Trading Signals: NFLX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Apr. 24, 2014

Trading Signals: NFLX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Jan. 8, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Netflex stock)
NFLX latest price $49.1528 (-2.67%) ($47.8285 - $50.8427) on Thu. Apr. 24, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.54% (three month average)
RSI   47
Latest Price   $49.1528(-2.67%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   NFLX advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   NFLX advances 1.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support NFLX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(56%)    SPY(46%)    XLK(46%)    XLY(46%)    VT(42%)
Factors Impacting NFLX price   NFLX will decline at least -1.27% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-6%)    UUP(-5%)    SHY(-4%)    IGOV(-1%)    UNG(1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.27% (StdDev 2.54%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2.4%

Resistance Level   $49.6
5 Day Moving Average   $50.42(-2.51%)
10 Day Moving Average   $48.88(0.56%)
20 Day Moving Average   $49.6(-0.9%)
To recent high   -24.4%
To recent low   5.5%
Market Cap   $21.677b

Netflix, Inc. is an Internet subscription service company, which provides subscription service streaming movies and television episodes over the Internet and sending DVDs by mail. It operates through the following segments: Domestic Streaming, International Streaming and Domestic DVD. The Domestic Streaming segment derives revenues from monthly membership fees for services consisting solely of streaming content to its members in the United States. The International Streaming segment includes fees from members outside the United States. The Domestic DVD segment covers revenues from services consisting solely of DVD-by-mail. The company was founded by Marc Randolph and Wilmot Reed Hastings Jr., on August 29, 1997 and is headquartered in Los Gatos, CA.

$. NFLX price fluctuates within 3.81% (three month std-dev: 2.54%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140524

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_24_2014	55.79	49.6	48.88	50.42			49.15(-2.67%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.7	13	-10000	6	33	30.66	51%	-0.16	-60.6	2.54%	0	-0.2	47	0
2	Apr_23_2014	55.88	49.79	48.99	50.06			50.5(-5.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	15	-10000	13	20	40.35	64%	-0.14	-76.2	2.52%	0	0.3	46	0
3	Apr_22_2014	55.96	49.89	48.89	49.28			53.27(7%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.9	10	-10000	15	-7	64.7	70%	-0.07	-96.3	3.2%	0	1.6	51	0
4	Apr_21_2014	56	49.9	48.35	48.1			49.78(0.8%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-5	-10000	8	-43	47.89	66%	-0.14	-118.7	3.09%	0	-0.1	48	0
5	Apr_17_2014	56.08	50.27	48.17	47.48			49.39(4.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-15	-10000	4	-70	32.14	66%	-0.18	-83.6	3.09%	0	-0.3	44	0

6	Apr_16_2014	56.18	50.78	48.26	47.16			47.34(1.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-29	-10000	-9	-89	16.12	64%	-0.23	-77.2	3.04%	0	-0.9	35	0
7	Apr_15_2014	56.31	51.39	48.69	47.78			46.61(-1.6%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-27	-10000	-9	-82	30.83	61%	-0.27	-71.4	3.04%	0	-1.1	30	0
8	Apr_14_2014	56.46	52.04	49.23	48.43			47.37(1.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-19	-10000	-2	-69	18	61%	-0.23	-68	3.04%	0	-1.1	32	0
9	Apr_11_2014	56.59	52.68	49.53	48.61			46.67(-2.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-23	-10000	-4	-80	30.17	62%	-0.28	-67.6	3.02%	0	-1.3	27	0
10	Apr_10_2014	56.75	53.37	50.01	48.91			47.82(-5.18%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-31	-10000	-8	-98	24.92	61%	-0.25	-68.9	3.03%	0	-1.2	23	0

11	Apr_9_2014	56.89	54.05	50.44	49.48			50.43(1.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-32	-10000	-4	-117	20.53	65%	-0.18	-67.4	2.96%	0	-0.8	22	0
12	Apr_8_2014	56.99	54.62	50.69	49.76			49.84(3.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-39	-10000	-6	-136	25.79	65%	-0.19	-66.3	2.96%	0	-1	23	0
13	Apr_7_2014	57.1	55.25	50.99	50.22			48.29(0.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-42	-10000	-5	-151	37.35	63%	-0.26	-65.6	2.96%	0	-1.4	16	0
14	Apr_4_2014	57.25	55.98	51.58	50.62			48.19(-4.9%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-47	-10000	-8	-163	34.99	63%	-0.26	-65.3	2.98%	0	-1.6	15	0
15	Apr_3_2014	57.4	56.78	52.54	51.23			50.67(-2.26%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-43	-10000	-4	-161	22	69%	-0.19	-64.1	2.94%	0	-1.2	17	0

16	Apr_2_2014	57.51	57.46	53.48	51.5			51.84(-0.5%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	0.1	-43	-10000	-4	-159	24.18	69%	-0.17	-63.6	2.94%	0	-1.1	17	0
17	Apr_1_2014	57.61	58.11	54.26	51.77			52.1(3.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-42	-10000	-2	-160	21.36	69%	-0.17	-62.4	2.97%	0	-1.2	17	0
18	Mar_31_2014	57.71	58.75	55.02	51.95			50.29(-1.91%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-50	-10000	-10	-169	22.13	67%	-0.22	-63.6	2.96%	0	-1.8	6	0
19	Mar_28_2014	57.84	59.45	56.04	52.72			51.27(-1.46%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-54	-10000	-17	-165	24.7	67%	-0.21	-65.4	2.97%	0	-1.9	6	0
20	Mar_27_2014	57.96	60.1	57	54.06			52.03(-2.18%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-54	-10000	-21	-153	28.67	67%	-0.19	-61.1	2.99%	0	-2	6	0

21	Mar_26_2014	58.07	60.75	57.96	55.78			53.18(0.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-45	-10000	-16	-130	27.16	67%	-0.15	-53.7	3%	0	-2.1	6	0
22	Mar_25_2014	58.16	61.33	58.9	57.15			52.98(-2.13%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.3	-40	-10000	-16	-113	30.41	67%	-0.17	-45.9	3.03%	0	-2.6	4	0
23	Mar_24_2014	58.26	61.95	59.89	58.56			54.13(-6.67%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.7	-34	-10000	-14	-95	42.48	67%	-0.14	-39	3.04%	0	-3	5	0
24	Mar_21_2014	58.34	62.47	60.8	59.81			58(-4.31%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.9	-24	-10000	-6	-77	26.8	77%	-0.02	-32.7	2.91%	0	-2.3	22	0
25	Mar_20_2014	58.35	62.69	61.41	60.34			60.61(0.99%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-18	-10000	-2	-67	14.5	87%		-31.6	2.86%	0	-1.2	29	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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