Trading Signals: NTES Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Feb. 23, 2017

Trading Signals: NTES Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Oct. 5, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(NetEase Inc)
NTES latest price $59.8000 (-1.66%) ($57.5000 - $61.0800) on Thu. Feb. 23, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.56% (three month average)
RSI   74
Latest Price   $59.8000(-1.66%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   NTES advances 2.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   NTES advances 8.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support NTES advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
KWEB(72%)    MCHI(68%)    FXI(64%)    EEM(58%)    VWO(54%)
Factors Impacting NTES price   NTES will decline at least -1.28% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-10%)    UUP(-8%)    IPO(-4%)    TLT(-3%)    SHY(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.28% (StdDev 2.56%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2%

5 Day Moving Average   $59.7(0.17%)
10 Day Moving Average   $55.95(6.88%)
20 Day Moving Average   $53.62(11.53%)
To recent high   -1.7%
To recent low   40.3%
Market Cap   $8.193b

NetEase, Inc. engages in the provision of online internet technology services. It operates through the following business segments: Online Games, E-commerce, Advertisign Services, and E-Mail and Others. The Online Games segment offers multi-player online role-playing games and mobile games. The E-commerce segment provides online selling and payment platform, e-reading applications, matchmaking services, online music, social network, personalized photo-based products, and online game-related accessories. The Advertising segment involves banner advertising, channel sponsorships, direct e-mail, interactive media-rich sites, sponsored special events, games and contests. The E-Mail Services segment comprise free and fee-based premium e-mail services. The company was founded by Lei Ding in June 1997 and is headquartered in Beijing, China.

$. NTES price fluctuates within 6.9% (three month std-dev: 2.56%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 15 Average positive next day return: 1.04%(27%) Average negative next day return: -2.63%(73%) Sample size 15 Average positive next three day return: 4.15%(13%) Average negative next three day return: -3.56%(87%) Sample size 15 Average positive next weekly return: 2.14%(20%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.4%(80%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170323

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_23_2017	48.82	53.62	55.95	59.7	59.4	59.86	59.8(-1.66%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	77	40	35	204	12.12	69%	0.23	76.7	2.56%	0	1.7	74	INF
2	Feb_22_2017	48.71	53.12	55.26	58.21	58.95	59.37	60.81(3.61%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	91	90	58	190	11.21	69%	0.25	74.6	2.55%	0	2.2	78	INF
3	Feb_21_2017	48.59	52.59	54.3	56.3	56.98	58.94	58.69(-1.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	73	280	49	146	6.32	67%	0.21	71.5	2.52%	0	2.1	75	INF
4	Feb_17_2017	48.49	52.12	53.57	54.99	55.16	58.53	59.45(-0.5%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.7	124	440	115	149	9.8	69%	0.23	69.2	2.52%	0	2.7	80	INF
5	Feb_16_2017	48.38	51.55	52.68	53.4	53.33	55.02	59.75(14.09%)	UT	HoldLong	65	2.8	107	220	107	107	18.69	69%	0.25	66.1	2.54%	0	3.7	78	INF

6	Feb_15_2017	48.26	50.92	51.75	51.75	51.78	51.8	52.37(2.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	9	0	0	37	6.2	63%	0.08	71.5	1.85%	0	1	62	INF
7	Feb_14_2017	48.22	50.67	51.59	51.89	51.85	51.64	51.22(-1.8%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	4	-30	-8	41	5.47	53%	0.06	71.6	1.92%	0	0.4	58	INF
8	Feb_13_2017	48.19	50.55	51.56	51.97	51.85	51.75	52.16(1.32%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	6	-40	-6	41	5.64	53%	0.04	78	2.11%	0	1.1	59	INF
9	Feb_10_2017	48.17	50.33	51.36	51.89	52.07	52.06	51.48(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	7	10	-4	41	6.99	47%	0.02	79.9	2.13%	0	0.8	63	INF
10	Feb_9_2017	48.16	50.11	51.28	51.79	51.98	52.38	51.51(-2.99%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	20	60	10	49	11.71	47%	0.04	76.9	2.44%	0	0.8	70	INF

11	Feb_8_2017	48.14	49.93	51.17	51.73	51.69	52.09	53.1(2.89%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	34	50	23	66	6.19	49%	0.1	87.4	2.41%	0	1.9	83	INF
12	Feb_7_2017	48.09	49.67	50.88	51.26	51.26	51.59	51.61(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	25	50	12	65	3.36	49%	0.02	100.3	2.39%	0	1.3	82	INF
13	Feb_6_2017	48.08	49.44	50.79	51.09	51.06	51.29	51.73(1.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	30	30	16	73	5.46	49%	0.1	108.2	2.42%	0	1.5	67	INF
14	Feb_3_2017	48.03	49.13	50.59	50.77	50.76	50.93	51(-0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	23	20	7	72	2.83	49%	0.06	98.3	2.42%	0	1.1	70	INF
15	Feb_2_2017	48	48.88	50.35	50.68	50.49	50.82	51.2(0.87%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	27	30	9	79	3.41	48%	0.1	96.9	2.42%	0	1.3	73	INF

16	Feb_1_2017	47.95	48.52	50.03	50.52	50.39	50.59	50.76(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	28	20	12	77	3.35	45%	0.08	82.4	2.43%	0	1.1	65	INF
17	Jan_31_2017	47.91	48.17	49.69	50.43	50.2	50.17	50.78(1.36%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	15	-20	-2	66	2.27	43%	0.1	72.8	2.47%	0	1.2	64	INF
18	Jan_30_2017	47.86	47.8	49.47	50.46	50.3	50.19	50.1(-0.95%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	18	-20	-1	76	2	43%	0.17	74.3	2.49%	0	1.1	66	INF
19	Jan_27_2017	47.78	47.52	49.22	50.38	50.46	50.22	50.58(0.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	27	-30	6	88	1.78	43%	0.13	67.9	2.49%	0	1.3	74	INF
20	Jan_26_2017	47.72	47.23	48.88	49.96	50.17	50.41	50.39(0.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	27	50	8	85	4.09	43%	0.15	67.1	2.49%	0	1.4	70	INF

21	Jan_25_2017	47.65	46.94	48.61	49.44	49.7	50.7	50.32(-1.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	52	160	35	103	3.42	43%	0.13	66	2.49%	0	1.5	76	INF
22	Jan_24_2017	47.59	46.65	48.36	48.81	48.92	49.92	50.89(2.35%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	58	150	41	110	6.54	43%	0.08	65.9	2.49%	0	2	79	INF
23	Jan_23_2017	47.55	46.27	47.95	48.35	48.18	48.7	49.72(2.58%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	48	70	26	112	5.48	43%	0.15	68.9	2.48%	0	1.8	78	INF
24	Jan_20_2017	47.48	46	47.53	47.92	47.93	47.92	48.47(1.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	35	-0	13	102	4.81	41%	0.11	70.8	2.46%	0	1.4	66	INF
25	Jan_19_2017	47.43	45.75	47.27	47.64	47.71	47.67	47.8(1.36%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	21	-0	-4	95	3.19	41%		65.2	2.45%	0	1.2	63	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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