Trading Signals: NTES Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jan. 19, 2016

Trading Signals: NTES Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Oct. 5, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(NetEase Inc)
NTES latest price $32.3300 (4.29%) ($31.6600 - $32.9800) on Tue. Jan. 19, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.26% (three month average)
RSI   33
Latest Price   $32.3300(4.29%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   NTES advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   NTES declines -5.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support NTES advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
KWEB(71%)    MCHI(65%)    FXI(61%)    EEM(55%)    VWO(51%)
Factors Impacting NTES price   NTES will decline at least -1.13% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-12%)    UUP(-8%)    TLT(-3%)    SHY(-3%)    IPO(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.13% (StdDev 2.26%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.1%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $21.35(-33.96%)
Resistance Level   $34.32
5 Day Moving Average   $31.95(1.19%)
10 Day Moving Average   $32.62(-0.89%)
20 Day Moving Average   $34.32(-5.8%)
To recent high   -12.5%
To recent low   17.9%
Market Cap   $4.429b

NetEase, Inc. engages in the provision of online internet technology services. It operates through the following business segments: Online Games, E-commerce, Advertisign Services, and E-Mail and Others. The Online Games segment offers multi-player online role-playing games and mobile games. The E-commerce segment provides online selling and payment platform, e-reading applications, matchmaking services, online music, social network, personalized photo-based products, and online game-related accessories. The Advertising segment involves banner advertising, channel sponsorships, direct e-mail, interactive media-rich sites, sponsored special events, games and contests. The E-Mail Services segment comprise free and fee-based premium e-mail services. The company was founded by Lei Ding in June 1997 and is headquartered in Beijing, China.

$. NTES price fluctuates within 5.89% (three month std-dev: 2.26%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 5 Average positive next day return: 4.54%(40%) Average negative next day return: -1.57%(60%) Sample size 5 Average positive next three day return: 4.13%(80%) Average negative next three day return: -2.72%(20%) Sample size 5 Average positive next weekly return: 3.77%(60%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.51%(40%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_19_2016	31.59	34.32	32.62	31.95	31.87	31.74	32.33(4.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-34	-40	5	-151	6.92	58%	0.03	-50.3	2.26%	0	-1	33	0
2	Jan_15_2016	31.58	34.53	32.82	31.84	31.84	31.68	31(-5.2%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-59	-40	-18	-181	5.01	60%	-0.03	-50.9	2.27%	0	-1.8	24	0
3	Jan_14_2016	31.59	34.83	33.33	32.18	31.98	31.99	32.7(3.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-47	-20	-6	-171	4.4	62%	0.06	-46.9	2.19%	0	-1.2	31	0
4	Jan_13_2016	31.57	35.01	33.66	32.25	32.26	32	31.56(-1.9%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-61	-60	-21	-179	3.32	61%	0	-46.7	2.17%	0	-1.9	24	0
5	Jan_12_2016	31.57	35.23	34.19	32.88	32.54	31.96	32.17(1.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-66	-160	-36	-154	3.87	62%	0.03	-42.1	2.16%	0	-1.9	28	0

6	Jan_11_2016	31.56	35.37	34.61	33.4	33.17	32.53	31.76(-2.84%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.1	-62	-160	-38	-135	6.05	62%	0	-42.1	2.16%	0	-2.5	24	0
7	Jan_8_2016	31.56	35.57	35.13	33.94	33.87	33.11	32.69(-1.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-58	-160	-39	-114	4.83	64%	0.06	-35	2.13%	0	-2.4	26	0
8	Jan_7_2016	31.54	35.72	35.52	34.65	34.11	33.82	33.07(-4.78%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-57	-110	-46	-91	6.58	64%	0.06	-18.2	2.13%	0	-2.7	26	0
9	Jan_6_2016	31.52	35.88	35.86	35.26	34.89	34.63	34.73(-0.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-23	-80	-13	-54	4.79	66%	0.16	17.1	2.03%	0	-1.5	41	0
10	Jan_5_2016	31.47	35.94	36.01	35.7	35.36	34.4	34.77(1.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-36	-220	-35	-40	3.66	66%	0.16	49	2.06%	0	-1.6	48	0

11	Jan_4_2016	31.42	35.94	36.18	36.02	35.89	35.15	34.42(-5.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.3	-41	-160	-48	-18	5.6	66%	0.16	86.5	2.08%	0	-2.3	54	0
12	Dec_31_2015	31.37	36	36.4	36.49	36.43	36.32	36.25(0.33%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-2	-30	-11	27	2.46	71%	0.26	104	1.97%	0	0.3	57	0
13	Dec_30_2015	31.29	35.9	36.46	36.52	36.43	36.64	36.13(-2.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	12	20	1	46	3.42	71%	0.26	101.3	1.99%	0	0.3	58	0
14	Dec_29_2015	31.21	35.75	36.47	36.55	36.56	36.55	36.95(1.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	21	-0	10	53	2.02	74%	0.32	81.3	1.97%	0	1.2	55	0
15	Dec_28_2015	31.11	35.58	36.33	36.36	36.38	36.47	36.35(-1.14%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	8	20	-3	39	2.32	74%	0.29	73.7	1.98%	0	0.7	56	0

16	Dec_24_2015	31.02	35.41	36.16	36.37	36.39	36.58	36.77(0.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	16	40	10	35	1.69	74%	0.32	70.6	1.98%	0	1.1	56	0
17	Dec_23_2015	30.92	35.26	36.03	36.31	36.28	36.3	36.42(0.39%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	9	0	-1	39	2.65	74%	0.32	81.3	2%	0	0.9	66	0
18	Dec_22_2015	30.82	35.1	35.92	36.4	36.33	36.19	36.28(0.78%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	11	-30	-3	52	4.91	74%	0.33	91.6	2.02%	0	0.9	64	0
19	Dec_21_2015	30.72	34.94	35.89	36.37	36.48	36.26	36(-0.99%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	18	-30	-1	76	3.41	74%	0.29	103.1	2.04%	0	0.8	70	0
20	Dec_18_2015	30.63	34.78	35.85	36.27	36.41	36.46	36.36(-0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	31	20	9	95	4.97	74%	0.36	109.3	2.05%	0	1.1	68	0

21	Dec_17_2015	30.52	34.56	35.79	35.9	36.11	36.69	36.47(-1.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	43	130	21	107	3.73	74%	0.39	100.9	2.06%	0	1.3	71	0
22	Dec_16_2015	30.4	34.28	35.56	35.69	35.6	36.35	36.87(2.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	51	140	33	106	3.67	74%	0.4	93.1	2.07%	0	1.6	64	0
23	Dec_15_2015	30.28	33.95	35.29	35.38	35.28	35.52	36.13(1.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	38	40	18	96	6.37	74%	0.4	84.3	2.08%	0	1.3	66	0
24	Dec_14_2015	30.16	33.62	34.98	35.37	35.2	34.84	35.52(2.93%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	17	-90	-7	88	5.04	74%	0.37	75.1	2.09%	0	1	64	0
25	Dec_11_2015	30.05	33.33	34.77	35.39	35.28	35.05	34.51(-2.6%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	6	-50	-22	90	8.02	73%		72.1	2.09%	0	0.6	62	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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