Trading Signals: NTES Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Aug. 9, 2017

Trading Signals: NTES Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Oct. 5, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(NetEase Inc)
NTES latest price $63.0100 (1.89%) ($60.4900 - $63.2800) on Wed. Aug. 9, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2% (three month average)
RSI   56
Latest Price   $63.0100(1.89%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   NTES advances 1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   NTES declines -0.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support NTES advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
KWEB(73%)    MCHI(69%)    FXI(65%)    EEM(59%)    VWO(55%)
Factors Impacting NTES price   NTES will decline at least -1% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-10%)    UUP(-8%)    IPO(-4%)    TLT(-3%)    SHY(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1% (StdDev 2%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 3%

5 Day Moving Average   $61.55(2.37%)
10 Day Moving Average   $61.63(2.24%)
20 Day Moving Average   $61.66(2.19%)
To recent high   -5.5%
To recent low   16.1%
Market Cap   $8.632b

NetEase, Inc. engages in the provision of online internet technology services. It operates through the following business segments: Online Games, E-commerce, Advertisign Services, and E-Mail and Others. The Online Games segment offers multi-player online role-playing games and mobile games. The E-commerce segment provides online selling and payment platform, e-reading applications, matchmaking services, online music, social network, personalized photo-based products, and online game-related accessories. The Advertising segment involves banner advertising, channel sponsorships, direct e-mail, interactive media-rich sites, sponsored special events, games and contests. The E-Mail Services segment comprise free and fee-based premium e-mail services. The company was founded by Lei Ding in June 1997 and is headquartered in Beijing, China.

$. NTES price fluctuates within 1.3% (three month std-dev: 2%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 17 Average positive next day return: 1.01%(53%) Average negative next day return: -0.55%(47%) Sample size 17 Average positive next three day return: 1.13%(47%) Average negative next three day return: -0.87%(53%) Sample size 17 Average positive next weekly return: 1.98%(41%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.95%(59%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170909

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_9_2017	58.42	61.66	61.63	61.55	61.5	61.94	63.01(1.89%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	21	50	27	2	8.49	55%	0.1	23.8	2%	0	1.7	56	INF
2	Aug_8_2017	58.36	61.64	61.55	60.92	61.07	61.54	61.84(0.45%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	11	60	19	-14	6.26	55%	0.05	27.5	1.99%	0	0.3	53	INF
3	Aug_7_2017	58.33	61.63	61.54	60.89	60.69	61.05	61.56(1.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-2	30	5	-21	6.37	55%	0.07	37.7	2%	0	-0.1	49	INF
4	Aug_4_2017	58.29	61.57	61.6	61.03	60.94	60.59	60.89(0.76%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-7	-40	-5	-14	3.41	55%	0.07	37	2%	0	-0.7	55	INF
5	Aug_3_2017	58.25	61.5	61.67	61.4	61.35	60.32	60.43(0.94%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-32	-120	-36	-19	3.83	55%	0.05	38.6	2.01%	0	-1	43	INF

6	Aug_2_2017	58.22	61.47	61.81	61.72	61.84	61.28	59.87(-2.93%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-36	-60	-44	-12	7.69	55%	0.03	26.8	2.01%	0	-1.4	45	INF
7	Aug_1_2017	58.2	61.44	61.99	62.23	62.41	62.39	61.68(-0.93%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	3	10	-1	13	4.05	58%	0.07	26.2	1.98%	0	0.2	44	INF
8	Jul_31_2017	58.16	61.33	62.02	62.25	62.44	62.4	62.26(-0.8%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	5	0	1	15	5.47	58%	0.09	8	1.99%	0	0.8	53	INF
9	Jul_28_2017	58.11	61.23	61.84	62.26	62.28	62.44	62.76(1.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	7	20	4	17	3.84	58%	0.07	-15.9	1.99%	0	1.2	61	INF
10	Jul_27_2017	58.07	61.1	61.76	62	62.24	62.47	62.03(-0.64%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	17	40	14	27	8.2	58%	0.07	-40.4	1.99%	0	0.8	63	INF

11	Jul_26_2017	58.03	61.16	61.7	61.94	61.98	62.12	62.43(1.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	14	20	8	33	4.62	54%	0.07	-43.5	1.99%	0	1	64	INF
12	Jul_25_2017	57.99	61.14	61.73	61.73	61.81	62.02	61.78(-0.83%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	13	30	3	43	4.27	54%	0.05	-51.7	2.07%	0	0.5	64	INF
13	Jul_24_2017	57.96	61.24	61.72	61.74	61.88	61.85	62.3(1.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	27	0	16	59	3.37	54%	0.07	-41.9	2.08%	0	0.7	63	INF
14	Jul_21_2017	57.92	61.42	61.52	61.36	61.62	61.6	61.44(-0.47%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	4	10	-8	41	3.84	54%	0.07	-20.9	2.08%	0	0	56	INF
15	Jul_20_2017	57.88	61.58	61.32	61.49	61.5	61.92	61.73(0.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	17	50	7	46	4.24	54%	0.02	-3.4	2.08%	0	0.1	55	INF

16	Jul_19_2017	57.87	61.72	61.09	61.43	61.55	61.63	61.39(-0.73%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	13	10	8	29	5.2	54%	0	8.4	2.08%	0	-0.2	42	INF
17	Jul_18_2017	57.87	61.81	60.85	61.73	61.58	61.09	61.84(2.38%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-7	-60	-14	13	5.03	54%	0.03	18.4	2.08%	0	0	48	INF
18	Jul_17_2017	57.85	61.84	60.61	61.71	61.95	61.47	60.4(-2.69%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-12	-40	-13	-7	6.24	52%	0	21	2.07%	0	-0.7	38	INF
19	Jul_14_2017	57.85	61.81	60.59	61.67	61.93	62.06	62.07(0.98%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-1	30	8	-28	4.27	55%	0.05	17.7	2.04%	0	0.1	35	INF
20	Jul_13_2017	57.82	61.65	60.4	61.09	61.42	62.43	61.47(-2.26%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	11	130	33	-54	5.86	55%	0	1.9	2.05%	0	-0.1	39	INF

21	Jul_12_2017	57.82	61.54	60.56	60.67	60.68	61.8	62.89(1.88%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	30	130	60	-62	5.37	57%	0.09	-10.6	2.03%	0	0.6	43	INF
22	Jul_11_2017	57.77	61.41	60.46	59.86	59.83	60.41	61.73(2.54%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	3	70	37	-98	6.45	57%	0.07	-20.6	2.02%	0	0.1	45	INF
23	Jul_10_2017	57.73	61.39	60.65	59.38	59.27	59.56	60.2(1.76%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-24	30	8	-118	4.74	55%	0	-21.3	2.01%	0	-0.5	44	INF
24	Jul_7_2017	57.73	61.43	61.25	59.37	59.31	59.24	59.16(-0.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-25	-10	-2	-94	3.7	55%	0	-17.6	2.02%	0	-1	53	INF
25	Jul_6_2017	57.73	61.61	61.83	59.62	59.61	58.97	59.36(0.9%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-43	-80	-33	-74	6.09	55%		-5.3	2.02%	0	-1	56	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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