Trading Signals: NTES Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ NTES: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Jan. 21, 2016

Trading Signals: NTES Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Oct. 5, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(NetEase Inc)
NTES latest price $31.8300 (-0.72%) ($31.4000 - $32.2900) on Thu. Jan. 21, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.26% (three month average)
RSI   30
Latest Price   $31.8300(-0.72%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   NTES advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   NTES declines -4.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Growth stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support NTES advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
KWEB(71%)    MCHI(65%)    FXI(61%)    EEM(55%)    VWO(51%)
Factors Impacting NTES price   NTES will decline at least -1.13% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-12%)    UUP(-8%)    TLT(-3%)    SHY(-3%)    IGOV(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.13% (StdDev 2.26%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.9%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $21.3(-33.08%)
Resistance Level   $33.89
5 Day Moving Average   $31.98(-0.47%)
10 Day Moving Average   $32.1(-0.84%)
20 Day Moving Average   $33.89(-6.08%)
To recent high   -13.9%
To recent low   16%
Market Cap   $4.361b

NetEase, Inc. engages in the provision of online internet technology services. It operates through the following business segments: Online Games, E-commerce, Advertisign Services, and E-Mail and Others. The Online Games segment offers multi-player online role-playing games and mobile games. The E-commerce segment provides online selling and payment platform, e-reading applications, matchmaking services, online music, social network, personalized photo-based products, and online game-related accessories. The Advertising segment involves banner advertising, channel sponsorships, direct e-mail, interactive media-rich sites, sponsored special events, games and contests. The E-Mail Services segment comprise free and fee-based premium e-mail services. The company was founded by Lei Ding in June 1997 and is headquartered in Beijing, China.

$. NTES price fluctuates within 5.84% (three month std-dev: 2.26%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 7 Average positive next day return: 3.34%(43%) Average negative next day return: -3.39%(57%) Sample size 7 Average positive next three day return: 1.34%(43%) Average negative next three day return: -6.78%(57%) Sample size 7 Average positive next weekly return: 2.54%(29%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.85%(71%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160221

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_21_2016	31.6	33.89	32.1	31.98	31.76	31.78	31.83(-0.72%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-32	-20	-2	-123	5.6	58%	0	-54.6	2.26%	0	-1	30	INF
2	Jan_20_2016	31.6	34.1	32.37	31.93	31.79	31.91	32.06(-0.84%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-34	10	2	-140	5.1	58%	0.03	-54.2	2.27%	0	-1	29	INF
3	Jan_19_2016	31.59	34.32	32.62	31.95	31.87	31.74	32.33(4.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-34	-40	5	-151	6.92	58%	0.03	-50.3	2.26%	0	-1	33	INF
4	Jan_15_2016	31.58	34.53	32.82	31.84	31.84	31.68	31(-5.2%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-59	-40	-18	-181	5.01	60%	-0.03	-50.9	2.27%	0	-1.8	24	INF
5	Jan_14_2016	31.59	34.83	33.33	32.18	31.98	31.99	32.7(3.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-47	-20	-6	-171	4.4	62%	0.06	-46.9	2.19%	0	-1.2	31	INF

6	Jan_13_2016	31.57	35.01	33.66	32.25	32.26	32	31.56(-1.9%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-61	-60	-21	-179	3.32	61%	0	-46.7	2.17%	0	-1.9	24	INF
7	Jan_12_2016	31.57	35.23	34.19	32.88	32.54	31.96	32.17(1.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-66	-160	-36	-154	3.87	62%	0.03	-42.1	2.16%	0	-1.9	28	INF
8	Jan_11_2016	31.56	35.37	34.61	33.4	33.17	32.53	31.76(-2.84%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.1	-62	-160	-38	-135	6.05	62%	0	-42.1	2.16%	0	-2.5	24	INF
9	Jan_8_2016	31.56	35.57	35.13	33.94	33.87	33.11	32.69(-1.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-58	-160	-39	-114	4.83	64%	0.06	-35	2.13%	0	-2.4	26	INF
10	Jan_7_2016	31.54	35.72	35.52	34.65	34.11	33.82	33.07(-4.78%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-57	-110	-46	-91	6.58	64%	0.06	-18.2	2.13%	0	-2.7	26	INF

11	Jan_6_2016	31.52	35.88	35.86	35.26	34.89	34.63	34.73(-0.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-23	-80	-13	-54	4.79	66%	0.16	17.1	2.03%	0	-1.5	41	INF
12	Jan_5_2016	31.47	35.94	36.01	35.7	35.36	34.4	34.77(1.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-36	-220	-35	-40	3.66	66%	0.16	49	2.06%	0	-1.6	48	INF
13	Jan_4_2016	31.42	35.94	36.18	36.02	35.89	35.15	34.42(-5.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.3	-41	-160	-48	-18	5.6	66%	0.16	86.5	2.08%	0	-2.3	54	INF
14	Dec_31_2015	31.37	36	36.4	36.49	36.43	36.32	36.25(0.33%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-2	-30	-11	27	2.46	71%	0.26	104	1.97%	0	0.3	57	INF
15	Dec_30_2015	31.29	35.9	36.46	36.52	36.43	36.64	36.13(-2.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	12	20	1	46	3.42	71%	0.26	101.3	1.99%	0	0.3	58	INF

16	Dec_29_2015	31.21	35.75	36.47	36.55	36.56	36.55	36.95(1.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	21	-0	10	53	2.02	74%	0.32	81.3	1.97%	0	1.2	55	INF
17	Dec_28_2015	31.11	35.58	36.33	36.36	36.38	36.47	36.35(-1.14%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	8	20	-3	39	2.32	74%	0.29	73.7	1.98%	0	0.7	56	INF
18	Dec_24_2015	31.02	35.41	36.16	36.37	36.39	36.58	36.77(0.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	16	40	10	35	1.69	74%	0.32	70.6	1.98%	0	1.1	56	INF
19	Dec_23_2015	30.92	35.26	36.03	36.31	36.28	36.3	36.42(0.39%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	9	0	-1	39	2.65	74%	0.32	81.3	2%	0	0.9	66	INF
20	Dec_22_2015	30.82	35.1	35.92	36.4	36.33	36.19	36.28(0.78%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	11	-30	-3	52	4.91	74%	0.33	91.6	2.02%	0	0.9	64	INF

21	Dec_21_2015	30.72	34.94	35.89	36.37	36.48	36.26	36(-0.99%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	18	-30	-1	76	3.41	74%	0.29	103.1	2.04%	0	0.8	70	INF
22	Dec_18_2015	30.63	34.78	35.85	36.27	36.41	36.46	36.36(-0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	31	20	9	95	4.97	74%	0.36	109.3	2.05%	0	1.1	68	INF
23	Dec_17_2015	30.52	34.56	35.79	35.9	36.11	36.69	36.47(-1.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	43	130	21	107	3.73	74%	0.39	100.9	2.06%	0	1.3	71	INF
24	Dec_16_2015	30.4	34.28	35.56	35.69	35.6	36.35	36.87(2.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	51	140	33	106	3.67	74%	0.4	93.1	2.07%	0	1.6	64	INF
25	Dec_15_2015	30.28	33.95	35.29	35.38	35.28	35.52	36.13(1.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	38	40	18	96	6.37	74%		84.3	2.08%	0	1.3	66	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.