Trading Signals: NTES Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Jun. 9, 2017

Trading Signals: NTES Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Oct. 5, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(NetEase Inc)
NTES latest price $60.7200 (-3.2%) ($59.4500 - $64.0800) on Fri. Jun. 9, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.77% (three month average)
RSI   64
Latest Price   $60.7200(-3.2%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   NTES advances 0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   NTES advances 2.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Rotation from growth to value for large cap. Rotation from growth to value for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support NTES advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
KWEB(73%)    MCHI(69%)    FXI(65%)    EEM(59%)    VWO(54%)
Factors Impacting NTES price   NTES will decline at least -0.885% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-10%)    UUP(-8%)    SHY(-3%)    IPO(-3%)    TLT(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.885% (StdDev 1.77%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -3.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $61.13(-0.67%)
10 Day Moving Average   $59.59(1.9%)
20 Day Moving Average   $58.5(3.79%)
To recent high   -3.5%
To recent low   15.5%
Market Cap   $8.319b

NetEase, Inc. engages in the provision of online internet technology services. It operates through the following business segments: Online Games, E-commerce, Advertisign Services, and E-Mail and Others. The Online Games segment offers multi-player online role-playing games and mobile games. The E-commerce segment provides online selling and payment platform, e-reading applications, matchmaking services, online music, social network, personalized photo-based products, and online game-related accessories. The Advertising segment involves banner advertising, channel sponsorships, direct e-mail, interactive media-rich sites, sponsored special events, games and contests. The E-Mail Services segment comprise free and fee-based premium e-mail services. The company was founded by Lei Ding in June 1997 and is headquartered in Beijing, China.

$. NTES price fluctuates within 3.44% (three month std-dev: 1.77%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 5 Average positive next day return: 0.46%(60%) Average negative next day return: -1.24%(40%) Sample size 5 Average positive next three day return: 0.8%(80%) Average negative next three day return: -0.94%(20%) Sample size 5 Average positive next weekly return: 0.64%(60%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.53%(40%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170709

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_9_2017	55.72	58.5	59.59	61.13	61.63	62.54	60.72(-3.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	43	130	23	102	10.83	54%	0.23	86	1.77%	0	1.1	64	INF
2	Jun_8_2017	55.59	58.23	59.38	60.66	60.9	62.48	62.73(-0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1	104	190	95	131	13.08	59%	0.29	84.3	1.72%	0	2.2	75	INF
3	Jun_7_2017	55.43	57.87	58.85	59.65	59.54	60.72	62.93(3.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	87	130	83	100	9.68	59%	0.27	85.9	1.72%	0	2.8	75	INF
4	Jun_6_2017	55.28	57.43	58.35	58.46	58.45	59.32	60.58(3.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	53	100	53	53	9.08	54%	0.09	83.8	1.65%	0	2.1	60	INF
5	Jun_5_2017	55.23	57.09	58.14	57.88	57.82	58.36	58.71(0.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	31	60	29	35	5.01	49%	0.22	72.8	1.61%	0	1.1	59	INF

6	Jun_2_2017	55.11	56.82	58	57.83	57.61	57.58	58.33(1.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	14	-20	4	42	3.01	43%	0.2	64	1.61%	0	0.9	68	INF
7	Jun_1_2017	55	56.56	57.84	57.83	57.84	57.28	57.71(1.32%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-2	-70	-17	42	3.94	43%	0.2	61.2	1.7%	0	0.6	61	INF
8	May_31_2017	54.89	56.37	57.74	57.9	58.16	57.65	56.96(-1.27%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-13	-50	-32	44	6.04	49%	0.16	61	1.63%	0	0.3	56	INF
9	May_30_2017	54.8	56.19	57.84	58.2	58.32	58.4	57.69(-1.33%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	7	20	-18	83	4.61	43%	0.37	57.1	1.63%	0	0.7	64	INF
10	May_26_2017	54.6	56	57.77	58.41	58.58	58.68	58.47(-0.36%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	45	20	19	124	3.59	43%	0.24	57.4	1.68%	0	1.2	69	INF

11	May_25_2017	54.47	55.73	57.38	58.19	58.49	58.24	58.68(1.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	36	-10	7	121	7.41	43%	0.28	53.8	1.7%	0	1.4	72	INF
12	May_24_2017	54.32	55.45	57.05	57.76	58.17	58.49	57.72(-1.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	32	60	3	120	7	43%	0.28	49.9	1.7%	0	1.1	70	INF
13	May_23_2017	54.17	55.22	56.86	57.54	57.82	58.75	58.46(-0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	65	130	39	143	7.1	43%	0.07	50	1.69%	0	1.7	69	INF
14	May_22_2017	54.13	55.05	56.45	57.44	57.22	57.86	58.74(2.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	68	70	40	150	8.82	49%	0.3	60.6	1.7%	0	2.1	72	INF
15	May_19_2017	53.97	54.84	55.96	57.06	57.04	56.88	57.35(1.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	54	-20	28	132	6.68	45%	0.26	66.9	1.73%	0	1.6	63	INF

16	May_18_2017	53.83	54.65	55.52	56.44	56.65	56.58	56.55(-0.09%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	20	0	-6	98	8.25	45%	0.22	61.3	1.73%	0	1.3	64	INF
17	May_17_2017	53.71	54.48	55.18	56.2	56.26	57.2	56.6(-2.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	40	120	19	101	11.65	45%	0.22	58.6	1.75%	0	1.5	64	INF
18	May_16_2017	53.59	54.27	54.89	56.04	56.16	56.72	57.94(1.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	79	80	65	121	9.24	64%	0.07	55	1.72%	0	2.6	71	INF
19	May_15_2017	53.55	54	54.38	55.33	55.61	55.32	56.85(4.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	16	-20	7	42	8.66	64%	0.24	44.9	2.48%	0	2.5	53	INF
20	May_12_2017	53.42	53.81	54.07	54.72	55.27	55.6	54.26(-1.97%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	8	70	3	23	8.09	60%	0.21	24.6	2.4%	0	0.5	47	INF

21	May_11_2017	53.31	53.76	53.96	54.45	54.85	55.9	55.35(-0.82%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1	35	160	38	27	17.74	60%	0.21	6.9	2.4%	0	1.7	57	INF
22	May_10_2017	53.2	53.64	53.73	53.99	53.96	54.95	55.81(2.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.1	31	130	37	14	11.28	60%	0.24	-18.5	2.42%	0	2.5	61	INF
23	May_9_2017	53.07	53.64	53.43	53.56	53.48	53.79	54.38(1.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	18	40	24	0	6.85	53%	0.23	-45.9	2.4%	0	1.2	60	INF
24	May_8_2017	52.95	53.51	53.52	53.31	53.25	52.98	53.79(1.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.7	-6	-40	-6	-7	4.55	56%	0.23	-70.4	2.43%	0	0.4	56	INF
25	May_5_2017	52.83	53.58	53.61	53.34	53.38	53.17	52.9(-0.32%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-8	-30	-10	-1	5.3	56%		-68.4	2.41%	0	-0.8	49	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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