Trading Signals: NOVA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ NOVA: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Feb. 12, 2020

Trading Signals: NOVA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jul. 25, 2019 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Sunnova Energy International)
NOVA latest price $16.2800 (10.75%) ($14.9900 - $16.3000) on Wed. Feb. 12, 2020.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.86% (three month average)
RSI   87
Latest Price   $16.2800(10.75%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   NOVA advances 3.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   NOVA advances 6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support NOVA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
ICLN(74%)    ACES(65%)    TAN(65%)    IWO(57%)    IBUY(54%)
Factors Impacting NOVA price   NOVA will decline at least -1.43% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-32%)    VXX(-13%)    UUP(-12%)    TBT(-6%)    UNG(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.43% (StdDev 2.86%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 6.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $14.72(10.6%)
10 Day Moving Average   $14.29(13.93%)
20 Day Moving Average   $13.52(20.41%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   74.9%
Market Cap   $1.595b

$. NOVA price fluctuates within 7.77% (three month std-dev: 2.86%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 15 Average positive next day return: 1.94%(27%) Average negative next day return: -2.64%(73%) Sample size 15 Average positive next three day return: 5.31%(60%) Average negative next three day return: -4.95%(40%) Sample size 15 Average positive next weekly return: 6.7%(47%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.56%(53%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20200312

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_12_2020	11.17	13.52	14.29	14.72	14.71	15.17	16.28(10.75%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.5	65	220	39	142	1.1	81%	0.45	87.4	2.86%	0	2.6	87	1
2	Feb_11_2020	11.12	13.25	13.98	14.26	14.36	14.44	14.7(3.52%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	38	60	13	111	0.36	80%	0.36	79.3	2.59%	0	1.5	82	0.1
3	Feb_10_2020	11.08	13.08	13.83	14.12	14.21	14.25	14.2(0.35%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	32	40	7	105	0.42	78%	0.36	73.6	2.63%	0	1.1	81	0.2
4	Feb_7_2020	11.04	12.94	13.7	14.01	14.13	14.27	14.15(-0.77%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	35	100	10	108	0.52	72%	0.36	66.9	2.64%	0	1.2	84	-0.1
5	Feb_6_2020	11	12.8	13.6	13.9	13.97	14.17	14.26(2.08%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	38	120	11	120	0.58	67%	0.36	64	2.73%	0	1.4	90	0.2

6	Feb_5_2020	10.96	12.66	13.47	13.78	13.81	13.99	13.97(-0.21%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	43	100	12	136	0.33	67%	0.27	64.9	2.82%	0	1.3	90	0.1
7	Feb_4_2020	10.93	12.53	13.37	13.65	13.69	13.76	14(2.26%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	48	40	12	155	0.29	67%	0.37	61.6	2.83%	0	1.5	92	-0.7
8	Feb_3_2020	10.89	12.4	13.24	13.49	13.52	13.64	13.69(0.81%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	50	70	10	168	0.58	67%	0.37	58.7	2.82%	0	1.4	85	-1.4
9	Jan_31_2020	10.85	12.29	13.1	13.34	13.4	13.61	13.58(-0.73%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	51	120	10	174	0.57	69%	0.28	55.7	2.86%	0	1.4	85	-2.4
10	Jan_30_2020	10.82	12.17	12.92	13.25	13.25	13.4	13.68(2.78%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	52	80	11	175	1.01	69%	0.37	53.5	2.9%	0	1.8	82	-0.4

11	Jan_29_2020	10.78	12.04	12.69	13.12	13.18	13.19	13.31(0.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	46	20	6	165	0.27	69%	0.28	51.8	2.89%	0	1.6	75	-0.7
12	Jan_28_2020	10.75	11.96	12.48	13.04	13.13	13.11	13.2(2.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	44	10	6	156	0.25	69%	0.19	53.7	2.88%	0	1.6	75	-0.7
13	Jan_27_2020	10.73	11.88	12.29	12.94	13.03	13.16	12.91(-1.83%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	43	90	8	149	0.13	69%	0.19	60.1	2.88%	0	1.5	74	-1.9
14	Jan_24_2020	10.71	11.81	12.12	12.82	12.9	13.15	13.15(0.84%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	53	150	23	142	0.77	69%	0.19	63.5	2.88%	0	2	76	0
15	Jan_23_2020	10.69	11.73	11.93	12.53	12.59	12.91	13.04(1.16%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	50	190	27	118	0.85	69%	0.19	62.3	2.88%	0	2.3	77	1.2

16	Jan_22_2020	10.67	11.64	11.77	12.2	12.23	12.65	12.89(1.42%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.4	47	250	31	94	0.81	69%	0.19	63	2.88%	0	2.5	78	1.1
17	Jan_21_2020	10.65	11.56	11.63	11.84	11.87	12.28	12.71(3.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.2	35	250	29	51	0.62	69%	0.28	67.6	2.91%	0	2.9	58	1.4
18	Jan_17_2020	10.62	11.47	11.48	11.55	11.54	11.81	12.32(5.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.8	21	160	22	16	0.22	69%	0.19	88.5	2.87%	0	3	58	1.9
19	Jan_16_2020	10.6	11.41	11.39	11.32	11.36	11.46	11.67(2.46%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.6	2	70	8	-16	0.2	66%	0.09	120.7	2.83%	0	1.2	49	2.2
20	Jan_15_2020	10.59	11.38	11.35	11.26	11.28	11.46	11.39(2.71%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-9	-10	-2	-31	0.19	66%	0.28	139.6	2.82%	0	0	47	2

21	Jan_14_2020	10.56	11.33	11.33	11.29	11.32	11.26	11.09(-1.6%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-14	-30	-7	-36	0.38	66%	0.19	153.3	2.81%	0	-1	45	2.3
22	Jan_13_2020	10.54	11.3	11.41	11.37	11.4	11.3	11.27(0.81%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-8	-50	-4	-20	0.09	66%	0.29	133.6	2.8%	0	-0.1	47	2.5
23	Jan_10_2020	10.51	11.23	11.44	11.4	11.47	11.38	11.18(-1.67%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-7	-40	-7	-7	0.21	69%	0.19	113.2	2.8%	0	-0.1	57	1.4
24	Jan_9_2020	10.49	11.15	11.5	11.47	11.54	11.5	11.37(-1.39%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	3	-10	0	13	0.12	69%	0.1	86.7	2.88%	0	0.4	58	1.4
25	Jan_8_2020	10.48	11.07	11.52	11.45	11.55	11.55	11.53(0.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	9	30	4	22	0.17	69%		66.4	2.89%	0	0.7	61	0.7
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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