Trading Signals: NTES Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Oct. 18, 2016

Trading Signals: NTES Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Oct. 5, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(NetEase Inc)
NTES latest price $53.1100 (1.7%) ($52.9000 - $53.8000) on Tue. Oct. 18, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.95% (three month average)
RSI   72
Latest Price   $53.1100(1.7%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   NTES advances 0.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   NTES advances 3.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support NTES advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
KWEB(72%)    MCHI(68%)    FXI(63%)    EEM(57%)    VWO(53%)
Factors Impacting NTES price   NTES will decline at least -0.975% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-11%)    UUP(-8%)    IPO(-4%)    SHY(-2%)    TLT(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.975% (StdDev 1.95%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $52.46(1.24%)
10 Day Moving Average   $51.73(2.67%)
20 Day Moving Average   $50.46(5.25%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   35.5%
Market Cap   $7.276b

NetEase, Inc. engages in the provision of online internet technology services. It operates through the following business segments: Online Games, E-commerce, Advertisign Services, and E-Mail and Others. The Online Games segment offers multi-player online role-playing games and mobile games. The E-commerce segment provides online selling and payment platform, e-reading applications, matchmaking services, online music, social network, personalized photo-based products, and online game-related accessories. The Advertising segment involves banner advertising, channel sponsorships, direct e-mail, interactive media-rich sites, sponsored special events, games and contests. The E-Mail Services segment comprise free and fee-based premium e-mail services. The company was founded by Lei Ding in June 1997 and is headquartered in Beijing, China.

$. NTES price fluctuates within 3.11% (three month std-dev: 1.95%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 21 Average positive next day return: 0.76%(62%) Average negative next day return: -1.05%(38%) Sample size 21 Average positive next three day return: 2.13%(43%) Average negative next three day return: -2.3%(57%) Sample size 21 Average positive next weekly return: 1.97%(43%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.74%(57%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20161118

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_18_2016	41.68	50.46	51.73	52.46	52.56	52.72	53.11(1.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	42	30	16	118	4.4	76%	0.26	71.7	1.95%	0	1.7	72	0
2	Oct_17_2016	41.57	50.24	51.4	52	52.28	52.62	52.22(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	33	60	8	107	4.16	76%	0.43	78	1.96%	0	1.4	69	0
3	Oct_14_2016	41.39	50.11	51.09	52.01	52.1	52.39	52.27(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	47	40	23	120	8.33	76%	0.41	90.4	1.96%	0	1.5	71	0
4	Oct_13_2016	41.22	49.88	50.69	51.68	51.77	51.95	52.4(0.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	34	30	12	99	6.81	76%	0.44	102.1	1.96%	0	1.8	62	0
5	Oct_12_2016	41.04	49.63	50.29	51.44	51.51	51.81	52.28(2.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	39	40	23	86	10.18	76%	0.44	110.5	1.98%	0	1.9	56	0

6	Oct_11_2016	40.86	49.36	49.92	50.91	51.05	51.58	50.84(-2.74%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	31	80	21	62	5.73	78%	0.44	110.3	1.96%	0	1	54	0
7	Oct_10_2016	40.68	49.14	49.72	50.68	50.6	51.22	52.27(3.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	44	80	38	60	4.34	82%	0.49	106.1	2.04%	0	2	65	0
8	Oct_7_2016	40.48	48.82	49.3	50.02	50.09	50.52	50.59(-1.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	29	60	30	27	4.05	81%	0.45	84.9	2.03%	0	0.9	53	0
9	Oct_6_2016	40.3	48.45	49.17	49.54	49.64	49.97	51.2(3.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	25	50	26	20	5.4	81%	0.47	71.9	2.02%	0	1.4	65	0
10	Oct_5_2016	40.11	48.11	49.05	48.98	49.15	49.66	49.63(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	16	80	17	13	3.16	79%	0.45	66.1	2%	0	0.7	61	0

11	Oct_4_2016	39.93	47.83	49.06	48.79	48.85	49.31	49.72(1.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	24	70	23	25	5.01	79%	0.43	65.4	2%	0	0.9	64	0
12	Oct_3_2016	39.76	47.57	48.97	48.61	48.65	48.65	48.97(1.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	14	0	9	28	3.24	79%	0.48	67.8	2.01%	0	0.6	65	0
13	Sep_30_2016	39.57	47.29	49.04	48.47	48.64	48.4	48.16(-0.52%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	1	-20	-11	36	3.85	75%	0.48	60.4	2.1%	0	0.4	64	0
14	Sep_29_2016	39.38	47.05	49.01	48.73	48.63	48.66	48.41(-0.6%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	5	-0	-16	67	4.2	77%	0.51	63.6	2.22%	0	0.5	77	0
15	Sep_28_2016	39.18	46.77	48.95	49.13	48.9	48.88	48.7(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	23	-20	-3	101	2.98	79%	0.54	65.4	2.29%	0	0.7	67	0

16	Sep_27_2016	38.97	46.45	48.8	49.13	49.29	48.61	48.83(1.22%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	24	-100	-9	124	5.16	75%	0.54	65.2	2.32%	0	0.9	69	0
17	Sep_26_2016	38.76	46.15	48.56	49.37	49.49	48.92	48.24(-2.51%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	8	-70	-31	126	8.47	75%	0.54	65.2	2.37%	0	0.7	65	0
18	Sep_23_2016	38.55	45.92	48.37	49.69	49.77	49.97	49.48(-1.84%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	48	30	6	173	5.1	79%	0.55	72.1	2.34%	0	1.3	73	0
19	Sep_22_2016	38.34	45.53	47.73	49.31	49.69	50.06	50.41(1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	65	80	29	173	6.43	79%	0.6	69.3	2.34%	0	1.7	75	0
20	Sep_21_2016	38.11	45.1	47.12	48.74	49.03	49.58	49.91(2.21%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	60	100	24	168	6.63	79%	0.61	67.3	2.34%	0	1.8	76	0

21	Sep_20_2016	37.88	44.72	46.5	48.15	48.4	49.31	48.83(-1.95%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	68	150	35	167	7.44	79%	0.58	66.9	2.33%	0	1.7	75	0
22	Sep_19_2016	37.66	44.39	46.05	47.63	47.83	48.47	49.8(4.6%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	75	110	44	169	10.96	79%	0.59	66.5	2.31%	0	2.4	76	0
23	Sep_16_2016	37.44	43.98	45.35	46.87	47.15	47.5	47.61(0.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	66	70	39	145	6.09	77%	0.56	69.3	2.27%	0	1.9	66	0
24	Sep_15_2016	37.23	43.67	44.9	45.88	46.17	47.2	47.55(1.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	56	180	34	120	4.49	77%	0.57	62.8	2.27%	0	2.2	71	0
25	Sep_14_2016	37.02	43.4	44.37	45.24	45.19	46.79	46.95(1.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	72	240	59	111	12.46	77%		70.2	2.27%	0	2.4	67	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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