Trading Signals: NTES Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Sep. 27, 2018

Trading Signals: NTES Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Oct. 5, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(NetEase Inc)
NTES latest price $45.1100 (1.78%) ($43.6600 - $45.1500) on Thu. Sep. 27, 2018.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.53% (three month average)
RSI   76
Latest Price   $45.1100(1.78%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   NTES advances 1.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   NTES advances 6.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support NTES advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
KWEB(76%)    MCHI(72%)    FXI(69%)    EEM(61%)    VWO(56%)
Factors Impacting NTES price   NTES will decline at least -1.265% in a week (0% probabilities).
VXX(-13%)    UUP(-7%)    VIXM(-6%)    IGOV(-4%)    TLT(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.265% (StdDev 2.53%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $43.5(3.7%)
10 Day Moving Average   $42.2(6.9%)
20 Day Moving Average   $40.51(11.36%)
To recent high   -16.6%
To recent low   19.7%
Market Cap   $6.18b

NetEase, Inc. engages in the provision of online internet technology services. It operates through the following business segments: Online Games, E-commerce, Advertisign Services, and E-Mail and Others. The Online Games segment offers multi-player online role-playing games and mobile games. The E-commerce segment provides online selling and payment platform, e-reading applications, matchmaking services, online music, social network, personalized photo-based products, and online game-related accessories. The Advertising segment involves banner advertising, channel sponsorships, direct e-mail, interactive media-rich sites, sponsored special events, games and contests. The E-Mail Services segment comprise free and fee-based premium e-mail services. The company was founded by Lei Ding in June 1997 and is headquartered in Beijing, China.

$. NTES price fluctuates within 5.43% (three month std-dev: 2.53%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 17 Average positive next day return: 3.52%(59%) Average negative next day return: -1.78%(41%) Sample size 17 Average positive next three day return: 6.46%(53%) Average negative next three day return: -3.12%(47%) Sample size 17 Average positive next weekly return: 8.08%(65%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.48%(35%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20181027

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_27_2018	47.23	40.51	42.2	43.5	43.31	44.25	45.11(1.78%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	64	140	31	162	7.15	40%	-0.15	25.6	2.53%	0	2.1	76	1.3
2	Sep_26_2018	47.3	40.31	41.7	43.01	43.01	43.32	44.32(2.81%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	69	50	37	163	4.65	40%	-0.17	20.9	2.54%	0	2.1	76	1.3
3	Sep_25_2018	47.38	40.18	41.1	42.33	42.53	42.37	43.11(2.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	45	-10	13	139	3.14	36%	-0.17	12.4	2.51%	0	1.6	75	1.4
4	Sep_24_2018	47.46	40.11	40.58	41.67	41.96	42.7	42.01(-2.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	40	140	16	110	3.37	34%	-0.19	3	2.53%	0	1.1	61	1.7
5	Sep_21_2018	47.55	40.07	40.15	41.2	41.42	42.68	42.95(0.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	62	230	49	99	6.79	34%	-0.15	-4.2	2.54%	0	1.7	64	2.3

6	Sep_20_2018	47.62	39.95	39.7	40.69	40.5	41.22	42.64(4.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	45	110	35	76	6.92	36%	-0.17	-10.3	2.54%	0	1.7	66	2.6
7	Sep_19_2018	47.7	39.91	39.24	40.23	40.09	40.16	40.94(2.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	24	0	20	36	4.92	32%	-0.25	-12.5	2.5%	0	0.7	44	2.6
8	Sep_18_2018	47.82	39.96	38.93	39.71	39.91	39.78	39.8(0.33%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	4	-10	9	-10	4.5	29%	-0.23	-19.4	2.47%	0	-0.1	38	1.6
9	Sep_17_2018	47.93	40.06	38.88	39.3	39.42	40.03	39.67(-1.78%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	2	120	15	-38	5.06	29%	-0.25	-28.9	2.47%	0	-0.2	37	1.1
10	Sep_14_2018	48.05	40.14	38.85	38.9	38.86	40.04	40.39(0.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	17	210	40	-54	4.33	29%	-0.21	-44.3	2.46%	0	0.1	44	1.9

11	Sep_13_2018	48.15	40.12	38.68	38.56	38.25	38.81	40.35(5.3%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	7	80	36	-80	6.92	29%	-0.19	-62.7	2.46%	0	0.1	46	1.6
12	Sep_12_2018	48.24	40.11	38.78	38.13	37.93	37.67	38.32(1.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-29	-60	-0	-117	4.67	24%	-0.27	-95.5	2.36%	0	-1.1	31	1
13	Sep_11_2018	48.37	40.28	39.15	38.06	38.01	37.7	37.76(0.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-47	-60	-20	-129	3.15	28%	-0.31	-125.3	2.36%	0	-1.5	28	0.9
14	Sep_10_2018	48.52	40.55	39.6	38.4	38.19	38.19	37.68(-2.56%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-39	-20	-14	-112	4.72	28%	-0.33	-143	2.42%	0	-1.7	30	0.2
15	Sep_7_2018	48.68	40.9	39.99	38.77	38.49	38.32	38.67(1.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-24	-50	0	-94	3.18	29%	-0.33	-145	2.42%	0	-1.3	38	-0.7

16	Sep_6_2018	48.84	41.22	40.24	38.81	38.59	38.2	38.24(0.76%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-49	-90	-31	-102	4.18	29%	-0.37	-149.2	2.41%	0	-1.6	45	-0.4
17	Sep_5_2018	49.02	41.8	40.66	39.54	39.03	38.67	37.95(-3.8%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-44	-100	-36	-69	6.34	29%	-0.37	-102.7	2.41%	0	-1.5	43	0.3
18	Sep_4_2018	49.2	42.49	41.1	40.41	39.97	38.98	39.45(-0.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-32	-210	-31	-36	6.14	31%	-0.43	-75.2	2.37%	0	-0.9	41	0.5
19	Aug_31_2018	49.41	43.07	41.37	41	40.79	39.39	39.54(1.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-47	-260	-52	-32	8.49	31%	-0.3	-58.9	2.38%	0	-0.9	36	0.1
20	Aug_30_2018	49.56	43.65	41.57	41.39	41.64	40.96	38.88(-7.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-38	-100	-39	-33	13.43	31%	-0.36	-56.1	2.38%	0	-1.1	28	0.8

21	Aug_29_2018	49.74	44.25	41.74	41.84	41.98	42.19	41.89(-0.99%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-11	50	-4	-33	3.64	35%	-0.3	-55.1	2.22%	0	-0.5	34	1.3
22	Aug_28_2018	49.89	44.71	41.57	41.93	41.94	42.32	42.31(-0.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-11	60	13	-83	2.52	35%	-0.28	-55	2.22%	0	-0.5	23	1
23	Aug_27_2018	50.03	45.16	41.5	41.92	41.89	41.78	42.36(2.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-32	-20	6	-145	4.42	35%	-0.24	-54.8	2.23%	0	-0.6	20	0.9
24	Aug_24_2018	50.15	45.62	41.55	41.84	41.92	41.57	41.5(0.85%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-58	-50	-11	-199	2.91	35%	-0.28	-54.1	2.24%	0	-0.8	20	1
25	Aug_23_2018	50.29	46.18	41.86	41.8	42.07	42	41.15(-2.76%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-55	10	2	-226	3.05	35%		-53.5	2.29%	0	-1	19	1
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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