Trading Signals: NIO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ NIO: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Jun. 15, 2021

Trading Signals: NIO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Sep. 12, 2018 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(NIO Inc.)
NIO latest price $45.1500 (-3.01%) ($45.0400 - $46.3800) on Tue. Jun. 15, 2021.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.88% (three month average)
RSI   79
Latest Price   $45.1500(-3.01%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   NIO advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   NIO advances 7.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock sell-off for large cap. Growth stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support NIO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
KWEB(70%)    MCHI(70%)    EEM(69%)    FXI(69%)    DRIV(65%)
Factors Impacting NIO price   NIO will decline at least -1.94% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-32%)    UUP(-25%)    VXX(-11%)    TBT(-2%)    IGOV(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.94% (StdDev 3.88%)
Hourly BBV -0.5 ()
Intraday Trend -2.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $44.58(1.28%)
10 Day Moving Average   $43.51(3.77%)
20 Day Moving Average   $40.24(12.2%)
To recent high   -3%
To recent low   44.6%
Market Cap   $70.16b

NIO, Inc. (China) is a holding company, which engages in the design, manufacture, and sale of electric vehicles, driving innovations in next generation technologies in connectivity, autonomous driving and artificial intelligence. Its products include EP9 supercar and ES8 7-seater SUV. The company provides users with home charging, and power express valet service and other power solutions including access to public charging, access to power mobile charging trucks, and battery swapping. It also offers other value-added services such as service package, battery payment arrangement, and vehicle financing and license plate registration. The company was founded by Li Bin and Qin Li Hong in November 2014 and is headquartered in Jiading, China.

$. NIO price fluctuates within 10.24% (three month std-dev: 3.88%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 44 Average positive next day return: 3.46%(43%) Average negative next day return: -2.35%(57%) Sample size 44 Average positive next three day return: 9.47%(55%) Average negative next three day return: -5.8%(45%) Sample size 44 Average positive next weekly return: 14.41%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -6.5%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20210715

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_15_2021	43.29	40.24	43.51	44.58	44.78	46	45.15(-3.01%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	41	200	16	116	44.55	48%	-0.35	73.6	3.88%	-0.5	1.2	79	1
2	Jun_14_2021	43.44	39.68	43.22	44.26	44.21	45.37	46.55(1.9%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	62	180	35	144	65.14	48%	-0.37	70.9	3.87%	0.9	1.7	84	1.4
3	Jun_11_2021	43.6	39.01	42.43	43.68	43.61	43.56	45.68(6.83%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	51	-10	19	148	85.38	54%	-0.3	65.5	3.86%	1.6	1.7	86	1.4
4	Jun_10_2021	43.73	38.29	41.75	42.94	43.17	43.05	42.76(0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	34	-0	-1	139	34.65	50%	-0.34	53.6	4.03%	-1.1	1.1	82	1.2
5	Jun_9_2021	43.88	37.83	41.27	42.56	42.91	43.66	42.74(-1.88%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	48	150	12	157	36.11	59%	-0.36	46.8	4.03%	-1.2	1.2	83	1

6	Jun_8_2021	44.04	37.42	40.64	42.25	42.37	43.29	43.56(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	51	160	19	148	50.2	55%	-0.02	42.8	4.55%	0.7	1.6	81	1.2
7	Jun_7_2021	44.05	36.94	39.88	42	41.83	42.17	43.68(4.15%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	54	40	21	154	53.13	55%	-0.29	36.9	4.66%	1.7	1.9	82	1.4
8	Jun_4_2021	44.18	36.56	38.92	40.99	41.48	41.44	41.94(2.54%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	42	30	10	137	40.87	52%	-0.43	28	4.65%	0.8	1.7	81	1.5
9	Jun_3_2021	44.37	36.26	38.17	40.39	40.76	41.5	40.9(-0.63%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	43	150	11	139	60.65	52%	-0.49	21	4.7%	-1.1	1.6	84	1.2
10	Jun_2_2021	44.59	36.07	37.43	39.76	40.02	41.53	41.16(-2.79%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	61	280	35	139	66.18	47%	-0.49	10.3	4.72%	0.4	1.9	70	1.5

11	Jun_1_2021	44.81	35.86	36.72	38.74	38.83	40.02	42.34(9.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	56	220	36	114	100.47	50%	-0.78	-6	4.98%	1.6	2.6	68	1.1
12	May_28_2021	45.16	35.67	35.83	37.45	37.62	38.52	38.62(-0.75%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	40	180	25	85	58.1	47%	-0.35	-27.7	4.95%	0.6	1.3	63	1.5
13	May_27_2021	45.32	35.69	35.29	36.54	36.68	37.64	38.91(3.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	33	190	25	56	52.6	47%	-0.26	-40.3	4.99%	1.6	1.4	53	1.9
14	May_26_2021	45.44	35.66	34.52	35.62	35.7	36.72	37.76(4.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	23	210	24	21	54.37	47%	-0.33	-48.4	5.02%	1.3	0.8	52	1.5
15	May_25_2021	45.59	35.79	34.08	34.76	34.97	35.73	36.07(0.5%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.5	13	170	20	-10	75.32	43%	-0.39	-49.9	4.98%	0.7	0.1	44	1.1

16	May_24_2021	45.77	36.02	33.92	34.39	34.15	34.69	35.89(5.37%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	1	90	11	-30	66.89	46%	-0.22	-42.4	5.12%	2.1	-0	42	0.9
17	May_21_2021	45.87	36.32	33.74	33.97	33.9	34.2	34.06(-0.79%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-8	60	8	-54	49.42	41%	-0.35	-36.6	5.14%	0.5	-0.7	32	0.6
18	May_20_2021	46.03	36.66	33.99	33.84	33.7	33.61	34.33(2.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-10	-30	9	-65	48.8	41%	-0.3	-31.6	5.18%	1	-0.7	32	0.3
19	May_19_2021	46.17	36.92	34.2	33.22	33.35	33.59	33.46(-2.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-23	60	-2	-86	68.59	41%	-0.28	-32.2	5.21%	-0.6	-1.1	32	-0.8
20	May_18_2021	46.3	37.21	34.6	33.26	33.19	33.8	34.19(1.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-19	120	5	-92	63.85	40%	-0.22	-30.7	5.21%	1.2	-1	29	0.4

21	May_17_2021	46.4	37.37	34.95	33.4	33.22	33.11	33.81(1.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-23	-40	3	-100	63.46	40%	-0.28	-32.9	5.23%	0.9	-1.2	27	0.2
22	May_14_2021	46.53	37.54	35.49	33.5	33.3	32.58	33.42(7.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-43	-170	-19	-116	79.91	40%	-0.28	-33.8	5.19%	0.3	-1.4	23	0.5
23	May_13_2021	46.66	37.71	36.12	34.21	34.02	33.33	31.22(-7.3%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.1	-48	-160	-26	-112	113.12	37%	-0.36	-31.9	5.14%	-1.8	-2.3	21	-2
24	May_12_2021	46.83	37.98	36.93	35.3	35.2	34.03	33.68(-3.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-39	-240	-20	-95	75.47	39%	-0.3	-30.8	5.11%	-1.6	-1.8	33	-3.7
25	May_11_2021	46.97	38.17	37.68	36.11	35.9	34.72	34.87(1.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-42	-250	-29	-81	113.2	39%		-24.5	5.1%	-0.6	-1.5	39	-0.5
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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