Trading Signals: NUGT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ NUGT: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Apr. 7, 2011

Trading Signals: NUGT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Dec. 8, 2010 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Gold Miners Bull 3X ETF)
NUGT latest price $79436.0000 (-0.83%) ($78780.0000 - $81600.0000) on Thu. Apr. 7, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.64% (three month average)
RSI   78
Latest Price   $79436.0000(-0.83%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   NUGT advances 1.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   NUGT advances 5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support NUGT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
GLD(73%)    EEM(26%)    LQD(25%)    PCY(25%)    REMX(25%)
Factors Impacting NUGT price   NUGT will decline at least -1.82% in a week (0% probabilities).
PEJ(10%)    XLY(11%)    SHY(11%)    XLK(13%)    TLT(13%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.82% (StdDev 3.64%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $76911.2(3.28%)
10 Day Moving Average   $74384.09(6.79%)
20 Day Moving Average   $71230.24(11.52%)
To recent high   -0.8%
To recent low   36.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.01%

$. NUGT is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.01% a day on average for holding it.$. NUGT price fluctuates within 6.94% (three month std-dev: 3.64%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20110507

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_7_2011	70017.4	71230.24	74384.09	76911.2			79436(-0.83%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	28	-10000	9	86	0	65%	0.16	32.6	3.64%	0	1.7	78	0
2	Apr_6_2011	69903.92	70540.74	73722.77	75716			80100(0.4%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	33	-10000	12	95	0	62%	0.18	20.5	3.64%	0	2.1	82	0
3	Apr_5_2011	69779.58	70027	73013.36	74160			79780(9.95%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.4	37	-10000	15	103	0	61%	0.18	6.8	3.7%	0	2.4	83	0
4	Apr_4_2011	69656.12	69585.19	71907.91	72148			72560(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	26	-10000	5	88	0	55%	0.05	-12.6	3.51%	0	0.9	67	0
5	Apr_1_2011	69619.82	69602.13	71541.58	71552			72680(-1.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	21	-10000	1	80	0	54%	0.06	-16.4	3.56%	0	0.9	58	0

6	Mar_31_2011	69581.08	69656.86	70854.07	71440			73460(1.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	18	-10000	0	73	0	54%	0.07	-13.2	3.59%	0	1	59	0
7	Mar_30_2011	69531.35	69624.41	69877.27	71424			72320(3.73%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	16	-10000	-2	68	0	54%	0.05	-6.8	3.59%	0	0.7	62	0
8	Mar_29_2011	69495.14	69754.16	68908.65	71724			69720(0.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.5	15	-10000	1	56	0	52%	0	-1.2	3.56%	0	-0	48	0
9	Mar_28_2011	69492.18	70025.58	68463.35	71616			69580(-3.52%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	10	-10000	1	38	0	54%	0	4.2	3.56%	0	-0.1	45	0
10	Mar_25_2011	69491.01	70201.65	68313.55	71432			72120(-1.72%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	15	-10000	11	28	0	54%	0.05	5.1	3.57%	0	0.5	46	0

11	Mar_24_2011	69455.48	70141.33	67894.1	70076			73380(-0.6%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	12	-10000	17	-2	0	54%	0.08	-3	3.6%	0	0.8	46	0
12	Mar_23_2011	69401.72	69881.4	67116.3	68055.8			73820(6.71%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.4	4	-10000	20	-45	0	54%	0.09	-17.2	3.62%	0	1	48	0
13	Mar_22_2011	69340.35	69800	66716.56	65731.8			69180(0.76%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-18	-10000	7	-93	0	50%	-0	-28.3	3.53%	0	-0.2	37	0
14	Mar_21_2011	69342.61	69856.2	66949.74	64899.84			68660(5.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-28	-10000	1	-114	0	50%	-0.01	-28.3	3.54%	0	-0.3	36	0
15	Mar_18_2011	69352.36	69998.38	67368.95	64815.84			65340(3.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-35	-10000	-6	-122	0	48%	-0.08	-20.6	3.45%	0	-1.2	36	0

16	Mar_17_2011	69410.51	70258.48	68259.67	65435.8			63279(1.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-31	-10000	-5	-108	0	48%	-0.13	-10.9	3.45%	0	-1.8	37	0
17	Mar_16_2011	69500.68	70578.85	69311.83	66004			62200(-4.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-35	-10000	-15	-95	0	47%	-0.16	-3.8	3.44%	0	-2.4	43	0
18	Mar_15_2011	69609.65	70924.83	70706.02	67772			65020.2(-4.72%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-26	-10000	-12	-66	0	47%	-0.1	12.2	3.42%	0	-1.9	39	0
19	Mar_14_2011	69679.18	71012.73	71803.36	69239.96			68240(-0.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-15	-10000	-9	-34	0	49%	-0.03	27.6	3.4%	0	-0.9	49	0
20	Mar_11_2011	69701.33	70837.1	72348.95	70331.96			68439.8(3.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-12	-10000	-10	-17	0	50%	-0.03	32.4	3.38%	0	-0.7	47	0

21	Mar_10_2011	69721.04	70682.69	72688.61	71580			66120(-6.93%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.5	-9	-10000	-12	2	0	49%	-0.08	38.9	3.38%	0	-1.3	47	0
22	Mar_9_2011	69778.2	70710.99	73035.07	73092			71040(-1.82%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	1	-10000	-8	26	0	52%	0.03	55.6	3.26%	0	0.1	57	0
23	Mar_8_2011	69757.85	70560.27	73249.44	74060			72360(-1.82%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	9	-10000	-6	53	0	52%	0.06	69.2	3.26%	0	0.5	61	0
24	Mar_7_2011	69715.19	70198.96	73076.73	74740			73700(-1.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	21	-10000	1	79	0	52%	0.1	78.3	3.28%	0	0.9	68	0
25	Mar_4_2011	69648.77	69768.52	72862.7	74676			74680(1.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	30	-10000	6	101	0	52%		83.1	3.3%	0	1.3	73	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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