Trading Signals: NUGT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jan. 11, 2011

Trading Signals: NUGT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Dec. 8, 2010 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Gold Miners Bull 3X ETF)
NUGT latest price $69920.0000 (4.2%) ($68160.0000 - $69920.0000) on Tue. Jan. 11, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.6% (three month average)
RSI   41
Latest Price   $69920.0000(4.2%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   NUGT declines -0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   NUGT declines -4.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support NUGT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
GLD(73%)    EEM(26%)    PCY(25%)    REMX(25%)    VWO(25%)
Factors Impacting NUGT price   NUGT will decline at least -1.3% in a week (0% probabilities).
PEJ(10%)    XLY(11%)    SHY(11%)    XLK(13%)    TLT(13%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.3% (StdDev 2.6%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.3%

Resistance Level   $73705.87
5 Day Moving Average   $68192(2.53%)
10 Day Moving Average   $72048.48(-2.95%)
20 Day Moving Average   $73705.87(-5.14%)
To recent high   -11.9%
To recent low   4.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.01%

$. NUGT is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.01% a day on average for holding it.$. NUGT price fluctuates within 5.14% (three month std-dev: 2.6%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20110211

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_11_2011	74531.67	73705.87	72048.48	68192			69920(4.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-32	-10000	-5	-113	0	34%	-0.27	0	2.6%	0	-1	41	0
2	Jan_10_2011	74732.17	74166.55	72787.47	68656			67100(0.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-45	-10000	-22	-113	0	26%	-0.46	0	2.47%	0	-1.8	33	0
3	Jan_7_2011	75079.09	74735.15	73511.47	70536			66760(-0.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-40	-10000	-25	-83	0	26%	-0.52	0	2.52%	0	-2.3	37	0
4	Jan_6_2011	75475.24	75301.01	74372.75	72864			66780(-5.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2	-26	-10000	-21	-40	0	26%	-0.57	0	2.57%	0	-2.8	37	0
5	Jan_5_2011	75910	75843.88	75151.74	74888			70400(-2.55%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-15	-10000	-16	-12	0	30%	-0.38	0	2.42%	0	-2.3	38	0

6	Jan_4_2011	76200	75843.88	75691.21	76412			72240(-5.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.1	-9	-10000	-11	-4	0	33%	-0.29	0	2.43%	0	36.1	35	0
7	Jan_3_2011	76420	75843.88	76056.66	77472			76500(-2.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	6	-10000	7	3	0	43%	0.01	0	2.13%	0	42	42	0
8	Dec_31_2010	76415.29	75843.88	75838.15	76908			78400(1.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	8	-10000	9	4	0	49%	0.16	0	2.11%	0	41.9	50	0
9	Dec_30_2010	76291.25	75843.88	75398.02	76152			76900(-1.44%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	7	-10000	8	3	0	49%	0.05	0	2.12%	0	41.3	48	0
10	Dec_29_2010	76250.67	75843.88	75329.36	75480			78020(0.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	6	-10000	7	3	0	49%	0.17	0	2.16%	0	40.7	53	0

11	Dec_28_2010	76124.29	75843.88	75390.24	74920			77540(5.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	4	-10000	5	2	0	49%	0.14	0	2.24%	0	40.3	50	0
12	Dec_27_2010	76015.38	75843.88	75497.05	74504			73680(-1.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-2	-10000	-2	-1	0	26%	-0.26	0	1.74%	0	37.7	50	0
13	Dec_23_2010	76210	75843.88	75930.33	74608			74620(1.47%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	1	-10000	1	0	0	26%	-0.19	0	1.8%	0	39.1	50	0
14	Dec_22_2010	76354.55	75843.88	76211.91	74516			73540(-2.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-8	-10000	-9	-4	0	26%	-0.37	0	1.8%	0	38.1	50	0
15	Dec_21_2010	76636	75843.88	76564.79	75112			75220(-0.32%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-10	-10000	-12	-5	0	32%	-0.2	0	1.78%	0	41.9	50	0

16	Dec_20_2010	76793.33	75843.88	76564.79	75940			75460(1.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-9	-10000	-10	-4	0	32%	-0.22	0	1.89%	0	41.4	50	0
17	Dec_17_2010	76960	75843.88	76564.79	76696			74200(0.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-9	-10000	-11	-4	0	32%	-0.51	0	1.87%	0	39.7	50	0
18	Dec_16_2010	77354.29	75843.88	76564.79	77460			74160(-3.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2	-7	-10000	-8	-3	0	32%	-0.68	0	2.01%	0	44.7	50	0
19	Dec_15_2010	77886.67	75843.88	76564.79	78108			76520(-3.58%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.4	-1	-10000	-1	-0	0	47%	-0.35	0	1.82%	0	69.1	50	0
20	Dec_14_2010	78160	75843.88	76564.79	78160			79360(0.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	866	-10000	1019	408	0	100%	0.39	0	0.5%	0	78.5	50	0

21	Dec_13_2010	77860	75843.88	76564.79	62288			79240(1.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	18.6	1612	-10000	1896	758	0	100%	0.59	0	0.36%	0	87.1	50	0
22	Dec_10_2010	77400	75843.88	76564.79	46440			78020(0.8%)	N/A	N/A	0	62.4	0	-10000	0	0	0	100%	0.4	0	0%	0	154.1	50	0
23	Dec_9_2010	77090	75843.88	76564.79	30836			77400(0.81%)	N/A	N/A	0	150.2	0	-10000	0	0	0	100%	0.4	0	0%	0	249.7	50	0
24	Dec_8_2010	76780	75843.88	76564.79	15356			76780(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	0	-10000	0	0	0	0%		0	0%	0	0	50	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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