Trading Signals: NTES Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. May. 16, 2017

Trading Signals: NTES Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Oct. 5, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(NetEase Inc)
NTES latest price $57.9400 (1.92%) ($56.8000 - $59.0700) on Tue. May. 16, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.72% (three month average)
RSI   71
Latest Price   $57.9400(1.92%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   NTES advances 1.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   NTES advances 2.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support NTES advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
KWEB(73%)    MCHI(69%)    FXI(65%)    EEM(59%)    VWO(54%)
Factors Impacting NTES price   NTES will decline at least -0.86% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-10%)    UUP(-8%)    TLT(-3%)    SHY(-3%)    IPO(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.86% (StdDev 1.72%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $56.04(3.39%)
10 Day Moving Average   $54.89(5.56%)
20 Day Moving Average   $54.27(6.76%)
To recent high   -5%
To recent low   10.2%
Market Cap   $7.938b

NetEase, Inc. engages in the provision of online internet technology services. It operates through the following business segments: Online Games, E-commerce, Advertisign Services, and E-Mail and Others. The Online Games segment offers multi-player online role-playing games and mobile games. The E-commerce segment provides online selling and payment platform, e-reading applications, matchmaking services, online music, social network, personalized photo-based products, and online game-related accessories. The Advertising segment involves banner advertising, channel sponsorships, direct e-mail, interactive media-rich sites, sponsored special events, games and contests. The E-Mail Services segment comprise free and fee-based premium e-mail services. The company was founded by Lei Ding in June 1997 and is headquartered in Beijing, China.

$. NTES price fluctuates within 2.58% (three month std-dev: 1.72%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 21 Average positive next day return: 1.26%(33%) Average negative next day return: -1.27%(67%) Sample size 21 Average positive next three day return: 1.86%(43%) Average negative next three day return: -1.41%(57%) Sample size 21 Average positive next weekly return: 2.47%(48%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.3%(52%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170616

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_16_2017	53.59	54.27	54.89	56.04	56.16	56.72	57.94(1.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	79	80	65	121	9.24	64%	0.07	55	1.72%	0	2.6	71	INF
2	May_15_2017	53.55	54	54.38	55.33	55.61	55.32	56.85(4.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	16	-20	7	42	8.66	64%	0.24	44.9	2.48%	0	2.5	53	INF
3	May_12_2017	53.42	53.81	54.07	54.72	55.27	55.6	54.26(-1.97%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	8	70	3	23	8.09	60%	0.21	24.6	2.4%	0	0.5	47	INF
4	May_11_2017	53.31	53.76	53.96	54.45	54.85	55.9	55.35(-0.82%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1	35	160	38	27	17.74	60%	0.21	6.9	2.4%	0	1.7	57	INF
5	May_10_2017	53.2	53.64	53.73	53.99	53.96	54.95	55.81(2.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.1	31	130	37	14	11.28	60%	0.24	-18.5	2.42%	0	2.5	61	INF

6	May_9_2017	53.07	53.64	53.43	53.56	53.48	53.79	54.38(1.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	18	40	24	0	6.85	53%	0.23	-45.9	2.4%	0	1.2	60	INF
7	May_8_2017	52.95	53.51	53.52	53.31	53.25	52.98	53.79(1.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.7	-6	-40	-6	-7	4.55	56%	0.23	-70.4	2.43%	0	0.4	56	INF
8	May_5_2017	52.83	53.58	53.61	53.34	53.38	53.17	52.9(-0.32%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-8	-30	-10	-1	5.3	56%	0.19	-68.4	2.41%	0	-0.8	49	INF
9	May_4_2017	52.73	53.69	53.71	53.38	53.59	53.51	53.07(-1.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	2	0	-0	6	4.21	56%	0.19	-69.3	2.43%	0	-0.7	51	INF
10	May_3_2017	52.63	53.8	53.74	53.39	53.45	53.6	53.67(1.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	3	20	1	8	3.63	56%	0.19	-72.6	2.45%	0	-0.1	54	INF

11	May_2_2017	52.53	53.84	53.64	53.28	53.44	53.66	53.12(-1.56%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-2	40	-2	-0	4.81	56%	0.19	-90.9	2.44%	0	-0.8	48	INF
12	May_1_2017	52.43	54.02	53.62	53.77	53.6	53.3	53.96(1.66%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	-4	-50	-7	4	2.86	56%	0.19	-66.5	2.44%	0	-0.1	46	INF
13	Apr_28_2017	52.33	54.15	53.55	53.94	54.05	53.22	53.08(-0.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-18	-100	-22	-7	4.1	56%	0.15	-60	2.4%	0	-0.8	36	INF
14	Apr_27_2017	52.25	54.32	53.55	54.09	54.48	53.91	53.14(0.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-19	-50	-21	-11	5.67	56%	0.17	-57.5	2.42%	0	-0.9	38	INF
15	Apr_26_2017	52.16	54.49	53.57	54.1	54.52	54.88	53.08(-4.52%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-0	70	3	-10	8.4	56%	0.17	-57.1	2.42%	0	-1	37	INF

16	Apr_25_2017	52.07	54.72	53.63	54	54.16	55.04	55.59(1.39%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	27	120	37	-5	5.29	62%	0.21	-51.2	2.34%	0	0.6	54	INF
17	Apr_24_2017	51.96	54.81	53.48	53.45	53.41	54.16	54.83(1.93%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	13	100	29	-34	6.41	62%	0.21	-59	2.35%	0	0	35	INF
18	Apr_21_2017	51.85	54.94	53.51	53.14	52.97	53.28	53.79(1.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-1	30	16	-53	4.89	65%	0.19	-61.6	2.35%	0	-0.6	30	INF
19	Apr_20_2017	51.75	55.11	53.63	53.01	52.89	52.66	53.23(1.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-17	-40	0	-69	3.75	65%	0.17	-61.7	2.37%	0	-1	29	INF
20	Apr_19_2017	51.66	55.31	53.83	52.98	52.91	52.67	52.58(-0.49%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-34	-40	-17	-83	7.03	65%	0.14	-63.5	2.37%	0	-1.5	23	INF

21	Apr_18_2017	51.59	55.52	54.04	53.18	53.21	53.13	52.84(-0.75%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-30	-10	-10	-90	5.44	61%	0.14	-68.5	2.37%	0	-1.6	20	INF
22	Apr_17_2017	51.52	55.82	54.45	53.51	53.51	53.16	53.24(0.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-33	-50	-15	-87	2.74	61%	0.16	-61.7	2.4%	0	-1.5	21	INF
23	Apr_13_2017	51.44	56.08	54.79	53.95	53.95	53.28	53.14(0.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-40	-90	-25	-85	4.8	61%	0.14	-56.8	2.42%	0	-1.8	21	INF
24	Apr_12_2017	51.37	56.27	55.13	54.36	54.51	53.86	53.09(-0.95%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-41	-80	-28	-80	4.86	61%	0.14	-59.7	2.42%	0	-2.1	26	INF
25	Apr_11_2017	51.3	56.5	55.5	54.8	54.95	54.62	53.6(-1.6%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-31	-30	-18	-69	6.35	61%		-61.5	2.43%	0	-2.1	28	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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