Trading Signals: NIO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ NIO: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Jul. 31, 2023

Trading Signals: NIO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Sep. 12, 2018 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(NIO Inc.)
NIO latest price $15.3000 (3.8%) ($14.7300 - $15.4600) on Mon. Jul. 31, 2023.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.58% (three month average)
RSI   80
Latest Price   $15.3000(3.8%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   NIO advances 5.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   NIO advances 14.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support NIO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
MCHI(64%)    FXI(63%)    IDRV(63%)    KWEB(63%)    EEM(59%)
Factors Impacting NIO price   NIO will decline at least -2.29% in a week (0% probabilities).
VXX(-25%)    VIXM(-24%)    UUP(-8%)    IGOV(-7%)    TLT(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.29% (StdDev 4.58%)
Hourly BBV 1.4 ()
Intraday Trend 1%

5 Day Moving Average   $13.67(11.92%)
10 Day Moving Average   $12.31(24.29%)
20 Day Moving Average   $11.4(34.21%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   106.5%
Market Cap   $23.775b

NIO, Inc. (China) is a holding company, which engages in the design, manufacture, and sale of electric vehicles, driving innovations in next generation technologies in connectivity, autonomous driving and artificial intelligence. Its products include EP9 supercar and ES8 7-seater SUV. The company provides users with home charging, and power express valet service and other power solutions including access to public charging, access to power mobile charging trucks, and battery swapping. It also offers other value-added services such as service package, battery payment arrangement, and vehicle financing and license plate registration. The company was founded by Li Bin and Qin Li Hong in November 2014 and is headquartered in Jiading, China.

$. NIO price fluctuates within 13.6% (three month std-dev: 4.58%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 30 Average positive next day return: 8.41%(50%) Average negative next day return: -4.04%(50%) Sample size 30 Average positive next three day return: 11.31%(53%) Average negative next three day return: -7.01%(47%) Sample size 30 Average positive next weekly return: 21.93%(40%) Average negative next weekly return: -9.29%(60%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20230831

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_31_2023	9.15	11.4	12.31	13.67	13.93	14.69	15.3(3.8%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	80	440	38	205	116.78	72%	0.77	81.9	4.58%	1.4	2.5	80	1.5
2	Jul_28_2023	9.08	11.11	11.81	12.96	13.2	13.88	14.74(11.33%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.4	72	420	42	161	114.16	72%	0.67	86.3	4.57%	1.9	2.8	79	1.3
3	Jul_27_2023	9.02	10.83	11.37	12.13	12.49	13.16	13.24(0.53%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	56	460	36	114	103.28	70%	0.45	86.1	4.39%	0.5	2.4	79	0.5
4	Jul_26_2023	8.98	10.63	11.1	11.54	11.75	12.52	13.17(10.58%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.9	47	510	33	87	135.25	70%	0.56	82.2	4.4%	1.4	2.9	81	1.9
5	Jul_25_2023	8.93	10.43	10.88	11.04	11.14	11.82	11.91(1.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	35	450	26	62	102.71	65%	0.34	82	4.25%	0.6	2.1	65	1.2

6	Jul_24_2023	8.9	10.26	10.75	10.74	10.76	10.97	11.73(10.87%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	25	140	18	47	108.21	65%	0.23	60.3	4.3%	1.4	2	66	1.6
7	Jul_21_2023	8.88	10.1	10.65	10.74	10.55	10.47	10.58(2.52%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	9	-40	-1	38	33.01	62%	0.11	41.3	4.1%	0	0.6	62	1.1
8	Jul_20_2023	8.87	10.02	10.6	10.5	10.52	10.56	10.32(-3.01%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	8	30	-5	45	34.59	59%	0.23	40.1	4.09%	-1.1	0.4	64	1.4
9	Jul_19_2023	8.85	9.96	10.53	10.58	10.59	10.64	10.64(2.11%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	11	40	-4	54	51.33	56%	0.11	46.8	4.14%	0.5	0.9	65	1.5
10	Jul_18_2023	8.84	9.89	10.49	10.69	10.66	10.49	10.42(-1.33%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	15	-120	-5	74	35.04	54%	0.11	62	4.25%	-1	0.7	65	1.9

11	Jul_17_2023	8.83	9.84	10.46	10.77	10.77	10.53	10.56(0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	22	-160	-6	104	28.61	56%	0.23	74.9	4.27%	-0.3	0.9	75	1.4
12	Jul_14_2023	8.81	9.8	10.38	10.81	10.87	10.82	10.54(-2.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	35	-20	3	131	40.09	56%	0	92.8	4.34%	-1.4	0.9	75	1.2
13	Jul_13_2023	8.81	9.71	10.27	10.7	10.79	11.02	10.76(-3.58%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	45	170	14	137	59.68	56%	0.11	98.6	4.33%	-1.3	1.4	68	1
14	Jul_12_2023	8.8	9.6	10.15	10.46	10.51	10.92	11.16(3.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	43	290	15	128	60.88	54%	0.11	97.3	4.3%	1.8	2.1	70	1.1
15	Jul_11_2023	8.79	9.42	9.96	10.27	10.19	10.57	10.81(0.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	38	240	13	114	69.18	56%	0.23	102.6	4.35%	0.9	2.1	64	-0.3

16	Jul_10_2023	8.77	9.27	9.72	10.12	10.01	10.1	10.78(7.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	33	30	14	90	84.19	56%	0.11	103.1	4.39%	1.7	2.4	63	-0.5
17	Jul_7_2023	8.76	9.12	9.49	9.9	9.96	9.81	9.99(4.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	17	-90	5	53	50.79	53%	0	92.3	4.28%	0.3	1.3	52	-0.3
18	Jul_6_2023	8.76	9.02	9.38	9.78	9.93	9.92	9.56(-6.46%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	10	40	-1	42	52.98	52%	-0.11	84.8	4.28%	-1.2	0.8	59	-0.6
19	Jul_5_2023	8.77	8.93	9.33	9.77	9.84	10.11	10.22(1.89%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	24	210	12	58	62.61	54%	-0.23	79.6	4.19%	1	1.7	69	0.9
20	Jul_3_2023	8.79	8.79	9.23	9.59	9.67	9.94	10.03(3.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	34	220	22	71	68.99	50%	0	72.4	4.25%	0	1.6	73	1.2

21	Jun_30_2023	8.79	8.67	9.23	9.27	9.39	9.57	9.69(3.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	29	170	17	64	63.32	52%	-0.11	58.2	4.28%	0.8	1.4	71	1
22	Jun_29_2023	8.8	8.56	9.16	9.02	9.08	9.4	9.39(-1.37%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	24	270	9	69	38.49	54%	-0.11	40.2	4.33%	0.5	1.1	70	1
23	Jun_28_2023	8.81	8.46	9.11	8.92	8.86	9.21	9.52(1.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	27	260	11	76	44.62	54%	-0.23	28.4	4.42%	1.2	1.4	69	1.2
24	Jun_27_2023	8.83	8.37	9	8.92	8.74	8.77	9.34(11.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	21	-10	2	78	73.28	54%	-0.23	22.9	4.42%	1.9	1.3	70	1.1
25	Jun_26_2023	8.85	8.27	8.84	8.83	8.83	8.51	8.4(-0.36%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	10	-250	-14	83	33.53	50%		22.1	4.2%	-0.5	0.2	65	1
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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