Trading Signals: NUGT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ NUGT: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Feb. 9, 2011

Trading Signals: NUGT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Dec. 8, 2010 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Gold Miners Bull 3X ETF)
NUGT latest price $65660.0000 (-3.16%) ($64940.0000 - $68460.0000) on Wed. Feb. 9, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.4% (three month average)
RSI   57
Latest Price   $65660.0000(-3.16%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   NUGT advances 1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   NUGT advances 4.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support NUGT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
GLD(73%)    EEM(26%)    PCY(25%)    REMX(25%)    VWO(25%)
Factors Impacting NUGT price   NUGT will decline at least -1.7% in a week (0% probabilities).
PEJ(10%)    SHY(11%)    XLY(12%)    XLK(13%)    TLT(13%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.7% (StdDev 3.4%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -3%

5 Day Moving Average   $65823.96(-0.25%)
10 Day Moving Average   $63661.96(3.14%)
20 Day Moving Average   $63147.22(3.98%)
To recent high   -17.3%
To recent low   12.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.01%

$. NUGT is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.01% a day on average for holding it.$. NUGT price fluctuates within 4.65% (three month std-dev: 3.4%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20110309

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_9_2011	69346.56	63147.22	63661.96	65823.96			65660(-3.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	25	-10000	6	82	0	50%	-0.12	-13.3	3.4%	0	0.9	57	0
2	Feb_8_2011	69432.29	63309.85	63447.14	65143.96			67800(4.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	25	-10000	8	75	0	50%	-0.06	-21	3.41%	0	1.4	57	0
3	Feb_7_2011	69471.16	63229.21	62485.56	64267.96			64780(-0.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	19	-10000	9	47	0	47%	-0.16	-41.8	3.37%	0	0.5	50	0
4	Feb_4_2011	69585.58	63301.49	61911.71	63303.96			64999.8(-1.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	12	-10000	8	22	0	47%	-0.16	-64.1	3.41%	0	0.5	55	0
5	Feb_3_2011	69700.22	63363.49	61408.66	62476			65880(5.81%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	9	-10000	12	-1	0	47%	-0.14	-82.4	3.45%	0	0.8	51	0

6	Feb_2_2011	69798.17	63539.37	60911.74	61200			62260(-1.83%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-15	-10000	-3	-50	0	43%	-0.28	-93.9	3.34%	0	-0.4	39	0
7	Feb_1_2011	69996.55	64002.08	60967.69	61508			63420(5.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-7	-10000	10	-57	0	43%	-0.25	-88.5	3.38%	0	-0.1	39	0
8	Jan_31_2011	70174.29	64596.22	61003.87	60468			59960(-1.48%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-20	-10000	2	-86	0	38%	-0.4	-77.8	3.26%	0	-1	39	0
9	Jan_28_2011	70458.02	65475.68	61243.43	60276			60860(2.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-25	-10000	1	-101	0	38%	-0.39	-67.3	3.3%	0	-0.8	41	0
10	Jan_27_2011	70732.25	66247.98	61628.07	60144			59500(-6.74%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-31	-10000	-4	-110	0	38%	-0.46	-61.9	3.31%	0	-1.1	39	0

11	Jan_26_2011	71062.61	67155.16	62592.39	60540			63800(9.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-27	-10000	1	-109	0	42%	-0.31	-56.5	3.19%	0	-0.5	38	0
12	Jan_25_2011	71282.69	67811.14	63120.5	60424			58220(-1.32%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-48	-10000	-15	-145	0	31%	-0.57	-53.6	2.69%	0	-1.5	22	0
13	Jan_24_2011	71690.9	68613.35	64033.4	61664			59000(-1.99%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-43	-10000	-8	-146	0	31%	-0.57	-52.2	2.73%	0	-1.6	19	0
14	Jan_21_2011	72100.28	69422.63	64847.75	62333.76			60200(-2.08%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-50	-10000	-11	-166	0	31%	-0.55	-52.3	2.76%	0	-1.6	19	0
15	Jan_20_2011	72496.96	70125.26	65546.45	63297.76			61480(-2.75%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-58	-10000	-18	-179	0	31%	-0.52	-53.7	2.8%	0	-1.6	24	0

16	Jan_19_2011	72876.86	70839.01	66442.33	64933.76			63220(-1.86%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-53	-10000	-14	-171	0	31%	-0.47	-53.3	2.82%	0	-1.5	24	0
17	Jan_18_2011	73221.74	71474	67328.6	66273.76			64420(3.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-44	-10000	-6	-159	0	31%	-0.44	-52.7	2.87%	0	-1.4	27	0
18	Jan_14_2011	73547.73	71992.4	68484.04	66809.76			62348.8(-4.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-44	-10000	-9	-150	0	26%	-0.58	-57.4	2.81%	0	-2.1	33	0
19	Jan_13_2011	73978.46	72629.99	70069.41	67692			65020(-6.66%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-35	-10000	-4	-126	0	29%	-0.48	-64.2	2.79%	0	-1.9	34	0
20	Jan_12_2011	74336.8	73230.66	71255.47	68044			69660(-0.37%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-32	-10000	-2	-123	0	34%	-0.26	-68.9	2.55%	0	-1	44	0

21	Jan_11_2011	74531.67	73705.87	72048.48	68192			69920(4.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-32	-10000	-5	-113	0	34%	-0.27	0	2.6%	0	-1	41	0
22	Jan_10_2011	74732.17	74166.55	72787.47	68656			67100(0.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-45	-10000	-22	-113	0	26%	-0.46	0	2.47%	0	-1.8	33	0
23	Jan_7_2011	75079.09	74735.15	73511.47	70536			66760(-0.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-40	-10000	-25	-83	0	26%	-0.52	0	2.52%	0	-2.3	37	0
24	Jan_6_2011	75475.24	75301.01	74372.75	72864			66780(-5.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2	-26	-10000	-21	-40	0	26%	-0.57	0	2.57%	0	-2.8	37	0
25	Jan_5_2011	75910	75843.88	75151.74	74888			70400(-2.55%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-15	-10000	-16	-12	0	30%		0	2.42%	0	-2.3	38	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.