Trading Signals: NBIX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jan. 2, 2018

Trading Signals: NBIX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 10, 2015 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Neurocrine Biosciences Inc)
NBIX latest price $79.3000 (2.2%) ($76.0000 - $80.0700) on Tue. Jan. 2, 2018.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.06% (three month average)
RSI   78
Latest Price   $79.3000(2.2%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   NBIX advances 2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   NBIX advances 3.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support NBIX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IBB(55%)    XBI(51%)    IWO(45%)    ARKG(43%)    IWF(41%)
Factors Impacting NBIX price   NBIX will decline at least -1.53% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-13%)    UUP(-10%)    TLT(-7%)    SHY(-5%)    IGOV(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.53% (StdDev 3.06%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $75.55(4.96%)
10 Day Moving Average   $73.39(8.05%)
20 Day Moving Average   $72.28(9.71%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   35.5%
Market Cap   $7.391b

Neurocrine Biosciences, Inc. operates as a product based bio-pharmaceutical company. It discovers, develops and intends to commercialize drugs for the treatment of neurological and endocrine related diseases and disorders. The company product includes INGREZZA. Neurocrine Biosciences was founded by Kevin C. Gorman and Wylie W. Vale on January 1992 and is headquartered in San Diego, CA.

$. NBIX price fluctuates within 3.64% (three month std-dev: 3.06%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 39 Average positive next day return: 2.07%(44%) Average negative next day return: -1.36%(56%) Sample size 39 Average positive next three day return: 2.98%(38%) Average negative next three day return: -2.43%(62%) Sample size 39 Average positive next weekly return: 3.8%(51%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.99%(49%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20180202

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_2_2018	64.2	72.28	73.39	75.55	75.65	77.56	79.3(2.2%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.4	69	180	59	98	1.34	68%	0.56	50.5	3.06%	0	2.7	78	INF
2	Dec_29_2017	63.84	71.95	72.47	74.06	74.05	75.73	77.59(2.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	59	160	56	67	0.93	70%	0.38	51.3	3.05%	0	2.8	58	INF
3	Dec_28_2017	63.6	71.63	71.7	72.87	72.74	73.74	75.39(2.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	38	90	38	37	0.53	70%	0.33	45.8	3.05%	0	2.5	57	INF
4	Dec_27_2017	63.39	71.28	71.22	72.08	71.89	72.37	73.74(2.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	26	40	27	23	0.46	71%	0.33	15.9	3.05%	0	1.7	62	INF
5	Dec_26_2017	63.18	71	70.84	71.11	71.14	71.74	71.73(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	10	60	13	1	0.3	68%	0.45	-14.1	3.04%	0	0.5	53	INF

6	Dec_22_2017	62.9	70.97	70.72	70.87	70.61	71.41	71.83(0.21%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.7	13	70	18	-4	0.59	68%	0.37	-22	3.04%	0	0.6	49	INF
7	Dec_21_2017	62.67	70.97	70.86	70.61	70.42	70.55	71.68(0.38%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	10	0	16	-9	0.39	70%	0.37	-30.5	3.04%	0	0.5	44	INF
8	Dec_20_2017	62.44	70.93	70.92	70.35	70.27	69.81	71.41(3.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.7	-12	-50	-9	-22	0.91	70%	0.39	-36.5	3.06%	0	0.3	49	INF
9	Dec_19_2017	62.2	71.05	70.77	70.27	70.47	70.29	68.88(-2.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-14	-10	-12	-21	1.79	68%	0.34	-34.7	3.04%	0	-1.4	54	INF
10	Dec_18_2017	61.99	71.2	71	70.51	70.74	70.73	70.57(0.11%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	0	10	2	-6	0.61	68%	0.34	-40.5	3.02%	0	-0.4	59	INF

11	Dec_15_2017	61.78	71.29	71.14	70.52	70.62	70.65	70.49(0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-11	10	-12	-9	2.27	68%	0.36	-49.5	3.02%	0	-0.5	49	INF
12	Dec_14_2017	61.56	71.38	71.43	71.17	71.05	70.76	70.42(-0.77%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-4	-30	-8	9	0.89	68%	0.36	-47.7	3.02%	0	-0.6	49	INF
13	Dec_13_2017	61.34	71.46	71.59	71.58	71.77	70.59	70.97(1.23%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-5	-110	-11	14	0.52	68%	0.36	-46.7	3.02%	0	-0.3	49	INF
14	Dec_12_2017	61.12	71.61	71.37	71.35	71.82	71.35	70.11(-0.68%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-23	-30	-27	-10	0.67	68%	0.36	-49.1	3.02%	0	-0.9	41	INF
15	Dec_11_2017	60.9	71.83	71.22	71.53	71.69	72.95	70.59(-4.28%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	6	130	9	-2	0.98	68%	0.4	-44.5	3.02%	0	-0.7	49	INF

16	Dec_8_2017	60.66	72.06	71.3	71.8	71.66	72.3	73.75(1.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	26	60	32	9	0.87	73%	0.43	-32.7	2.96%	0	0.9	53	INF
17	Dec_7_2017	60.4	72.12	71.01	71.77	71.6	70.44	72.5(3.85%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-13	-120	-13	-12	0.6	73%	0.42	-25.7	2.96%	0	0.2	50	INF
18	Dec_6_2017	60.15	72.19	70.92	71.65	71.97	71.03	69.81(-1.65%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-26	-80	-28	-21	0.66	71%	0.38	1.8	2.93%	0	-1.2	45	INF
19	Dec_5_2017	59.92	72.42	71.34	71.37	72.11	72.77	70.98(-1.39%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	7	100	13	-10	0.6	71%	0.4	26.4	2.93%	0	-0.7	42	INF
20	Dec_4_2017	59.68	72.6	71.42	70.81	71.12	72.91	71.98(-2.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	21	190	34	-18	0.75	71%	0.4	47.1	2.92%	0	-0.3	42	INF

21	Dec_1_2017	59.44	72.67	71.43	70.68	70.3	71.46	73.6(2.38%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.5	26	100	43	-25	0.92	71%	0.46	72.3	2.93%	0	0.5	43	INF
22	Nov_30_2017	59.17	72.63	71.43	70.19	70.08	69.34	71.89(5.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-13	-80	2	-57	1.09	74%	0.44	97.8	2.95%	0	-0.4	38	INF
23	Nov_29_2017	58.91	72.15	71.27	70.18	70.27	69.14	68.4(0.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-61	-110	-52	-86	1.08	72%	0.39	63.3	2.9%	0	-1.2	32	INF
24	Nov_28_2017	58.68	71.91	71.85	71.33	71.45	70.83	68.19(-4.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-34	-60	-25	-59	1.18	72%	0.39	66.9	2.91%	0	-1	30	INF
25	Nov_27_2017	58.45	71.67	72.52	72.05	72.22	71.41	71.3(0.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-22	-70	-14	-45	0.76	77%		69	2.84%	0	-0.1	37	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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