Trading Signals: NTES Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Oct. 5, 2016

Trading Signals: NTES Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Oct. 5, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(NetEase Inc)
NTES latest price $49.6300 (-0.18%) ($49.4500 - $49.9500) on Wed. Oct. 5, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2% (three month average)
RSI   61
Latest Price   $49.6300(-0.18%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   NTES advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   NTES advances 0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support NTES advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
KWEB(72%)    MCHI(68%)    FXI(63%)    EEM(57%)    VWO(53%)
Factors Impacting NTES price   NTES will decline at least -1% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-11%)    UUP(-8%)    IPO(-4%)    TLT(-2%)    SHY(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1% (StdDev 2%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $48.98(1.33%)
10 Day Moving Average   $49.05(1.18%)
20 Day Moving Average   $48.11(3.16%)
To recent high   -1.5%
To recent low   34%
Market Cap   $6.799b

NetEase, Inc. engages in the provision of online internet technology services. It operates through the following business segments: Online Games, E-commerce, Advertisign Services, and E-Mail and Others. The Online Games segment offers multi-player online role-playing games and mobile games. The E-commerce segment provides online selling and payment platform, e-reading applications, matchmaking services, online music, social network, personalized photo-based products, and online game-related accessories. The Advertising segment involves banner advertising, channel sponsorships, direct e-mail, interactive media-rich sites, sponsored special events, games and contests. The E-Mail Services segment comprise free and fee-based premium e-mail services. The company was founded by Lei Ding in June 1997 and is headquartered in Beijing, China.

$. NTES price fluctuates within 4.34% (three month std-dev: 2%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 5 Average positive next day return: 3.66%(20%) Average negative next day return: -2%(80%) Sample size 5 Average positive next three day return: 2.99%(60%) Average negative next three day return: -3.11%(40%) Sample size 5 Average positive next weekly return: 7.72%(40%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.98%(60%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_5_2016	40.11	48.11	49.05	48.98	49.15	49.66	49.63(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	16	80	17	13	3.16	79%	0.45	66.1	2%	0	0.7	61	INF
2	Oct_4_2016	39.93	47.83	49.06	48.79	48.85	49.31	49.72(1.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	24	70	23	25	5.01	79%	0.43	65.4	2%	0	0.9	64	INF
3	Oct_3_2016	39.76	47.57	48.97	48.61	48.65	48.65	48.97(1.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	14	0	9	28	3.24	79%	0.48	67.8	2.01%	0	0.6	65	INF
4	Sep_30_2016	39.57	47.29	49.04	48.47	48.64	48.4	48.16(-0.52%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	1	-20	-11	36	3.85	75%	0.48	60.4	2.1%	0	0.4	64	INF
5	Sep_29_2016	39.38	47.05	49.01	48.73	48.63	48.66	48.41(-0.6%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	5	-0	-16	67	4.2	77%	0.51	63.6	2.22%	0	0.5	77	INF

6	Sep_28_2016	39.18	46.77	48.95	49.13	48.9	48.88	48.7(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	23	-20	-3	101	2.98	79%	0.54	65.4	2.29%	0	0.7	67	INF
7	Sep_27_2016	38.97	46.45	48.8	49.13	49.29	48.61	48.83(1.22%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	24	-100	-9	124	5.16	75%	0.54	65.2	2.32%	0	0.9	69	INF
8	Sep_26_2016	38.76	46.15	48.56	49.37	49.49	48.92	48.24(-2.51%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	8	-70	-31	126	8.47	75%	0.54	65.2	2.37%	0	0.7	65	INF
9	Sep_23_2016	38.55	45.92	48.37	49.69	49.77	49.97	49.48(-1.84%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	48	30	6	173	5.1	79%	0.55	72.1	2.34%	0	1.3	73	INF
10	Sep_22_2016	38.34	45.53	47.73	49.31	49.69	50.06	50.41(1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	65	80	29	173	6.43	79%	0.6	69.3	2.34%	0	1.7	75	INF

11	Sep_21_2016	38.11	45.1	47.12	48.74	49.03	49.58	49.91(2.21%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	60	100	24	168	6.63	79%	0.61	67.3	2.34%	0	1.8	76	INF
12	Sep_20_2016	37.88	44.72	46.5	48.15	48.4	49.31	48.83(-1.95%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	68	150	35	167	7.44	79%	0.58	66.9	2.33%	0	1.7	75	INF
13	Sep_19_2016	37.66	44.39	46.05	47.63	47.83	48.47	49.8(4.6%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	75	110	44	169	10.96	79%	0.59	66.5	2.31%	0	2.4	76	INF
14	Sep_16_2016	37.44	43.98	45.35	46.87	47.15	47.5	47.61(0.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	66	70	39	145	6.09	77%	0.56	69.3	2.27%	0	1.9	66	INF
15	Sep_15_2016	37.23	43.67	44.9	45.88	46.17	47.2	47.55(1.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	56	180	34	120	4.49	77%	0.57	62.8	2.27%	0	2.2	71	INF

16	Sep_14_2016	37.02	43.4	44.37	45.24	45.19	46.79	46.95(1.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	72	240	59	111	12.46	77%	0.57	70.2	2.27%	0	2.4	67	INF
17	Sep_13_2016	36.81	43.17	43.89	44.6	44.43	45.15	46.25(0.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	59	100	50	86	14.07	77%	0.55	80.5	2.27%	0	2.4	63	INF
18	Sep_12_2016	36.61	42.96	43.51	44.23	43.83	43.59	46.01(7.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	22	-70	9	59	8.78	77%	0.55	98.3	2.27%	0	2.9	63	INF
19	Sep_9_2016	36.41	42.71	43.23	43.63	43.87	43.71	42.63(-3.86%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.2	3	-10	-10	42	4.7	67%	0.41	108.2	2.2%	0	-0.1	55	INF
20	Sep_8_2016	36.26	42.59	43.16	43.74	43.82	44.07	44.34(1.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	25	50	14	59	3.58	72%	0.5	94.9	2.15%	0	1.7	66	INF

21	Sep_7_2016	36.08	42.38	42.95	43.35	43.5	44.04	43.79(-1.37%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	30	100	24	47	5.7	72%	0.45	79.6	2.15%	0	1.3	55	INF
22	Sep_6_2016	35.92	42.18	42.82	43.03	43.05	43.57	44.4(3.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	30	90	27	37	10.87	72%	0.7	66.7	2.14%	0	1.9	58	INF
23	Sep_2_2016	35.67	41.96	42.62	42.69	42.69	42.95	42.98(-0.46%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	11	40	8	19	7.74	70%	0.42	57.7	2.1%	0	0.9	54	INF
24	Sep_1_2016	35.52	41.83	42.52	42.8	42.67	42.53	43.18(1.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	14	-30	9	29	5.64	70%	0.42	56.7	2.1%	0	1.1	62	INF
25	Aug_31_2016	35.37	41.66	42.35	42.51	42.66	42.43	42.39(0.45%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	1	-30	-6	22	3.8	70%		43.4	2.1%	0	0.6	65	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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