Trading Signals: NBIX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Apr. 25, 2017

Trading Signals: NBIX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 10, 2015 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Neurocrine Biosciences Inc)
NBIX latest price $53.6200 (3.55%) ($51.9500 - $53.8500) on Tue. Apr. 25, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4% (three month average)
RSI   72
Latest Price   $53.6200(3.55%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   NBIX advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   NBIX advances 11.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support NBIX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IBB(54%)    XBI(51%)    IWO(43%)    ARKG(42%)    IWF(39%)
Factors Impacting NBIX price   NBIX will decline at least -2% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-13%)    UUP(-8%)    TLT(-7%)    SHY(-5%)    IGOV(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2% (StdDev 4%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 3.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $51.98(3.16%)
10 Day Moving Average   $51.39(4.34%)
20 Day Moving Average   $46.83(14.5%)
To recent high   -1.3%
To recent low   34.5%
Market Cap   $4.997b

Neurocrine Biosciences, Inc. operates as a product based bio-pharmaceutical company. It discovers, develops and intends to commercialize drugs for the treatment of neurological and endocrine related diseases and disorders. The company product includes INGREZZA. Neurocrine Biosciences was founded by Kevin C. Gorman and Wylie W. Vale on January 1992 and is headquartered in San Diego, CA.

$. NBIX price fluctuates within 11.51% (three month std-dev: 4%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 13 Average positive next day return: 0.57%(31%) Average negative next day return: -1.86%(69%) Sample size 13 Average positive next three day return: 10.74%(38%) Average negative next three day return: -4.98%(62%) Sample size 13 Average positive next weekly return: 13.87%(38%) Average negative next weekly return: -5.67%(62%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170525

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_25_2017	43.31	46.83	51.39	51.98	51.97	52.3	53.62(3.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	55	40	14	176	1.27	69%	0.23	51.5	4%	0	1.3	72	INF
2	Apr_24_2017	43.21	46.25	50.14	51.67	51.78	51.52	51.78(1.33%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	34	-30	-9	161	0.93	69%	0.21	50.7	3.98%	0	1.1	71	INF
3	Apr_21_2017	43.12	45.75	49.12	52.18	52.09	51.64	51.1(-0.8%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	31	-70	-14	167	0.88	64%	0.19	52.9	4.05%	0	1	70	INF
4	Apr_20_2017	43.04	45.26	48.09	52.64	52.74	52.03	51.51(-0.77%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	39	-90	-8	181	1.31	64%	0.14	53.8	4.08%	0	1.3	73	INF
5	Apr_19_2017	42.98	44.75	47.04	52.7	52.97	52.54	51.91(-0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	55	-40	10	190	0.94	64%	0.07	51.1	4.08%	0	1.5	70	INF

6	Apr_18_2017	42.95	44.21	46.14	50.61	52.87	53.46	52.06(-4.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	78	210	47	172	1.95	66%	0.07	36.6	4.08%	0	1.7	72	INF
7	Apr_17_2017	42.92	43.76	45.21	48.26	49.86	53.39	54.32(1.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	85	600	67	140	1.6	65%	0.09	20	4.07%	0	2.5	74	INF
8	Apr_13_2017	42.88	43.2	44.01	45.57	46.61	52.27	53.39(3.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.4	122	920	124	115	4.22	65%	0.07	-0.3	4.13%	0	3.1	74	INF
9	Apr_12_2017	42.85	42.72	42.75	42.94	43.49	46.33	51.8(24.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	3.4	100	500	113	62	13.1	65%	0.07	-27.7	4.12%	0	3.5	73	INF
10	Apr_11_2017	42.82	42.42	41.75	40.72	40.64	40.94	41.48(2.9%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-12	50	-4	-36	2.48	51%	-0.23	-67.8	2.69%	0	-0.5	50	INF

11	Apr_10_2017	42.92	42.61	41.77	41.06	40.9	40.65	40.31(-1.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-17	-50	-12	-30	1.76	46%	-0.26	-52.1	2.73%	0	-1.1	45	INF
12	Apr_7_2017	43.03	42.94	41.99	41.65	41.55	40.34	40.88(1.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-30	-210	-31	-27	1.25	46%	-0.28	-36.8	2.8%	0	-1	37	INF
13	Apr_6_2017	43.15	43.21	42.12	42.13	42.34	41.14	40.24(-1.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-37	-180	-40	-29	1.72	50%	-0.28	-26.1	2.81%	0	-1.5	32	INF
14	Apr_5_2017	43.27	43.45	42.27	42.44	42.91	42.76	40.67(-5.9%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-23	10	-21	-29	1.32	50%	-0.28	-22	2.93%	0	-1.5	31	INF
15	Apr_4_2017	43.39	43.67	42.4	42.89	42.94	43.55	43.22(-0.05%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	6	100	17	-26	1.21	57%	-0.28	-16.7	2.83%	0	-0.3	31	INF

16	Apr_3_2017	43.51	43.68	42.25	42.58	42.63	43.06	43.24(-0.14%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	2	70	19	-49	1.23	57%	-0.23	-23.3	2.95%	0	-0.2	41	INF
17	Mar_31_2017	43.61	43.71	42.29	42.4	42.23	42.33	43.3(3.64%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-13	0	7	-73	0.81	57%	-0.23	-30.1	2.95%	0	-0.2	36	INF
18	Mar_30_2017	43.71	43.74	42.37	42.14	42.15	42.2	41.78(-2.68%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-20	10	3	-90	1.38	55%	-0.23	-31.6	2.94%	0	-1.1	34	INF
19	Mar_29_2017	43.81	43.87	42.69	42.08	42.07	42.13	42.93(3.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-18	10	6	-91	0.93	55%	-0.07	-30.9	2.93%	0	-0.5	44	INF
20	Mar_28_2017	43.84	43.96	43.08	41.84	41.92	42.09	41.64(-1.68%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-22	30	1	-91	0.47	53%	-0.07	-29.6	2.9%	0	-1.4	40	INF

21	Mar_27_2017	43.87	44.1	43.47	41.86	41.89	42.01	42.35(0.88%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-24	20	-3	-85	0.54	53%	0.02	-30.3	2.9%	0	-1.1	48	INF
22	Mar_24_2017	43.86	44.25	43.93	42.17	42.17	41.74	41.98(1.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-28	-70	-14	-68	0.46	53%	0.05	-22.8	2.93%	0	-1.4	46	INF
23	Mar_23_2017	43.84	44.3	44.36	42.68	42.75	41.76	41.5(-0.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-38	-160	-33	-54	0.72	53%	-0.02	-15.9	2.95%	0	-1.8	43	INF
24	Mar_22_2017	43.85	44.41	44.73	43.41	43.54	42.59	41.72(-0.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-45	-140	-47	-39	0.7	53%	-0.07	-1.2	2.96%	0	-1.8	43	INF
25	Mar_21_2017	43.88	44.48	45.07	44.52	44.62	43.73	41.77(-4.83%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2	-26	-130	-32	-6	1.24	53%		25	2.98%	0	-2	41	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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