Trading Signals: NTES Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Dec. 17, 2015

Trading Signals: NTES Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Oct. 5, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(NetEase Inc)
NTES latest price $36.4700 (-1.08%) ($36.2200 - $37.1700) on Thu. Dec. 17, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.06% (three month average)
RSI   71
Latest Price   $36.4700(-1.08%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   NTES advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   NTES advances 3.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support NTES advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
KWEB(71%)    MCHI(66%)    FXI(61%)    EEM(55%)    VWO(51%)
Factors Impacting NTES price   NTES will decline at least -1.03% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-13%)    UUP(-7%)    TLT(-3%)    SHY(-3%)    IGOV(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.03% (StdDev 2.06%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $35.9(1.59%)
10 Day Moving Average   $35.79(1.9%)
20 Day Moving Average   $34.56(5.53%)
To recent high   -1.1%
To recent low   44.7%
Market Cap   $4.996b

NetEase, Inc. engages in the provision of online internet technology services. It operates through the following business segments: Online Games, E-commerce, Advertisign Services, and E-Mail and Others. The Online Games segment offers multi-player online role-playing games and mobile games. The E-commerce segment provides online selling and payment platform, e-reading applications, matchmaking services, online music, social network, personalized photo-based products, and online game-related accessories. The Advertising segment involves banner advertising, channel sponsorships, direct e-mail, interactive media-rich sites, sponsored special events, games and contests. The E-Mail Services segment comprise free and fee-based premium e-mail services. The company was founded by Lei Ding in June 1997 and is headquartered in Beijing, China.

$. NTES price fluctuates within 4.22% (three month std-dev: 2.06%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 11 Average positive next day return: 11.45%(36%) Average negative next day return: -1.31%(64%) Sample size 11 Average positive next three day return: 11.47%(45%) Average negative next three day return: -2.6%(55%) Sample size 11 Average positive next weekly return: 11.82%(45%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.29%(55%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_17_2015	30.52	34.56	35.79	35.9	36.11	36.69	36.47(-1.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	43	130	21	107	3.73	74%	0.39	100.9	2.06%	0	1.3	71	INF
2	Dec_16_2015	30.4	34.28	35.56	35.69	35.6	36.35	36.87(2.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	51	140	33	106	3.67	74%	0.4	93.1	2.07%	0	1.6	64	INF
3	Dec_15_2015	30.28	33.95	35.29	35.38	35.28	35.52	36.13(1.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	38	40	18	96	6.37	74%	0.4	84.3	2.08%	0	1.3	66	INF
4	Dec_14_2015	30.16	33.62	34.98	35.37	35.2	34.84	35.52(2.93%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	17	-90	-7	88	5.04	74%	0.37	75.1	2.09%	0	1	64	INF
5	Dec_11_2015	30.05	33.33	34.77	35.39	35.28	35.05	34.51(-2.6%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	6	-50	-22	90	8.02	73%	0.3	72.1	2.09%	0	0.6	62	INF

6	Dec_10_2015	29.96	33.14	34.62	35.65	35.49	35.57	35.43(0.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	40	0	10	128	5.16	76%	0.4	79.1	2.06%	0	1.1	71	INF
7	Dec_9_2015	29.84	32.87	34.46	35.38	35.37	35.52	35.3(-2.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	46	30	14	143	6.53	76%	0.4	76.9	2.08%	0	1.2	75	INF
8	Dec_8_2015	29.72	32.58	34.23	35.15	35.03	35.41	36.1(1.43%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	64	70	29	168	6.13	79%	0.47	75.6	2.05%	0	1.7	82	INF
9	Dec_7_2015	29.58	32.26	33.91	34.51	34.6	35.22	35.59(-0.67%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	70	130	36	172	6.63	79%	0.48	72.2	2.08%	0	1.6	83	INF
10	Dec_4_2015	29.44	31.94	33.61	34.06	33.93	34.66	35.83(5.2%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	76	140	41	181	8.25	79%	0.51	70.2	2.09%	0	2	80	INF

11	Dec_3_2015	29.29	31.59	33.2	33.45	33.43	33.99	34.06(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	61	120	26	165	9.53	77%	0.38	68.1	2%	0	1.4	67	INF
12	Dec_2_2015	29.18	31.35	32.89	33.42	33.07	33.19	34.18(3.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	53	-10	14	170	8.44	77%	0.41	72.2	2.01%	0	1.6	70	INF
13	Dec_1_2015	29.06	31.06	32.5	33.18	33.13	32.88	32.89(-1.32%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	40	-60	-2	166	9.4	75%	0.35	70.6	1.97%	0	1.1	70	INF
14	Nov_30_2015	28.96	30.86	32.16	33.2	33.15	32.94	33.33(1.62%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	36	-50	-8	166	35.91	75%	0.38	73.8	1.97%	0	1.4	70	INF
15	Nov_27_2015	28.85	30.63	31.79	33.08	33.19	33.38	32.8(-3.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	49	50	8	172	7.1	75%	0.35	76.8	1.99%	0	1.3	70	INF

16	Nov_25_2015	28.75	30.4	31.58	32.89	33.06	33.36	33.89(2.7%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	79	80	38	201	6.49	81%	0.49	75.5	1.91%	0	2.1	78	INF
17	Nov_24_2015	28.61	30.13	31.18	32.28	32.5	32.99	33(0.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	69	130	34	175	4.91	79%	0.42	77.3	1.91%	0	2	72	INF
18	Nov_23_2015	28.49	29.89	30.81	31.71	31.91	32.76	32.97(0.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	84	210	58	161	5.63	79%	0.46	74.8	1.94%	0	2.3	75	INF
19	Nov_20_2015	28.36	29.64	30.47	30.95	31.08	32.01	32.74(2.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	75	220	58	126	6.49	79%	0.46	70.1	1.97%	0	2.6	71	INF
20	Nov_19_2015	28.23	29.41	30.11	30.32	30.23	31.07	31.84(3.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	49	190	36	88	5.62	78%	0.39	67.9	1.96%	0	2.5	68	INF

21	Nov_18_2015	28.12	29.2	29.81	30.09	29.89	30.16	30.85(2.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	37	40	23	79	6.15	75%	0.29	75.5	1.94%	0	1.9	68	INF
22	Nov_17_2015	28.04	29.03	29.65	29.92	30.05	29.39	30.14(3.33%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	16	-140	-2	68	5.98	74%	0.25	84.4	1.94%	0	1.4	61	INF
23	Nov_16_2015	27.97	28.92	29.5	29.78	30.08	29.62	29.17(-1.52%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-13	-80	-34	50	6.85	70%	0.14	88.9	1.9%	0	0.3	57	INF
24	Nov_13_2015	27.93	28.84	29.48	29.88	30.17	30.72	29.62(-3.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	27	160	9	82	9.51	70%	0.22	99	1.9%	0	0.9	63	INF
25	Nov_12_2015	27.87	28.76	29.41	29.83	30	30.53	30.67(2.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	62	140	47	107	15.01	80%		100.9	1.78%	0	2.1	70	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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