Trading Signals: NBIX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Jan. 4, 2017

Trading Signals: NBIX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 10, 2015 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Neurocrine Biosciences Inc)
NBIX latest price $41.2800 (6.78%) ($38.6100 - $41.9400) on Wed. Jan. 4, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.51% (three month average)
RSI   40
Latest Price   $41.2800(6.78%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   NBIX advances 1.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   NBIX declines -4.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support NBIX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IBB(53%)    XBI(50%)    ARKG(41%)    IWO(41%)    IWF(37%)
Factors Impacting NBIX price   NBIX will decline at least -1.755% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-13%)    UUP(-8%)    TLT(-6%)    SHY(-4%)    IPO(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.755% (StdDev 3.51%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 6.4%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $30.32(-26.55%)
5 Day Moving Average   $38.91(6.09%)
10 Day Moving Average   $39.29(5.06%)
20 Day Moving Average   $40.89(0.95%)
To recent high   -24.6%
To recent low   8.9%
Market Cap   $3.847b

Neurocrine Biosciences, Inc. operates as a product based bio-pharmaceutical company. It discovers, develops and intends to commercialize drugs for the treatment of neurological and endocrine related diseases and disorders. The company product includes INGREZZA. Neurocrine Biosciences was founded by Kevin C. Gorman and Wylie W. Vale on January 1992 and is headquartered in San Diego, CA.

$. NBIX price fluctuates within 4.67% (three month std-dev: 3.51%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170204

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_4_2017	47.06	40.89	39.29	38.91	38.8	39.53	41.28(6.78%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	4	120	27	-65	1.57	46%	-0.15	-75.8	3.51%	0	0.2	40	INF
2	Jan_3_2017	47.13	40.99	39.18	38.31	38.32	38.58	38.66(-0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-20	50	5	-96	0.94	42%	-0.25	-86.7	3.4%	0	-1.1	37	INF
3	Dec_30_2016	47.25	41.22	39.54	38.51	38.33	38.58	38.7(2.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-26	-60	-3	-93	0.84	42%	-0.19	-100.8	3.4%	0	-1.2	39	INF
4	Dec_29_2016	47.34	41.46	40.02	38.58	38.6	38.06	37.9(-0.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-37	-100	-19	-92	0.74	42%	-0.21	-117.2	3.39%	0	-1.7	35	INF
5	Dec_28_2016	47.44	41.88	40.55	39.04	39.04	38.59	37.99(-0.84%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-39	-80	-24	-83	0.69	40%	-0.23	-113.6	3.39%	0	-1.8	31	INF

6	Dec_27_2016	47.55	42.39	41.1	39.71	39.69	39.15	38.31(-3.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-30	-100	-16	-71	1.3	40%	-0.27	-100.9	3.42%	0	-1.7	27	INF
7	Dec_23_2016	47.68	42.93	41.49	40.17	40.2	39.49	39.65(1.56%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-36	-120	-24	-71	0.87	40%	-0.21	-78.2	3.37%	0	-1.1	37	INF
8	Dec_22_2016	47.78	43.48	41.72	40.73	40.73	40.23	39.04(-2.86%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-41	-90	-32	-69	1.64	40%	-0.25	-77.2	3.36%	0	-1.5	37	INF
9	Dec_21_2016	47.9	44.03	42.02	41.69	41.6	40.91	40.19(-2.81%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-27	-120	-20	-48	0.78	40%	-0.21	-68.3	3.35%	0	-1.2	40	INF
10	Dec_20_2016	48	44.47	42.31	42.3	42.27	41.24	41.35(1.85%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-32	-170	-26	-50	0.7	40%	-0.21	-68.6	3.34%	0	-1	33	INF

11	Dec_19_2016	48.1	44.93	42.66	42.71	42.81	42.28	40.6(-4.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-30	-80	-22	-53	0.82	40%	-0.21	-67.2	3.33%	0	-1.3	26	INF
12	Dec_16_2016	48.2	45.45	42.98	42.99	43.14	43.29	42.45(-3.21%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-11	30	5	-57	1.13	43%	-0.17	-66.5	3.29%	0	-0.9	28	INF
13	Dec_15_2016	48.28	45.93	43.06	42.83	42.76	43.33	43.86(1.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-10	90	15	-85	1	44%	-0.14	-65.2	3.29%	0	-0.6	26	INF
14	Dec_14_2016	48.35	46.29	42.98	42.4	42.38	42.98	43.23(-0.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-18	100	16	-119	0.67	45%	-0.12	-66.7	3.3%	0	-0.8	27	INF
15	Dec_13_2016	48.41	46.76	43.27	42.34	42.1	42.18	43.4(3.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-34	-0	0	-137	1.28	45%	-0.14	-57.4	3.31%	0	-0.9	33	INF

16	Dec_12_2016	48.48	47.3	43.73	42.67	42.22	41.79	42.01(0.84%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-47	-100	-14	-146	0.68	46%	-0.14	-42.1	3.29%	0	-1.3	25	INF
17	Dec_9_2016	48.55	47.84	44.41	42.99	42.88	42.02	41.66(-0.12%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-50	-150	-18	-146	0.62	45%	-0.16	-29.8	3.33%	0	-1.5	23	INF
18	Dec_8_2016	48.63	48.42	45.32	43.3	43.34	42.65	41.71(-2.86%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-54	-110	-23	-145	1.68	45%	-0.14	-14.9	3.35%	0	-1.7	21	INF
19	Dec_7_2016	48.7	48.93	46.18	43.61	43.64	43.75	42.94(-4.64%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-49	20	-18	-142	1.22	45%	-0.08	-3.2	3.33%	0	-1.6	27	INF
20	Dec_6_2016	48.74	49.12	46.81	44.31	44.11	44.02	45.03(3.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-43	-30	-10	-140	1.46	48%	-0.04	3.5	3.28%	0	-1.2	28	INF

21	Dec_5_2016	48.76	49.13	47.38	45	44.98	43.53	43.61(0.88%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-66	-230	-37	-151	1.53	48%	-0.06	9.6	3.28%	0	-1.6	19	INF
22	Dec_2_2016	48.79	49.09	48.13	46.12	46.24	44.2	43.23(0.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-89	-300	-69	-148	0.98	48%	-0.06	14	3.3%	0	-1.6	28	INF
23	Dec_1_2016	48.82	49.02	49.06	47.68	47.91	46.43	43.22(-6.95%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-73	-200	-58	-117	1.46	49%	-0.06	19.1	3.3%	0	-1.4	27	INF
24	Nov_30_2016	48.85	49.05	49.92	49.1	49.29	48.28	46.45(-4.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-41	-130	-27	-81	0.91	52%	-0.04	26.8	3.2%	0	-0.6	38	INF
25	Nov_29_2016	48.87	49	50.58	49.62	49.62	49.4	48.49(-1.42%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-29	-30	-23	-48	0.71	54%		28.8	3.16%	0	-0.1	61	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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