Trading Signals: NIO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ NIO: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Jan. 5, 2021

Trading Signals: NIO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Sep. 12, 2018 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(NIO Inc.)
NIO latest price $53.2000 (-0.54%) ($50.4000 - $53.7500) on Tue. Jan. 5, 2021.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   6.04% (three month average)
RSI   78
Latest Price   $53.2000(-0.54%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   NIO advances 3.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   NIO advances 6.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support NIO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
KWEB(69%)    MCHI(69%)    EEM(67%)    FXI(67%)    IBUY(65%)
Factors Impacting NIO price   NIO will decline at least -3.02% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-30%)    UUP(-26%)    VXX(-12%)    TBT(-4%)    UNG(1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -3.02% (StdDev 6.04%)
Hourly BBV 0.6 ()
Intraday Trend 2.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $49.99(6.42%)
10 Day Moving Average   $48.44(9.83%)
20 Day Moving Average   $46.54(14.31%)
To recent high   -3.9%
To recent low   157.4%
Market Cap   $82.669b

NIO, Inc. (China) is a holding company, which engages in the design, manufacture, and sale of electric vehicles, driving innovations in next generation technologies in connectivity, autonomous driving and artificial intelligence. Its products include EP9 supercar and ES8 7-seater SUV. The company provides users with home charging, and power express valet service and other power solutions including access to public charging, access to power mobile charging trucks, and battery swapping. It also offers other value-added services such as service package, battery payment arrangement, and vehicle financing and license plate registration. The company was founded by Li Bin and Qin Li Hong in November 2014 and is headquartered in Jiading, China.

$. NIO price fluctuates within 6.75% (three month std-dev: 6.04%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 27 Average positive next day return: 3.73%(37%) Average negative next day return: -2.14%(63%) Sample size 27 Average positive next three day return: 4.23%(48%) Average negative next three day return: -5.79%(52%) Sample size 27 Average positive next weekly return: 5.73%(48%) Average negative next weekly return: -9.05%(52%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20210205

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_5_2021	32.43	46.54	48.44	49.99	50.23	52.41	53.2(-0.54%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1	47	320	37	77	146.73	80%	1.25	33.5	6.04%	0.6	2.1	78	-0.5
2	Jan_4_2021	32.03	46.01	47.75	48.16	48.29	50.68	53.49(9.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	48	350	41	67	212.34	80%	1.94	1.4	6.04%	1.3	2.8	74	-1.6
3	Dec_31_2020	31.42	45.56	46.95	46.62	46.51	48.06	48.74(0.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	29	230	24	44	128.94	79%	1.16	-35.9	5.97%	0.7	1.5	58	1.2
4	Dec_30_2020	31.06	45.49	46.54	46.27	45.85	45.91	48.38(4.85%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	16	-20	9	36	116.13	79%	1.17	-53.4	5.97%	1.9	1.4	60	1.3
5	Dec_29_2020	30.7	45.32	46.06	46.11	45.81	44.95	46.14(4.72%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	-7	-150	-16	19	120.1	81%	1.05	-81.1	5.96%	0.5	0.4	49	0.2

6	Dec_28_2020	30.38	45.51	45.59	46.67	46.77	45.79	44.06(-3.74%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-6	-140	-14	19	104.09	81%	1.61	-61.9	6.06%	0.3	-0.6	49	1.2
7	Dec_24_2020	29.9	45.97	45.44	47.21	47.26	46.68	45.77(-2.64%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	0	-80	-9	27	60.58	81%	1.08	-35.9	5.98%	-2.4	-0.1	58	1.3
8	Dec_23_2020	29.58	46.33	45.38	47.25	47.31	47.75	47.01(-1.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	12	70	5	34	79.66	81%	1.16	-19.9	5.96%	-0.4	0.2	54	0.5
9	Dec_22_2020	29.24	46.61	45.07	46.78	46.86	47.85	47.58(-2.8%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	21	150	19	25	116.93	81%	1.18	-13.5	6.04%	0.3	0.3	49	-0.7
10	Dec_21_2020	28.9	46.61	44.92	45.97	45.85	46.88	48.95(4.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	25	150	26	20	131.98	81%	1.33	-7	6.01%	1.8	0.5	56	-1.6

11	Dec_18_2020	28.52	46.95	44.48	44.37	44.72	45.87	46.72(1.57%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.6	15	200	23	-11	125.66	81%	1.24	-12.7	6.03%	1.2	-0.1	44	1.2
12	Dec_17_2020	28.17	47.03	44.1	43.43	43.22	44.81	46(2.98%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-1	240	15	-47	129.33	81%	1.19	-18.9	6.03%	1.2	-0.2	38	1.6
13	Dec_16_2020	27.84	47	44	43.27	42.53	43.57	44.67(2.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-3	120	18	-64	119.72	81%	1.2	-18	6.03%	1.2	-0.6	37	1.5
14	Dec_15_2020	27.51	47.11	44.29	43.14	42.36	41.64	43.5(6.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-26	-170	-6	-85	131.57	81%	1.18	-13.8	6.03%	1.7	-0.9	35	0.8
15	Dec_14_2020	27.19	47.25	44.47	43.75	42.99	41.48	40.98(-2.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-47	-300	-27	-106	171	80%	1.08	-8.3	6%	-0.8	-1.5	27	-0.6

16	Dec_11_2020	26.9	47.48	45.41	44.58	44.58	43.08	41.98(-7.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-34	-240	-15	-91	146.12	80%	1.17	0.5	6%	-1.4	-1.4	42	0.3
17	Dec_10_2020	26.59	47.82	46.57	44.79	44.58	44.49	45.22(2.75%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-31	-60	-14	-80	101.36	84%	1.26	9.8	5.9%	-0.1	-0.7	48	0.9
18	Dec_9_2020	26.26	47.76	47.37	44.81	44.99	46.09	44.01(-5.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-18	180	-3	-61	120.72	84%	1.19	16.4	5.91%	-1.9	-1	52	1
19	Dec_8_2020	25.95	47.69	48.3	45.61	45.37	45.48	46.56(3.21%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	6	0	19	-32	115.1	84%	1.33	29	5.87%	1	-0.3	53	1.6
20	Dec_7_2020	25.61	47.59	49.14	45.37	44.57	43.9	45.11(4.81%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-28	-160	-25	-35	164.48	84%	1.39	39.9	5.93%	0.3	-0.6	53	1.1

21	Dec_4_2020	25.26	47.46	49.61	46.45	45.64	45.26	43.04(-5.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-23	-110	-25	-15	191.17	84%	1.2	59.7	5.96%	-1.3	-1.1	52	1.2
22	Dec_3_2020	24.96	47.47	50.25	48.64	47.66	45.24	45.35(-5.48%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-18	-420	-27	10	172.43	84%	1.3	89.3	5.94%	-0.2	-0.5	48	0.9
23	Dec_2_2020	24.64	47.15	50.33	50.31	49.53	46.03	47.98(5.78%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-32	-540	-51	25	309.13	84%	1.4	104.6	5.96%	-0.2	0.2	61	1
24	Dec_1_2020	24.3	46.58	50.26	51.42	51.52	50.08	45.36(-10.23%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-21	-190	-45	53	244.88	84%	1.33	108.5	5.94%	0.1	-0.2	60	1
25	Nov_30_2020	23.98	46.06	50.38	53.42	53.08	53.03	50.53(-6.43%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	27	-30	0	106	176.7	90%		116.2	5.73%	0.4	0.7	62	1.1
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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