Trading Signals: NUGT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ NUGT: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Oct. 7, 2011

Trading Signals: NUGT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Dec. 8, 2010 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Gold Miners Bull 3X ETF)
NUGT latest price $57340.0000 (-5%) ($56000.0000 - $61558.0000) on Fri. Oct. 7, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.8% (three month average)
RSI   31
Latest Price   $57340.0000(-5%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   NUGT declines -0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   NUGT declines -12.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support NUGT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
GLD(75%)    EEM(27%)    LQD(25%)    PCY(25%)    REMX(25%)
Factors Impacting NUGT price   NUGT will decline at least -2.4% in a week (0% probabilities).
XAR(4%)    PEJ(10%)    XLY(11%)    SHY(11%)    XLK(13%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.4% (StdDev 4.8%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -6.6%

Resistance Level   $66828.94
5 Day Moving Average   $56936(0.71%)
10 Day Moving Average   $58252.44(-1.57%)
20 Day Moving Average   $66828.94(-14.2%)
To recent high   -33.7%
To recent low   8.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.02%

$. NUGT is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.02% a day on average for holding it.$. NUGT price fluctuates within 16.04% (three month std-dev: 4.8%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20111107

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_7_2011	66755.06	66828.94	58252.44	56936			57340(-5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-40	-10000	-1	-155	0	48%	-0.07	-57.2	4.8%	0	-0.9	31	0
2	Oct_6_2011	66803.22	68149.44	58615.08	57116			60360(5.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-42	-10000	4	-181	0	50%	-0.02	-53.6	4.76%	0	-0.7	32	0
3	Oct_5_2011	66815.06	69409.43	59262.07	56588			57480(8.86%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-51	-10000	0	-202	0	50%	-0.05	-51.3	4.73%	0	-1.1	32	0
4	Oct_4_2011	66847.71	70706.7	61358.68	56524			52800(-6.88%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-62	-10000	-14	-205	0	48%	-0.1	-50.5	4.67%	0	-1.6	24	0
5	Oct_3_2011	66916.49	72266.88	64321.89	58484			56700(-2.64%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-52	-10000	-9	-180	0	50%	-0.04	-46.5	4.63%	0	-1.5	25	0

6	Sep_30_2011	66940.37	73583.22	66441.45	59748			58240(0.9%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-45	-10000	-4	-168	0	50%	-0.03	-44	4.63%	0	-1.5	28	0
7	Sep_29_2011	66958.12	74662.08	68534.86	60324			57720(0.98%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-54	-10000	-14	-173	0	51%	-0.04	-43.6	4.63%	0	-1.8	24	0
8	Sep_28_2011	66987.92	75712.19	70495.03	62368			57160(-8.69%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-66	-10000	-30	-173	0	51%	-0.12	-39.4	4.66%	0	-2.2	22	0
9	Sep_27_2011	67067.92	76824.72	72638.99	66988			62600(-0.67%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-56	-10000	-26	-145	0	54%	-0.05	-27.8	4.54%	0	-1.9	30	0
10	Sep_26_2011	67101.39	77527.59	74492	71168			63020(3.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-41	-10000	-18	-110	0	54%	-0.01	-17.2	4.54%	0	-2.2	31	0

11	Sep_23_2011	67107.31	78280.85	76242.02	74212			61120(-10.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.3	-37	-10000	-20	-88	0	52%	-0.04	-3.2	4.57%	0	-3.1	29	0
12	Sep_22_2011	67130.98	78993.48	78673.89	77856			67940(-15.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.3	-19	-10000	-10	-45	0	56%	-0.01	23.2	4.4%	0	-2.6	41	0
13	Sep_21_2011	67137.28	79212.06	80579.82	79608			80260(-3.88%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-1	-10000	3	-12	0	65%	0.18	35	3.95%	0	0.3	57	0
14	Sep_20_2011	67015.03	78910.83	80867.96	79072			83500(6.72%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	1	-10000	4	-7	0	65%	0.16	33.4	3.98%	0	1.1	61	0
15	Sep_19_2011	66907.48	78669.59	80774.51	78496			78240(-1.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-2	-10000	-2	-1	0	63%	0	38.5	3.91%	0	-0.1	60	0

16	Sep_16_2011	66906.87	78459.08	81183.21	78760			79340(3.44%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-2	-10000	-6	10	0	61%	0.05	44.6	3.9%	0	0.2	58	0
17	Sep_15_2011	66871.77	78027.92	81143.74	79764			76700(-1.13%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-2	-10000	-12	29	0	61%	0	47.2	3.94%	0	-0.3	61	0
18	Sep_14_2011	66871.77	77848.09	81259.38	81712			77580(-3.77%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	11	-10000	-7	66	0	61%	0.07	61.6	3.94%	0	-0.1	67	0
19	Sep_13_2011	66828.09	77563.07	81318.24	82868			80620(1.33%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	20	-10000	-3	90	0	61%	0.08	72.6	3.92%	0	0.6	62	0
20	Sep_12_2011	66775.44	77172.02	80799.74	83360			79560(-5.69%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	20	-10000	-3	89	0	61%	0.2	88.3	3.95%	0	0.5	51	0

21	Sep_9_2011	66643.64	76665.69	80522.24	83872			84360(-2.41%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	32	-10000	7	108	0	62%	0.08	96.3	3.9%	0	1.5	65	0
22	Sep_8_2011	66592.3	75962.6	79389.41	82684			86440(3.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	35	-10000	12	105	0	60%	0.13	103.4	3.9%	0	2.1	71	0
23	Sep_7_2011	66506.32	75094.67	77756.48	80772			83360(0.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	26	-10000	8	79	0	60%	0.1	103.4	3.93%	0	1.9	64	0
24	Sep_6_2011	66439.93	74196.94	76768.09	79568			83080(1.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	27	-10000	11	73	0	57%	-0.03	93.7	3.94%	0	2	65	0
25	Sep_2_2011	66458.7	73085.62	76282.11	77896			82120(4.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	23	-10000	8	66	0	57%		64.1	3.99%	0	1.7	61	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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