)    XLK(12%)    XAR(12%)    SHY(12%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.5% (StdDev 5%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.6%

Resistance Level   $66323.82
5 Day Moving Average   $58652(-4.59%)
10 Day Moving Average   $63345.27(-11.66%)
20 Day Moving Average   $66323.82(-15.63%)
To recent high   -35.3%
To recent low   6%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.03%

$. NUGT is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.03% a day on average for holding it.$. NUGT price fluctuates within 8.24% (three month std-dev: 5%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20111225

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_25_2011	68113.17	66323.82	63345.27	58652			55960(-2.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-36	-10000	-9	-115	0	44%	-0.02	-18.6	5%	0	-1.9	32	0
2	Nov_23_2011	68128.24	66881.15	64600.21	59952			57300(-5.69%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-38	-10000	-14	-111	0	41%	-0.06	-2.3	5.02%	0	-2	33	0
3	Nov_22_2011	68166.14	67261.73	65830.54	62092			60760(3.86%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-31	-10000	-12	-89	0	45%	-0.11	20.3	5.04%	0	-1.5	44	0
4	Nov_21_2011	68240.95	67401.6	67081.04	64020			58500(-3.69%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-26	-10000	-14	-60	0	45%	0.02	33	5.11%	0	-1.9	46	0
5	Nov_18_2011	68230.04	67533.25	68771.1	66344			60740(-2.75%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-17	-10000	-14	-24	0	47%	0.02	43.4	5.13%	0	-1.4	48	0

6	Nov_17_2011	68214.89	67352.37	69842.87	68739.6			62460(-8.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-4	-10000	-6	4	0	47%	0.05	44.3	5.14%	0	-0.9	44	0
7	Nov_16_2011	68179.05	66993.59	70837.29	69847.6			68000(-3.41%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	6	-10000	-1	26	0	49%	0.17	40.8	5.04%	0	0.2	56	0
8	Nov_15_2011	68062.89	66362.68	70852.49	70067.6			70400(0.4%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	6	-10000	-3	34	0	50%	0.23	35.5	5.03%	0	0.7	62	0
9	Nov_14_2011	67905.92	65916.01	70352.4	70655.6			70120(-3.57%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	7	-10000	-5	44	0	50%	0.23	38.8	5.08%	0	0.7	63	0
10	Nov_11_2011	67753.39	65449.62	69892.88	71651.6			72718(6.94%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	19	-10000	2	68	0	50%	0.22	44.1	5.07%	0	1.2	70	0

11	Nov_10_2011	67605.13	64964.7	69489.49	71232			68000(-1.59%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	19	-10000	-4	89	0	50%	0.12	49.1	5%	0	0.5	72	0
12	Nov_9_2011	67520.89	64582.35	69321.93	71964			69100(-5.78%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	33	-10000	2	124	0	53%	0.16	53.6	5.06%	0	0.8	76	0
13	Nov_8_2011	67410.18	64235.77	68809.98	71636			73340(-2.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	44	-10000	10	144	0	54%	0.28	57.6	5.09%	0	1.6	79	0
14	Nov_7_2011	67219.47	63603.95	67707.52	69916			75100(6.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	42	-10000	12	132	0	54%	0.32	60.5	5.08%	0	2.1	65	0
15	Nov_4_2011	67005.33	62863.82	66111.3	67892			70620(-1.45%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	29	-10000	2	108	0	49%	0.26	60.3	5.03%	0	1.6	63	0

16	Nov_3_2011	66833.21	62181.77	64603.91	67560			71660(6.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	28	-10000	7	91	0	49%	0.23	62.4	5.23%	0	2.1	59	0
17	Nov_2_2011	66677.45	61569.5	62787.12	66388			67460(4.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	21	-10000	5	69	0	49%	0.16	64.8	5.18%	0	1.5	60	0
18	Nov_1_2011	66570.58	61056.46	61485.41	65576			64740(-0.37%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	14	-10000	3	46	0	49%	0.15	58	5.18%	0	0.9	53	0
19	Oct_31_2011	66473.07	60480.26	61115.47	65080			64980(-5.77%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	16	-10000	7	43	0	49%	0.12	44.3	5.18%	0	1.1	55	0
20	Oct_28_2011	66392.26	60058.59	60650.24	63932			68960(4.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	22	-10000	18	34	0	49%	0.15	30.4	5.16%	0	2.2	60	0

21	Oct_27_2011	66292.14	59479.18	59994.68	61148			65800(3.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	17	-10000	17	15	0	47%	0.13	8.8	5.13%	0	1.8	63	0
22	Oct_26_2011	66204.05	59046.91	59368.31	58644			63400(1.83%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.5	6	-10000	13	-14	0	47%	0.06	-25.9	5.16%	0	1.4	55	0
23	Oct_25_2011	66167.49	58719.03	59203	56808			62260(5.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.7	-7	-10000	1	-30	0	47%	0.03	-73	5.15%	0	1.1	58	0
24	Oct_24_2011	66146.28	58694.77	59072.95	56656			59240(7.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.8	-6	-10000	-2	-19	0	47%	-0.07	-100.5	5.12%	0	0.2	62	0
25	Oct_21_2011	66193.55	58858.01	59272.61	56972			55040(3.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-12	-10000	-12	-11	0	45%		-116.9	5.03%	0	-1.2	51	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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