Trading Signals: NUGT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ NUGT: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Oct. 19, 2011

Trading Signals: NUGT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Dec. 8, 2010 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Gold Miners Bull 3X ETF)
NUGT latest price $54220.0000 (-11.84%) ($54000.0000 - $60600.0000) on Wed. Oct. 19, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   5.02% (three month average)
RSI   48
Latest Price   $54220.0000(-11.84%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   NUGT declines -2.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   NUGT advances 2.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support NUGT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
GLD(75%)    EEM(26%)    LQD(25%)    PCY(25%)    REMX(25%)
Factors Impacting NUGT price   NUGT will decline at least -2.51% in a week (0% probabilities).
PEJ(10%)    XLY(11%)    SHY(11%)    XAR(12%)    XLK(13%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.51% (StdDev 5.02%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -10.5%

Resistance Level   $59894.12
5 Day Moving Average   $60116(-9.81%)
10 Day Moving Average   $60355.19(-10.17%)
20 Day Moving Average   $59894.12(-9.47%)
To recent high   -37.3%
To recent low   2.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.03%

$. NUGT is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.03% a day on average for holding it.$. NUGT price fluctuates within 9.13% (three month std-dev: 5.02%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20111119

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_19_2011	66407.69	59894.12	60355.19	60116			54220(-11.84%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-1	-10000	-11	29	0	45%	-0.21	-76.1	5.02%	0	-1	48	0
2	Oct_18_2011	66544.36	61122.54	60784.39	61781.2			61500(1.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	14	-10000	-0	56	0	48%	-0.08	-52.3	4.82%	0	0.1	58	0
3	Oct_17_2011	66595.83	62104.11	59983.04	61789.2			60820(-4.61%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	9	-10000	-1	38	0	48%	-0.1	-46.3	4.83%	0	-0.2	48	0
4	Oct_14_2011	66660.73	62900.39	59590.22	61917.2			63760(5.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	15	-10000	9	32	0	48%	-0.02	-43.2	4.81%	0	0.1	51	0
5	Oct_13_2011	66676.96	63591.47	58997.57	60633.2			60280(-3.62%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	2	-10000	-0	8	0	49%	-0.08	-47.4	4.76%	0	-0.4	50	0

6	Oct_12_2011	66728.8	64367.19	58736	60649.2			62546(1.63%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	3	-10000	7	-8	0	51%	-0.03	-50.1	4.82%	0	-0.2	43	0
7	Oct_11_2011	66746.08	65064.93	58164.35	59636			61540(0.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-6	-10000	12	-59	0	51%	0	-52.8	4.87%	0	-0.4	32	0
8	Oct_10_2011	66745.06	65963.15	58183.82	57888			61460(7.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-23	-10000	7	-114	0	51%	-0.01	-56.5	4.88%	0	-0.4	30	0
9	Oct_7_2011	66755.06	66828.94	58252.44	56936			57340(-5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-40	-10000	-1	-155	0	48%	-0.07	-57.2	4.8%	0	-0.9	31	0
10	Oct_6_2011	66803.22	68149.44	58615.08	57116			60360(5.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-42	-10000	4	-181	0	50%	-0.02	-53.6	4.76%	0	-0.7	32	0

11	Oct_5_2011	66815.06	69409.43	59262.07	56588			57480(8.86%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-51	-10000	0	-202	0	50%	-0.05	-51.3	4.73%	0	-1.1	32	0
12	Oct_4_2011	66847.71	70706.7	61358.68	56524			52800(-6.88%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-62	-10000	-14	-205	0	48%	-0.1	-50.5	4.67%	0	-1.6	24	0
13	Oct_3_2011	66916.49	72266.88	64321.89	58484			56700(-2.64%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-52	-10000	-9	-180	0	50%	-0.04	-46.5	4.63%	0	-1.5	25	0
14	Sep_30_2011	66940.37	73583.22	66441.45	59748			58240(0.9%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-45	-10000	-4	-168	0	50%	-0.03	-44	4.63%	0	-1.5	28	0
15	Sep_29_2011	66958.12	74662.08	68534.86	60324			57720(0.98%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-54	-10000	-14	-173	0	51%	-0.04	-43.6	4.63%	0	-1.8	24	0

16	Sep_28_2011	66987.92	75712.19	70495.03	62368			57160(-8.69%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-66	-10000	-30	-173	0	51%	-0.12	-39.4	4.66%	0	-2.2	22	0
17	Sep_27_2011	67067.92	76824.72	72638.99	66988			62600(-0.67%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-56	-10000	-26	-145	0	54%	-0.05	-27.8	4.54%	0	-1.9	30	0
18	Sep_26_2011	67101.39	77527.59	74492	71168			63020(3.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-41	-10000	-18	-110	0	54%	-0.01	-17.2	4.54%	0	-2.2	31	0
19	Sep_23_2011	67107.31	78280.85	76242.02	74212			61120(-10.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.3	-37	-10000	-20	-88	0	52%	-0.04	-3.2	4.57%	0	-3.1	29	0
20	Sep_22_2011	67130.98	78993.48	78673.89	77856			67940(-15.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.3	-19	-10000	-10	-45	0	56%	-0.01	23.2	4.4%	0	-2.6	41	0

21	Sep_21_2011	67137.28	79212.06	80579.82	79608			80260(-3.88%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-1	-10000	3	-12	0	65%	0.18	35	3.95%	0	0.3	57	0
22	Sep_20_2011	67015.03	78910.83	80867.96	79072			83500(6.72%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	1	-10000	4	-7	0	65%	0.16	33.4	3.98%	0	1.1	61	0
23	Sep_19_2011	66907.48	78669.59	80774.51	78496			78240(-1.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-2	-10000	-2	-1	0	63%	0	38.5	3.91%	0	-0.1	60	0
24	Sep_16_2011	66906.87	78459.08	81183.21	78760			79340(3.44%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-2	-10000	-6	10	0	61%	0.05	44.6	3.9%	0	0.2	58	0
25	Sep_15_2011	66871.77	78027.92	81143.74	79764			76700(-1.13%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-2	-10000	-12	29	0	61%		47.2	3.94%	0	-0.3	61	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.