Trading Signals: NKLA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. May. 14, 2020

Trading Signals: NKLA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Jun. 11, 2018 - Wed. Sep. 14, 2022)

(Nikola Corporation)
NKLA latest price $25.7900 (-14.88%) ($25.1500 - $29.2500) on Thu. May. 14, 2020.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   7.67% (three month average)
RSI   81
Latest Price   $25.7900(-14.88%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   NKLA advances 10% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   NKLA advances 40.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support NKLA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
ACES(36%)    IWC(36%)    IBUY(35%)    ARKK(33%)    IPO(33%)
Factors Impacting NKLA price   NKLA will decline at least -3.835% in a week (0% probabilities).
VXX(-13%)    VIXM(-12%)    UUP(-11%)    UNG(-6%)    TLT(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -3.835% (StdDev 7.67%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -7%

5 Day Moving Average   $24.02(7.37%)
10 Day Moving Average   $19.1(35.03%)
20 Day Moving Average   $16.04(60.79%)
To recent high   -14.9%
To recent low   149.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. NKLA price fluctuates within 33.42% (three month std-dev: 7.67%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 6 Average positive next day return: 8.14%(67%) Average negative next day return: -5.26%(33%) Sample size 6 Average positive next three day return: 13.29%(67%) Average negative next three day return: -1.53%(33%) Sample size 6 Average positive next weekly return: 29.48%(83%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.69%(17%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20200614

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_14_2020	11.85	16.04	19.1	24.02	25.45	28.91	25.79(-14.88%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	118	1130	45	338	11.45	78%	1.28	77.3	7.67%	0	1.8	81	0.8
2	May_13_2020	11.7	15.3	17.82	21.83	22.86	27.6	30.3(11.81%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.7	159	1590	105	319	44.57	84%	1.74	68.4	7.37%	0	3.1	90	0.1
3	May_12_2020	11.5	14.3	16.06	18.4	18.79	21.99	27.1(32.97%)	UT	HoldLong	65	2.5	119	1260	87	214	19.78	83%	1.59	60.9	7.27%	0	3.6	90	1.2
4	May_11_2020	11.32	13.49	14.63	15.63	16.02	18.11	20.38(23.44%)	UT	HoldLong	65	2.4	83	990	62	144	11.04	79%	0.89	63.6	6.08%	0	3.5	86	2.3
5	May_8_2020	11.22	13.03	13.95	14.17	14.47	15.59	16.51(11.18%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.9	56	610	40	102	6.45	75%	0.63	69.7	5.33%	0	2.8	76	2

6	May_7_2020	11.15	12.75	13.55	13.47	13.61	13.93	14.85(12.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	30	200	17	70	2.66	72%	0.36	66.5	5.21%	0	2.1	73	1.4
7	May_6_2020	11.11	12.55	13.3	13.15	13.25	13.36	13.18(-0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	11	80	-4	55	0.7	68%	0.27	64	4.98%	0	0.7	67	0.8
8	May_5_2020	11.08	12.44	13.2	13.3	13.34	13.29	13.23(1.07%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	14	-20	-4	67	0.99	68%	0.27	67.8	5.02%	0	0.8	66	1.1
9	May_4_2020	11.05	12.33	13.06	13.44	13.49	13.14	13.09(0.69%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	9	-170	-11	70	0.89	68%	0.27	71.5	5.02%	0	0.8	60	0.5
10	May_1_2020	11.02	12.22	12.97	13.69	13.77	13.38	13(-1.89%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	21	-180	-4	94	0.96	68%	0.27	77.6	4.98%	0	0.8	63	0.4

11	Apr_30_2020	10.99	12.11	12.85	13.63	13.94	13.84	13.25(-4.95%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	29	20	4	103	1.25	68%	0.27	73.9	4.97%	0	1.1	70	1.3
12	Apr_29_2020	10.96	11.98	12.7	13.44	13.72	14.15	13.94(0.29%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	38	280	15	108	2.29	68%	0.27	67	4.92%	0	1.8	77	1.7
13	Apr_28_2020	10.93	11.81	12.48	13.07	13.27	14.05	13.9(-3.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	45	460	26	101	1.31	68%	0.37	59.9	4.92%	0	2.1	77	1.2
14	Apr_27_2020	10.89	11.66	12.29	12.61	12.7	13.28	14.35(12.99%)	UT	HoldLong	65	2	42	340	26	88	2.67	68%	0.37	54.7	4.9%	0	3.1	81	1.4
15	Apr_24_2020	10.85	11.47	12.01	12.17	12.21	12.49	12.7(3%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	27	170	12	71	1.66	62%	0.18	58.6	4.64%	0	2	76	0.9

16	Apr_23_2020	10.83	11.38	11.85	11.97	12.03	12.12	12.33(2.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	21	70	7	62	0.65	62%	0.28	58.4	4.63%	0	1.7	74	0.4
17	Apr_22_2020	10.8	11.31	11.72	11.85	11.93	11.93	12.05(3.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	16	20	2	58	0.94	62%	0.19	61.8	4.62%	0	1.5	74	0.3
18	Apr_21_2020	10.78	11.25	11.61	11.8	11.93	11.94	11.64(-3.88%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	12	60	-4	58	0.58	62%	0.09	62.5	4.6%	0	0.8	69	-0.2
19	Apr_20_2020	10.77	11.2	11.55	11.9	11.88	11.93	12.11(3.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	20	20	3	70	1.16	62%	0.19	66.9	4.57%	0	1.9	69	0.6
20	Apr_17_2020	10.75	11.12	11.42	11.83	11.95	11.81	11.74(0.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.2	21	-50	5	67	0.33	62%	0.09	61.2	4.59%	0	1.4	66	1.2

21	Apr_16_2020	10.74	11.07	11.33	11.7	11.87	11.82	11.7(-0.85%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	17	10	3	57	0.26	62%	0.19	53.1	4.59%	0	1.5	61	1.1
22	Apr_15_2020	10.72	11.01	11.22	11.56	11.73	12.08	11.8(-2.8%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	20	250	10	48	0.66	62%	0.09	36	4.59%	0	1.9	65	1.1
23	Apr_14_2020	10.71	10.95	11.11	11.39	11.53	11.91	12.14(3.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	22	270	17	38	1.17	62%	0.19	12.4	4.61%	0	3.1	73	1.5
24	Apr_13_2020	10.69	10.89	10.98	11.16	11.22	11.37	11.75(5.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.3	14	110	11	24	1.16	62%	0.19	-20.5	4.6%	0	3.3	71	1.2
25	Apr_9_2020	10.67	10.86	10.88	10.97	11.09	11.15	11.12(1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	6	70	4	11	0.44	59%		-119.3	4.51%	0	1.4	64	0.9
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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