Trading Signals: NFLX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Nov. 20, 2023

Trading Signals: NFLX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Jan. 8, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Netflex stock)
NFLX latest price $474.2300 (1.81%) ($474.2300 - $474.2300) on Mon. Nov. 20, 2023.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.71% (three month average)
RSI   93
Latest Price   $474.2300(1.81%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   NFLX advances 1.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   NFLX advances 4.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Growth stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support NFLX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IVW(86%)    VUG(59%)    QQQ(58%)    IWF(57%)    SPY(55%)
Factors Impacting NFLX price   NFLX will decline at least -1.355% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-42%)    JETS(-31%)    IWC(-23%)    URA(-22%)    VIXM(-20%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.355% (StdDev 2.71%)
Hourly BBV 1.7 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $463.42(2.33%)
10 Day Moving Average   $452.23(4.86%)
20 Day Moving Average   $435.11(8.99%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   37%
Market Cap   $209.143b

Netflix, Inc. is an Internet subscription service company, which provides subscription service streaming movies and television episodes over the Internet and sending DVDs by mail. It operates through the following segments: Domestic Streaming, International Streaming and Domestic DVD. The Domestic Streaming segment derives revenues from monthly membership fees for services consisting solely of streaming content to its members in the United States. The International Streaming segment includes fees from members outside the United States. The Domestic DVD segment covers revenues from services consisting solely of DVD-by-mail. The company was founded by Marc Randolph and Wilmot Reed Hastings Jr., on August 29, 1997 and is headquartered in Los Gatos, CA.

$. NFLX price fluctuates within 5.03% (three month std-dev: 2.71%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 50 Average positive next day return: 2.06%(48%) Average negative next day return: -1.87%(52%) Sample size 50 Average positive next three day return: 5.77%(46%) Average negative next three day return: -3.22%(54%) Sample size 50 Average positive next weekly return: 7.91%(44%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.38%(56%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20231220

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_20_2023	418.06	435.11	452.23	463.42	466.62	470.01	474.23(1.81%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	152	70	149	160	2.98	58%	0.08	96.4	2.71%	1.7	1.8	93	1.4
2	Nov_17_2023	417.72	431.66	448.14	457.49	460.11	466.35	465.79(-0.24%)	TP	CloseLong	-10	0.4	126	110	120	145	2.28	55%	0.09	105	2.7%	0.9	1.6	93	1.5
3	Nov_16_2023	417.34	428.37	444.74	453.67	455.05	463.23	466.91(1.07%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	228	130	237	199	3.13	55%	0.09	117.4	2.73%	1.3	2	95	1.5
4	Nov_15_2023	416.95	425.09	440.42	447.26	450.04	453.86	461.98(3.08%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	198	80	204	179	5.03	55%	0.11	97.5	2.74%	1.5	1.5	85	1.6
5	Nov_14_2023	416.5	419.48	436.2	442.13	443.86	446.87	448.18(0.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	64	60	49	110	2.98	53%	0.08	81.6	2.72%	0.8	1.1	74	1.5

6	Nov_13_2023	416.18	414.98	432.66	439.33	440.9	446.22	444.57(-0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	134	100	133	137	2.13	53%	0.05	71.6	2.72%	0.9	1.1	70	1.4
7	Nov_10_2023	415.97	410.91	429.33	437.31	438.07	440.86	446.72(2.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	136	50	136	136	3.46	53%	0.06	62.6	2.73%	1.9	1.2	75	1.4
8	Nov_9_2023	415.72	406.4	424.54	434.47	434.95	435.58	434.83(-0.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	36	10	20	83	2.16	50%	0.02	55.6	2.71%	-0.7	1	74	0.9
9	Nov_8_2023	415.62	402.8	421.58	432.42	433.94	435.27	436.33(0.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	65	30	55	93	1.82	50%	0	52.2	2.72%	0.6	1.2	73	1.6
10	Nov_7_2023	415.6	399.27	418.98	429.25	431	434.33	434.21(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	90	70	77	127	2.37	50%	0.05	49.2	2.72%	1.4	1.2	87	1.7

11	Nov_6_2023	415.41	396.32	416.76	424.8	427.58	432.61	434.45(0.44%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	165	100	160	179	2.19	50%	0.01	47.4	2.74%	0.9	1.4	80	1.9
12	Nov_3_2023	415.38	393.72	413.89	420.05	421.96	427.68	432.53(1.87%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	169	110	161	191	3.66	50%	-0.03	46.3	2.74%	1.4	1.5	76	1.9
13	Nov_2_2023	415.51	391.01	410.64	413.14	416.94	422.55	424.58(0.97%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	192	120	187	208	3.8	50%	0.02	41.7	2.73%	1.3	1.4	76	1.9
14	Nov_1_2023	415.41	388.29	408.41	409.14	411.05	416.25	420.5(2.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	153	100	137	200	4.05	50%	-0.04	38.4	2.74%	1.7	1.4	71	1.6
15	Oct_31_2023	415.57	385.95	401.43	407.31	407.07	411.32	411.97(0.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	121	70	103	176	3.15	53%	-0.03	38.3	2.72%	1.3	1.2	68	1.3

16	Oct_30_2023	415.7	384.05	396.05	407.6	406.84	405.85	410.68(3.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	74	-20	49	147	4.53	53%	-0.02	40.3	2.75%	1.4	1.3	62	-0.1
17	Oct_27_2023	415.79	382.34	391.25	406.88	407.53	402.82	397.95(-1.65%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.5	-64	-80	-109	72	4.23	53%	-0.03	40.7	2.75%	-1.4	0.8	55	-1.7
18	Oct_26_2023	415.9	381.29	387.22	407.5	409.05	407.83	404.63(-1.63%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-33	-10	-70	79	5.44	53%	0.01	42.2	2.75%	-1.5	1.2	58	-1.1
19	Oct_25_2023	415.85	379.76	382.96	407.24	408.15	412.23	411.31(-0.52%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	95	80	81	136	6.2	53%	0.03	42.1	2.75%	0.3	1.7	63	-0.8
20	Oct_24_2023	415.73	377.89	378.23	394.19	406.23	410.27	413.44(1.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	285	160	319	183	5.5	53%	0.02	21.9	2.75%	1.5	2.1	62	0.4

21	Oct_23_2023	415.64	375.92	374.17	382.51	389.38	404.07	407.09(1.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	171	320	195	97	6.24	53%	0.02	-2.2	2.74%	1.8	2	61	-0.7
22	Oct_20_2023	415.57	374.53	371.53	373.33	376.37	402.19	401.04(-0.57%)	UD	OpenLong	75	2	533	500	629	244	11.02	46%	-0	-24.8	2.74%	0.6	1.9	58	-1.3
23	Oct_19_2023	415.59	373.28	369.16	364.14	366.41	374.7	403.33(16.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	3.1	461	180	552	187	25.43	46%	0.02	-53.4	2.93%	1.5	2.4	59	-1.4
24	Oct_18_2023	415.51	372.11	365.62	355.86	354.35	350.55	346.06(-2.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-238	-90	-254	-190	6.07	36%	-0.12	-87.2	2.05%	-1.9	-2.4	31	-0.7
25	Oct_17_2023	415.99	374.2	368.8	359.87	358.31	358.12	355.04(-1.71%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-60	-20	-50	-89	4.76	38%		-94.5	2.17%	-1	-1.9	35	0.5
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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