Trading Signals: NBIX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Sep. 7, 2017

Trading Signals: NBIX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 10, 2015 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Neurocrine Biosciences Inc)
NBIX latest price $57.7300 (-1.55%) ($57.0700 - $59.1900) on Thu. Sep. 7, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.18% (three month average)
RSI   67
Latest Price   $57.7300(-1.55%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   NBIX advances 1.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   NBIX advances 5.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Rotation from value to growth for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support NBIX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IBB(54%)    XBI(50%)    IWO(43%)    ARKG(42%)    IWF(40%)
Factors Impacting NBIX price   NBIX will decline at least -1.09% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-13%)    UUP(-10%)    TLT(-6%)    SHY(-4%)    IGOV(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.09% (StdDev 2.18%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $57.6(0.23%)
10 Day Moving Average   $55.54(3.94%)
20 Day Moving Average   $54.36(6.2%)
To recent high   -1.6%
To recent low   35.9%
Market Cap   $5.38b

Neurocrine Biosciences, Inc. operates as a product based bio-pharmaceutical company. It discovers, develops and intends to commercialize drugs for the treatment of neurological and endocrine related diseases and disorders. The company product includes INGREZZA. Neurocrine Biosciences was founded by Kevin C. Gorman and Wylie W. Vale on January 1992 and is headquartered in San Diego, CA.

$. NBIX price fluctuates within 3.77% (three month std-dev: 2.18%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 50 Average positive next day return: 0.95%(52%) Average negative next day return: -1.09%(48%) Sample size 50 Average positive next three day return: 1.47%(52%) Average negative next three day return: -3.24%(48%) Sample size 50 Average positive next weekly return: 1.99%(56%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.9%(44%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20171007

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_7_2017	49.99	54.36	55.54	57.6	57.73	58.45	57.73(-1.55%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	62	90	31	153	0.87	81%	0.12	62.6	2.18%	0	1.6	67	0
2	Sep_6_2017	49.93	54.19	54.97	56.82	57.08	58.03	58.64(1.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	81	130	62	138	1.17	81%	0.12	71.5	2.18%	0	2.3	68	0
3	Sep_5_2017	49.87	53.92	54.35	55.62	55.71	57	58.03(1.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	65	170	55	96	0.99	81%	0.08	80.5	2.18%	0	2.6	64	0
4	Sep_1_2017	49.83	53.69	53.73	54.57	54.46	56.14	57.01(0.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	64	210	65	62	0.81	81%	0.08	101.7	2.21%	0	2.7	61	0
5	Aug_31_2017	49.79	53.49	53.22	53.74	53.57	54.41	56.6(5.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	45	100	52	25	1.11	81%	0.1	87.1	2.24%	0	2.2	59	0

6	Aug_30_2017	49.74	53.11	52.83	53.22	53.06	52.78	53.8(2.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	3	-50	8	-11	1.05	62%	0.24	71	2.16%	0	0.4	49	0
7	Aug_29_2017	49.62	52.87	52.79	53.22	53.02	52.72	52.64(-0.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-19	-30	-13	-35	0.63	59%	0.26	53.1	2.28%	0	-0.1	36	0
8	Aug_28_2017	49.49	52.66	52.92	52.86	52.97	53.34	52.82(-0.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-2	60	6	-26	0.7	59%	0.24	46.1	2.3%	0	0.1	46	0
9	Aug_25_2017	49.37	52.45	53.02	52.72	52.75	53.31	52.83(-2.18%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	11	80	22	-22	0.74	51%	0.26	41.6	2.39%	0	0.2	45	0
10	Aug_24_2017	49.24	52.29	53.14	52.59	52.35	52.6	54.01(3.91%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	3	20	13	-27	0.84	40%	0.26	43.2	2.37%	0	0.8	53	0

11	Aug_23_2017	49.11	52.04	53.11	52.41	52.26	52.19	51.98(-1.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-10	-20	-7	-18	0.74	34%	0.18	42.6	2.57%	0	-0	70	0
12	Aug_22_2017	49.02	51.9	53.38	52.72	52.61	52.1	52.66(1.02%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	-8	-70	-14	11	0.71	34%	0.2	47.6	2.56%	0	0.3	74	0
13	Aug_21_2017	48.92	51.72	53.49	53	53.02	52.34	52.13(-0.04%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-11	-90	-27	36	1.1	34%	0.18	52.6	2.57%	0	0.2	75	0
14	Aug_18_2017	48.83	51.56	53.67	53.37	53.59	53.13	52.15(-1.83%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	2	-50	-22	73	0.78	34%	0.23	57.4	2.57%	0	0.2	75	0
15	Aug_17_2017	48.72	51.32	53.83	53.75	54.01	53.7	53.12(-0.8%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	19	-30	-10	107	0.53	34%	0.21	58.4	2.57%	0	0.7	68	0

16	Aug_16_2017	48.62	51.06	53.46	53.9	54.06	54.06	53.55(-0.91%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	22	10	-9	114	0.83	34%	0.25	60.6	2.58%	0	0.9	73	0
17	Aug_15_2017	48.5	50.77	53.01	54.14	54.11	54.32	54.04(0.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	37	30	6	128	0.65	34%	0.25	66.1	2.59%	0	1.2	74	0
18	Aug_14_2017	48.38	50.43	52.43	54.07	54.09	54.07	53.98(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	36	-0	6	127	0.81	34%	0.25	70	2.59%	0	1.3	75	0
19	Aug_11_2017	48.26	50.07	51.86	54.03	53.9	53.91	54.07(0.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	31	-10	-0	124	0.71	34%	0.27	76	2.62%	0	1.5	75	0
20	Aug_10_2017	48.13	49.76	51.39	53.92	53.74	54.11	53.85(-1.7%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	55	40	25	145	0.73	34%	0.27	82	2.63%	0	1.6	79	0

21	Aug_9_2017	48	49.42	50.88	52.91	53.15	53.9	54.78(2.11%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	67	110	44	134	1.04	34%	0.27	74.6	2.63%	0	2.2	77	0
22	Aug_8_2017	47.87	48.98	50.27	51.67	51.74	53.37	53.65(-0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	66	220	51	112	1.06	34%	0.21	62.6	2.63%	0	2.1	76	0
23	Aug_7_2017	47.77	48.55	49.75	50.53	50.38	52.4	53.8(0.56%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.6	80	270	74	97	1.47	34%	0.19	49.5	2.67%	0	2.6	77	0
24	Aug_4_2017	47.68	48.12	49.2	49.38	49.11	50.12	53.5(9.54%)	UT	HoldLong	65	2.5	58	130	54	68	2.84	34%	0.19	40.2	2.67%	0	3.3	78	0
25	Aug_3_2017	47.59	47.76	48.52	48.57	48.34	48.36	48.84(0.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	9	-10	3	26	0.94	12%		41.3	2.39%	0	1	54	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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