Trading Signals: NTES Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Sep. 20, 2016

Trading Signals: NTES Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Oct. 5, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(NetEase Inc)
NTES latest price $48.8300 (-1.95%) ($48.2200 - $50.5900) on Tue. Sep. 20, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.33% (three month average)
RSI   75
Latest Price   $48.8300(-1.95%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   NTES advances 1.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   NTES advances 6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support NTES advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
KWEB(72%)    MCHI(67%)    FXI(63%)    EEM(57%)    VWO(53%)
Factors Impacting NTES price   NTES will decline at least -1.165% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-11%)    UUP(-8%)    SHY(-2%)    BOTZ(-2%)    TLT(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.165% (StdDev 2.33%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $48.15(1.41%)
10 Day Moving Average   $46.5(5.01%)
20 Day Moving Average   $44.72(9.19%)
To recent high   -1.9%
To recent low   48%
Market Cap   $6.69b

NetEase, Inc. engages in the provision of online internet technology services. It operates through the following business segments: Online Games, E-commerce, Advertisign Services, and E-Mail and Others. The Online Games segment offers multi-player online role-playing games and mobile games. The E-commerce segment provides online selling and payment platform, e-reading applications, matchmaking services, online music, social network, personalized photo-based products, and online game-related accessories. The Advertising segment involves banner advertising, channel sponsorships, direct e-mail, interactive media-rich sites, sponsored special events, games and contests. The E-Mail Services segment comprise free and fee-based premium e-mail services. The company was founded by Lei Ding in June 1997 and is headquartered in Beijing, China.

$. NTES price fluctuates within 5.37% (three month std-dev: 2.33%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 37 Average positive next day return: 1.61%(65%) Average negative next day return: -1.93%(35%) Sample size 37 Average positive next three day return: 3.06%(57%) Average negative next three day return: -3.51%(43%) Sample size 37 Average positive next weekly return: 4.61%(54%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.88%(46%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20161020

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_20_2016	37.88	44.72	46.5	48.15	48.4	49.31	48.83(-1.95%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	68	150	35	167	7.44	79%	0.58	66.9	2.33%	0	1.7	75	INF
2	Sep_19_2016	37.66	44.39	46.05	47.63	47.83	48.47	49.8(4.6%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	75	110	44	169	10.96	79%	0.59	66.5	2.31%	0	2.4	76	INF
3	Sep_16_2016	37.44	43.98	45.35	46.87	47.15	47.5	47.61(0.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	66	70	39	145	6.09	77%	0.56	69.3	2.27%	0	1.9	66	INF
4	Sep_15_2016	37.23	43.67	44.9	45.88	46.17	47.2	47.55(1.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	56	180	34	120	4.49	77%	0.57	62.8	2.27%	0	2.2	71	INF
5	Sep_14_2016	37.02	43.4	44.37	45.24	45.19	46.79	46.95(1.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	72	240	59	111	12.46	77%	0.57	70.2	2.27%	0	2.4	67	INF

6	Sep_13_2016	36.81	43.17	43.89	44.6	44.43	45.15	46.25(0.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	59	100	50	86	14.07	77%	0.55	80.5	2.27%	0	2.4	63	INF
7	Sep_12_2016	36.61	42.96	43.51	44.23	43.83	43.59	46.01(7.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	22	-70	9	59	8.78	77%	0.55	98.3	2.27%	0	2.9	63	INF
8	Sep_9_2016	36.41	42.71	43.23	43.63	43.87	43.71	42.63(-3.86%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.2	3	-10	-10	42	4.7	67%	0.41	108.2	2.2%	0	-0.1	55	INF
9	Sep_8_2016	36.26	42.59	43.16	43.74	43.82	44.07	44.34(1.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	25	50	14	59	3.58	72%	0.5	94.9	2.15%	0	1.7	66	INF
10	Sep_7_2016	36.08	42.38	42.95	43.35	43.5	44.04	43.79(-1.37%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	30	100	24	47	5.7	72%	0.45	79.6	2.15%	0	1.3	55	INF

11	Sep_6_2016	35.92	42.18	42.82	43.03	43.05	43.57	44.4(3.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	30	90	27	37	10.87	72%	0.7	66.7	2.14%	0	1.9	58	INF
12	Sep_2_2016	35.67	41.96	42.62	42.69	42.69	42.95	42.98(-0.46%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	11	40	8	19	7.74	70%	0.42	57.7	2.1%	0	0.9	54	INF
13	Sep_1_2016	35.52	41.83	42.52	42.8	42.67	42.53	43.18(1.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	14	-30	9	29	5.64	70%	0.42	56.7	2.1%	0	1.1	62	INF
14	Aug_31_2016	35.37	41.66	42.35	42.51	42.66	42.43	42.39(0.45%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	1	-30	-6	22	3.8	70%	0.43	43.4	2.1%	0	0.6	65	INF
15	Aug_30_2016	35.22	41.53	42.38	42.47	42.53	42.81	42.2(-1.19%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	8	50	-3	39	5.07	70%	0.43	35.8	2.1%	0	0.5	65	INF

16	Aug_29_2016	35.07	41.43	42.42	42.56	42.5	42.89	42.71(-1.91%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	31	60	18	70	4.67	70%	0.4	35.4	2.11%	0	1	69	INF
17	Aug_26_2016	34.93	41.31	42.37	42.52	42.4	42.24	43.54(4.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	30	-30	12	82	6.46	71%	0.43	36.9	2.1%	0	1.9	72	INF
18	Aug_25_2016	34.78	41.17	42.14	42.2	42.28	42.1	41.7(-1.23%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	10	-20	-10	70	3.88	69%	0.38	40.1	2.05%	0	0.5	62	INF
19	Aug_24_2016	34.65	41.14	42	42.17	42.22	42.56	42.22(-0.96%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	21	60	2	78	4.85	72%	0.41	47.3	2.04%	0	1	70	INF
20	Aug_23_2016	34.51	41.09	41.78	42.17	42.12	42.45	42.63(0.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	31	40	13	85	3.83	72%	0.41	58.5	2.15%	0	1.5	74	INF

21	Aug_22_2016	34.37	41	41.51	42.26	42.15	41.89	42.51(1.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	21	-50	1	80	4.54	72%	0.41	67.6	2.17%	0	1.5	68	INF
22	Aug_19_2016	34.23	40.88	41.26	42.22	42.3	41.8	41.95(1.04%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	9	-80	-12	72	6.66	74%	0.41	68.6	2.2%	0	1.1	60	INF
23	Aug_18_2016	34.09	40.74	41.1	42.06	42.43	42.4	41.52(-2.7%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	19	20	2	69	15.8	74%	0.38	65.8	2.21%	0	0.8	55	INF
24	Aug_17_2016	33.96	40.64	40.92	41.77	42.06	42.79	42.67(0.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	37	140	29	62	5.66	77%	0.44	59.4	2.17%	0	2.1	59	INF
25	Aug_16_2016	33.81	40.49	40.62	41.21	41.42	42.46	42.64(0.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	47	190	49	39	7.48	79%		55.3	2.17%	0	2.4	56	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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