Trading Signals: NTES Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Jul. 1, 2016

Trading Signals: NTES Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Oct. 5, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(NetEase Inc)
NTES latest price $36.9100 (-4.48%) ($36.7600 - $38.6900) on Fri. Jul. 1, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.36% (three month average)
RSI   71
Latest Price   $36.9100(-4.48%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   NTES advances 1.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   NTES advances 4.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock rally for large cap. Growth stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support NTES advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
KWEB(72%)    MCHI(67%)    FXI(62%)    EEM(56%)    VWO(52%)
Factors Impacting NTES price   NTES will decline at least -1.18% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-11%)    UUP(-8%)    TLT(-2%)    SHY(-2%)    IPO(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.18% (StdDev 2.36%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -4.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $35.96(2.64%)
10 Day Moving Average   $34.94(5.64%)
20 Day Moving Average   $34.25(7.77%)
To recent high   -4.5%
To recent low   38.7%
Market Cap   $5.057b

NetEase, Inc. engages in the provision of online internet technology services. It operates through the following business segments: Online Games, E-commerce, Advertisign Services, and E-Mail and Others. The Online Games segment offers multi-player online role-playing games and mobile games. The E-commerce segment provides online selling and payment platform, e-reading applications, matchmaking services, online music, social network, personalized photo-based products, and online game-related accessories. The Advertising segment involves banner advertising, channel sponsorships, direct e-mail, interactive media-rich sites, sponsored special events, games and contests. The E-Mail Services segment comprise free and fee-based premium e-mail services. The company was founded by Lei Ding in June 1997 and is headquartered in Beijing, China.

$. NTES price fluctuates within 4.55% (three month std-dev: 2.36%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -4.28%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -1.92%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.42%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160801

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_1_2016	30.48	34.25	34.94	35.96	36.34	37.77	36.91(-4.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	71	310	47	143	10.6	80%	0.33	18.5	2.36%	0	1.7	71	INF
2	Jun_30_2016	30.38	34.14	34.51	35.46	35.32	36.71	38.64(6.45%)	UT	HoldLong	65	2.2	90	260	73	142	12.49	86%	0.36	9.6	2.27%	0	3.1	81	INF
3	Jun_29_2016	30.27	33.91	33.91	34.65	34.33	34.91	36.3(4.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	55	90	43	90	8.49	84%	0.3	-7.5	2.16%	0	2.2	58	INF
4	Jun_28_2016	30.18	33.84	33.55	34.09	33.96	33.93	34.6(3.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	21	-20	15	39	3.55	82%	0.3	-21.8	2.09%	0	0.8	46	INF
5	Jun_27_2016	30.09	33.87	33.37	33.8	33.77	33.75	33.33(-3.17%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-1	-10	-2	3	5.35	81%	0.17	-17.6	2.09%	0	-0.5	37	INF

6	Jun_24_2016	30.04	33.96	33.31	33.73	33.64	33.99	34.42(-0.46%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	11	60	18	-10	5.96	87%	0.13	-11.7	2.06%	0	0.4	44	INF
7	Jun_23_2016	30	34	33.1	33.37	33.47	33.79	34.58(3.19%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	8	80	26	-46	4.03	87%	0.17	-7.8	2.06%	0	0.5	43	INF
8	Jun_22_2016	29.95	33.99	33.04	33.07	33.1	33.29	33.51(1.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-11	40	9	-72	4.26	86%	0.1	-7.8	2.06%	0	-0.4	38	INF
9	Jun_21_2016	29.92	34.06	33.16	32.94	32.96	33.14	33.15(0.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-15	40	8	-82	3.72	86%	0.07	-2.5	2.06%	0	-0.8	30	INF
10	Jun_20_2016	29.9	34.05	33.33	32.88	32.89	32.92	32.99(1.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-17	10	7	-90	3.89	86%	0.07	-1.5	2.06%	0	-1	27	INF

11	Jun_17_2016	29.88	34.05	33.51	32.81	32.8	32.79	32.62(-1.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-25	-0	0	-99	4.31	86%	0.03	7.5	2.08%	0	-1.3	28	INF
12	Jun_16_2016	29.87	34.05	33.75	32.77	32.76	32.86	33.06(0.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-32	20	-7	-107	5.82	86%	0.1	18.8	2.08%	0	-0.9	29	INF
13	Jun_15_2016	29.84	34.05	33.92	33.02	32.82	32.8	32.86(-0.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-35	-20	-14	-98	4.41	86%	0.07	39.7	2.11%	0	-1.1	38	INF
14	Jun_14_2016	29.82	34.08	34.16	33.44	33.21	32.65	32.89(0.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-39	-140	-24	-82	3.85	86%	0.03	66.8	2.11%	0	-1	37	INF
15	Jun_13_2016	29.81	34.07	34.43	33.85	33.76	32.83	32.64(0.74%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1	-45	-200	-43	-52	5.95	86%	0.07	94.5	2.11%	0	-1.2	54	INF

16	Jun_10_2016	29.79	34	34.69	34.3	34.35	33.78	32.4(-5.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-36	-110	-42	-18	11.4	87%	0.03	102.3	2.15%	0	-1.2	49	INF
17	Jun_9_2016	29.78	33.87	35.01	34.85	34.82	34.69	34.3(-1.89%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	4	-30	-10	44	5.64	100%	0.07	96.2	2.03%	0	0.3	67	INF
18	Jun_8_2016	29.76	33.63	35.05	34.93	34.96	34.93	34.96(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	16	-0	-2	68	7.16	100%	0.1	87.1	2.02%	0	0.7	67	INF
19	Jun_7_2016	29.73	33.33	35.04	34.98	34.97	34.94	34.96(0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	17	-10	-6	87	7.25	100%	0.17	82.4	2.05%	0	0.7	67	INF
20	Jun_6_2016	29.68	32.99	34.85	35.11	35.01	35	34.9(-0.6%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	23	-10	-3	101	5.16	100%	0.13	76.3	2.05%	0	0.8	69	INF

21	Jun_3_2016	29.64	32.66	34.71	35.16	35.14	34.99	35.11(1.12%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	30	-30	-3	128	5.72	100%	0.1	73.1	2.05%	0	0.9	77	INF
22	Jun_2_2016	29.61	32.32	34.45	35.21	35.19	35.03	34.72(-1.45%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	36	-30	-5	158	5.84	100%	0.1	73.9	2.08%	0	0.9	81	INF
23	Jun_1_2016	29.58	31.99	34.26	35.19	35.18	35.28	35.23(-0.96%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	50	20	2	195	7.84	100%	0.1	74.7	2.09%	0	1.2	84	INF
24	May_31_2016	29.55	31.61	34.01	35.1	35.11	35.34	35.57(1.17%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	81	50	27	242	34.69	100%	0.03	75.3	2.09%	0	1.4	87	INF
25	May_27_2016	29.54	31.22	33.68	34.55	34.73	35.08	35.16(-0.59%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	81	90	22	256	7.17	100%		74	2.11%	0	1.4	88	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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