Trading Signals: NUGT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ NUGT: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Oct. 25, 2011

Trading Signals: NUGT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Dec. 8, 2010 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Gold Miners Bull 3X ETF)
NUGT latest price $62260.0000 (5.1%) ($56925.0000 - $63874.4000) on Tue. Oct. 25, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   5.15% (three month average)
RSI   58
Latest Price   $62260.0000(5.1%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   NUGT advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   NUGT declines -2.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support NUGT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
GLD(75%)    EEM(26%)    LQD(25%)    PCY(25%)    REMX(25%)
Factors Impacting NUGT price   NUGT will decline at least -2.575% in a week (0% probabilities).
PEJ(10%)    XLY(11%)    SHY(11%)    XAR(12%)    XLK(13%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.575% (StdDev 5.15%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 4.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $56808(9.6%)
10 Day Moving Average   $59203(5.16%)
20 Day Moving Average   $58719.03(6.03%)
To recent high   -28%
To recent low   17.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.03%

$. NUGT is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.03% a day on average for holding it.$. NUGT price fluctuates within 5.38% (three month std-dev: 5.15%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20111125

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_25_2011	66167.49	58719.03	59203	56808			62260(5.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.7	-7	-10000	1	-30	0	47%	0.03	-73	5.15%	0	1.1	58	0
2	Oct_24_2011	66146.28	58694.77	59072.95	56656			59240(7.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.8	-6	-10000	-2	-19	0	47%	-0.07	-100.5	5.12%	0	0.2	62	0
3	Oct_21_2011	66193.55	58858.01	59272.61	56972			55040(3.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-12	-10000	-12	-11	0	45%	-0.14	-116.9	5.03%	0	-1.2	51	0
4	Oct_20_2011	66286.68	59172.68	59576.67	58716			53280(-1.73%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.5	-5	-10000	-9	8	0	45%	-0.18	-113.4	5.01%	0	-1.6	46	0
5	Oct_19_2011	66407.69	59894.12	60355.19	60116			54220(-11.84%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-1	-10000	-11	29	0	45%	-0.21	-76.1	5.02%	0	-1	48	0

6	Oct_18_2011	66544.36	61122.54	60784.39	61781.2			61500(1.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	14	-10000	-0	56	0	48%	-0.08	-52.3	4.82%	0	0.1	58	0
7	Oct_17_2011	66595.83	62104.11	59983.04	61789.2			60820(-4.61%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	9	-10000	-1	38	0	48%	-0.1	-46.3	4.83%	0	-0.2	48	0
8	Oct_14_2011	66660.73	62900.39	59590.22	61917.2			63760(5.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	15	-10000	9	32	0	48%	-0.02	-43.2	4.81%	0	0.1	51	0
9	Oct_13_2011	66676.96	63591.47	58997.57	60633.2			60280(-3.62%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	2	-10000	-0	8	0	49%	-0.08	-47.4	4.76%	0	-0.4	50	0
10	Oct_12_2011	66728.8	64367.19	58736	60649.2			62546(1.63%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	3	-10000	7	-8	0	51%	-0.03	-50.1	4.82%	0	-0.2	43	0

11	Oct_11_2011	66746.08	65064.93	58164.35	59636			61540(0.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-6	-10000	12	-59	0	51%	0	-52.8	4.87%	0	-0.4	32	0
12	Oct_10_2011	66745.06	65963.15	58183.82	57888			61460(7.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-23	-10000	7	-114	0	51%	-0.01	-56.5	4.88%	0	-0.4	30	0
13	Oct_7_2011	66755.06	66828.94	58252.44	56936			57340(-5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-40	-10000	-1	-155	0	48%	-0.07	-57.2	4.8%	0	-0.9	31	0
14	Oct_6_2011	66803.22	68149.44	58615.08	57116			60360(5.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-42	-10000	4	-181	0	50%	-0.02	-53.6	4.76%	0	-0.7	32	0
15	Oct_5_2011	66815.06	69409.43	59262.07	56588			57480(8.86%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-51	-10000	0	-202	0	50%	-0.05	-51.3	4.73%	0	-1.1	32	0

16	Oct_4_2011	66847.71	70706.7	61358.68	56524			52800(-6.88%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-62	-10000	-14	-205	0	48%	-0.1	-50.5	4.67%	0	-1.6	24	0
17	Oct_3_2011	66916.49	72266.88	64321.89	58484			56700(-2.64%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-52	-10000	-9	-180	0	50%	-0.04	-46.5	4.63%	0	-1.5	25	0
18	Sep_30_2011	66940.37	73583.22	66441.45	59748			58240(0.9%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-45	-10000	-4	-168	0	50%	-0.03	-44	4.63%	0	-1.5	28	0
19	Sep_29_2011	66958.12	74662.08	68534.86	60324			57720(0.98%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-54	-10000	-14	-173	0	51%	-0.04	-43.6	4.63%	0	-1.8	24	0
20	Sep_28_2011	66987.92	75712.19	70495.03	62368			57160(-8.69%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-66	-10000	-30	-173	0	51%	-0.12	-39.4	4.66%	0	-2.2	22	0

21	Sep_27_2011	67067.92	76824.72	72638.99	66988			62600(-0.67%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-56	-10000	-26	-145	0	54%	-0.05	-27.8	4.54%	0	-1.9	30	0
22	Sep_26_2011	67101.39	77527.59	74492	71168			63020(3.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-41	-10000	-18	-110	0	54%	-0.01	-17.2	4.54%	0	-2.2	31	0
23	Sep_23_2011	67107.31	78280.85	76242.02	74212			61120(-10.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.3	-37	-10000	-20	-88	0	52%	-0.04	-3.2	4.57%	0	-3.1	29	0
24	Sep_22_2011	67130.98	78993.48	78673.89	77856			67940(-15.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.3	-19	-10000	-10	-45	0	56%	-0.01	23.2	4.4%	0	-2.6	41	0
25	Sep_21_2011	67137.28	79212.06	80579.82	79608			80260(-3.88%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-1	-10000	3	-12	0	65%		35	3.95%	0	0.3	57	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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