Trading Signals: NUGT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ NUGT: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Jan. 27, 2011

Trading Signals: NUGT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Dec. 8, 2010 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Gold Miners Bull 3X ETF)
NUGT latest price $59500.0000 (-6.74%) ($58940.0000 - $63780.0000) on Thu. Jan. 27, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.31% (three month average)
RSI   39
Latest Price   $59500.0000(-6.74%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   NUGT declines -0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   NUGT declines -6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support NUGT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
GLD(73%)    EEM(26%)    PCY(25%)    REMX(25%)    VWO(25%)
Factors Impacting NUGT price   NUGT will decline at least -1.655% in a week (0% probabilities).
PEJ(10%)    SHY(11%)    XLY(12%)    XLK(13%)    TLT(13%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.655% (StdDev 3.31%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -4.8%

Resistance Level   $66247.98
5 Day Moving Average   $60144(-1.07%)
10 Day Moving Average   $61628.07(-3.45%)
20 Day Moving Average   $66247.98(-10.19%)
To recent high   -25%
To recent low   2.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.01%

$. NUGT is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.01% a day on average for holding it.$. NUGT price fluctuates within 8.93% (three month std-dev: 3.31%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20110227

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_27_2011	70732.25	66247.98	61628.07	60144			59500(-6.74%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-31	-10000	-4	-110	0	38%	-0.46	-61.9	3.31%	0	-1.1	39	0
2	Jan_26_2011	71062.61	67155.16	62592.39	60540			63800(9.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-27	-10000	1	-109	0	42%	-0.31	-56.5	3.19%	0	-0.5	38	0
3	Jan_25_2011	71282.69	67811.14	63120.5	60424			58220(-1.32%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-48	-10000	-15	-145	0	31%	-0.57	-53.6	2.69%	0	-1.5	22	0
4	Jan_24_2011	71690.9	68613.35	64033.4	61664			59000(-1.99%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-43	-10000	-8	-146	0	31%	-0.57	-52.2	2.73%	0	-1.6	19	0
5	Jan_21_2011	72100.28	69422.63	64847.75	62333.76			60200(-2.08%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-50	-10000	-11	-166	0	31%	-0.55	-52.3	2.76%	0	-1.6	19	0

6	Jan_20_2011	72496.96	70125.26	65546.45	63297.76			61480(-2.75%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-58	-10000	-18	-179	0	31%	-0.52	-53.7	2.8%	0	-1.6	24	0
7	Jan_19_2011	72876.86	70839.01	66442.33	64933.76			63220(-1.86%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-53	-10000	-14	-171	0	31%	-0.47	-53.3	2.82%	0	-1.5	24	0
8	Jan_18_2011	73221.74	71474	67328.6	66273.76			64420(3.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-44	-10000	-6	-159	0	31%	-0.44	-52.7	2.87%	0	-1.4	27	0
9	Jan_14_2011	73547.73	71992.4	68484.04	66809.76			62348.8(-4.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-44	-10000	-9	-150	0	26%	-0.58	-57.4	2.81%	0	-2.1	33	0
10	Jan_13_2011	73978.46	72629.99	70069.41	67692			65020(-6.66%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-35	-10000	-4	-126	0	29%	-0.48	-64.2	2.79%	0	-1.9	34	0

11	Jan_12_2011	74336.8	73230.66	71255.47	68044			69660(-0.37%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-32	-10000	-2	-123	0	34%	-0.26	-68.9	2.55%	0	-1	44	0
12	Jan_11_2011	74531.67	73705.87	72048.48	68192			69920(4.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-32	-10000	-5	-113	0	34%	-0.27	0	2.6%	0	-1	41	0
13	Jan_10_2011	74732.17	74166.55	72787.47	68656			67100(0.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-45	-10000	-22	-113	0	26%	-0.46	0	2.47%	0	-1.8	33	0
14	Jan_7_2011	75079.09	74735.15	73511.47	70536			66760(-0.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-40	-10000	-25	-83	0	26%	-0.52	0	2.52%	0	-2.3	37	0
15	Jan_6_2011	75475.24	75301.01	74372.75	72864			66780(-5.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2	-26	-10000	-21	-40	0	26%	-0.57	0	2.57%	0	-2.8	37	0

16	Jan_5_2011	75910	75843.88	75151.74	74888			70400(-2.55%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-15	-10000	-16	-12	0	30%	-0.38	0	2.42%	0	-2.3	38	0
17	Jan_4_2011	76200	75843.88	75691.21	76412			72240(-5.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.1	-9	-10000	-11	-4	0	33%	-0.29	0	2.43%	0	36.1	35	0
18	Jan_3_2011	76420	75843.88	76056.66	77472			76500(-2.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	6	-10000	7	3	0	43%	0.01	0	2.13%	0	42	42	0
19	Dec_31_2010	76415.29	75843.88	75838.15	76908			78400(1.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	8	-10000	9	4	0	49%	0.16	0	2.11%	0	41.9	50	0
20	Dec_30_2010	76291.25	75843.88	75398.02	76152			76900(-1.44%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	7	-10000	8	3	0	49%	0.05	0	2.12%	0	41.3	48	0

21	Dec_29_2010	76250.67	75843.88	75329.36	75480			78020(0.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	6	-10000	7	3	0	49%	0.17	0	2.16%	0	40.7	53	0
22	Dec_28_2010	76124.29	75843.88	75390.24	74920			77540(5.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	4	-10000	5	2	0	49%	0.14	0	2.24%	0	40.3	50	0
23	Dec_27_2010	76015.38	75843.88	75497.05	74504			73680(-1.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-2	-10000	-2	-1	0	26%	-0.26	0	1.74%	0	37.7	50	0
24	Dec_23_2010	76210	75843.88	75930.33	74608			74620(1.47%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	1	-10000	1	0	0	26%	-0.19	0	1.8%	0	39.1	50	0
25	Dec_22_2010	76354.55	75843.88	76211.91	74516			73540(-2.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-8	-10000	-9	-4	0	26%		0	1.8%	0	38.1	50	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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