Trading Signals: NUGT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Jul. 20, 2011

Trading Signals: NUGT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Dec. 8, 2010 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Gold Miners Bull 3X ETF)
NUGT latest price $72120.0000 (2.12%) ($69000.0000 - $72500.0000) on Wed. Jul. 20, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.48% (three month average)
RSI   76
Latest Price   $72120.0000(2.12%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   NUGT advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   NUGT advances 9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support NUGT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
GLD(74%)    EEM(26%)    LQD(25%)    PCY(25%)    REMX(25%)
Factors Impacting NUGT price   NUGT will decline at least -1.74% in a week (0% probabilities).
PEJ(10%)    XLY(11%)    SHY(11%)    XLK(13%)    XLP(14%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.74% (StdDev 3.48%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 3.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $71004(1.57%)
10 Day Moving Average   $67971.28(6.1%)
20 Day Moving Average   $63381.41(13.79%)
To recent high   -9.1%
To recent low   34.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.01%

$. NUGT is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.01% a day on average for holding it.$. NUGT price fluctuates within 9.05% (three month std-dev: 3.48%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20110820

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_20_2011	66951.51	63381.41	67971.28	71004			72120(2.12%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	42	-10000	4	157	0	42%	-0.06	75.5	3.48%	0	1.5	76	0
2	Jul_19_2011	66988.65	62655.48	67026.22	70540			70620(-3.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	50	-10000	9	174	0	42%	-0.04	79.2	3.48%	0	1.5	78	0
3	Jul_18_2011	67016.82	61840.85	66083.52	69476			72840(3.14%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	60	-10000	19	184	0	42%	0.02	74.5	3.48%	0	2.1	84	0
4	Jul_15_2011	67000.27	60868.36	64540.33	67199.96			70620(2.62%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	49	-10000	13	157	0	42%	0.03	64.3	3.46%	0	2	82	0
5	Jul_14_2011	66977	59994.96	63376.09	65667.96			68820(-1.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	43	-10000	11	140	0	42%	-0.06	53.9	3.44%	0	1.9	70	0

6	Jul_13_2011	67019.04	59331.62	62359.04	64479.96			69800(6.89%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	40	-10000	13	122	0	42%	-0.01	50.8	3.46%	0	2.5	66	0
7	Jul_12_2011	67023.53	58635.29	60993.02	63059.96			65300(6.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	31	-10000	8	98	0	38%	-0.03	46.7	3.34%	0	2	64	0
8	Jul_11_2011	67041.3	58102.64	59954.39	62217.96			61459.8(-2.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	29	-10000	8	90	0	32%	-0.15	36.2	3.26%	0	1.1	66	0
9	Jul_8_2011	67144.81	57863.4	59337.67	61410			62960(0.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	25	-10000	7	79	0	35%	-0.11	18.8	3.31%	0	1.8	71	0
10	Jul_7_2011	67216.97	57630.49	58810.77	60666			62880(0.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	26	-10000	8	81	0	35%	-0.09	3.9	3.36%	0	2	71	0

11	Jul_6_2011	67276.76	57311.84	58428	59872.4			62700(2.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	30	-10000	13	80	0	35%	-0.08	-20.4	3.36%	0	2.3	62	0
12	Jul_5_2011	67329.75	57120.85	57921.37	58632.4			61090(6.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	26	-10000	13	64	0	40%	-0.01	-56	3.34%	0	1.9	58	0
13	Jul_1_2011	67337.31	57035.1	57253.57	57386.4			57420(-3.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	13	-10000	5	36	0	37%	-0.11	-74.1	3.46%	0	0.2	57	0
14	Jun_30_2011	67408.73	57321.89	56932.11	56906.4			59240(0.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	6	-10000	2	19	0	39%	-0.1	-70.7	3.42%	0	0.7	55	0
15	Jun_29_2011	67474.24	57525.92	56370.07	56666.4			58912(4.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.7	-2	-10000	-2	-2	0	39%	-0.13	-65.8	3.46%	0	0.4	49	0

16	Jun_28_2011	67564.94	57795.8	56072.04	56816			56500(2.99%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-3	-10000	-3	-2	0	36%	-0.12	-54	3.41%	0	-0.3	49	0
17	Jun_27_2011	67649.43	58315.19	56096.18	57144			54860(-0.29%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	0	-10000	1	-3	0	36%	-0.15	-44.8	3.41%	0	-0.9	41	0
18	Jun_24_2011	67752.9	58906.81	56143.31	57064			55020(-5.2%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.5	-3	-10000	2	-18	0	36%	-0.16	-37.6	3.41%	0	-0.9	40	0
19	Jun_23_2011	67863.71	59414.42	56343.67	56840			58040(-2.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-3	-10000	9	-39	0	42%	-0.06	-35.3	3.36%	0	-0.3	38	0
20	Jun_22_2011	67906.77	59759.66	56396.15	55948			59660(2.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-12	-10000	7	-67	0	42%	-0.06	-36.2	3.46%	0	-0	39	0

21	Jun_21_2011	67945.14	59968.42	56091.96	55264			58140(6.76%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-24	-10000	3	-103	0	45%	-0.03	-36.5	3.44%	0	-0.4	34	0
22	Jun_20_2011	67963.71	60139.22	56195.77	55012			54460(1.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-34	-10000	-1	-132	0	41%	-0.1	-36.6	3.39%	0	-1.2	21	0
23	Jun_17_2011	68029.02	60561.95	56749.91	55137.2			53900(0.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-42	-10000	-6	-149	0	41%	-0.08	-34.6	3.42%	0	-1.5	21	0
24	Jun_16_2011	68086.16	61003.32	57718.16	55753.2			53580(-4.73%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-45	-10000	-11	-146	0	40%	-0.15	-31.3	3.42%	0	-1.8	27	0
25	Jun_15_2011	68190.45	61442.9	58774.94	56846.72			56240(-1.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-34	-10000	-2	-130	0	40%		-25.9	3.42%	0	-1.4	30	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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