Trading Signals: NBIX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Jun. 3, 2016

Trading Signals: NBIX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 10, 2015 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Neurocrine Biosciences Inc)
NBIX latest price $49.5200 (-2.42%) ($48.3400 - $50.9900) on Fri. Jun. 3, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.37% (three month average)
RSI   67
Latest Price   $49.5200(-2.42%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   NBIX advances 1.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   NBIX advances 4.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support NBIX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IBB(55%)    XBI(53%)    ARKG(43%)    IWO(41%)    XLV(39%)
Factors Impacting NBIX price   NBIX will decline at least -1.685% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-14%)    UUP(-7%)    TLT(-7%)    SHY(-5%)    IBUY(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.685% (StdDev 3.37%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $49.14(0.77%)
10 Day Moving Average   $48.33(2.46%)
20 Day Moving Average   $46.44(6.63%)
To recent high   -2.4%
To recent low   47.2%
Market Cap   $4.615b

Neurocrine Biosciences, Inc. operates as a product based bio-pharmaceutical company. It discovers, develops and intends to commercialize drugs for the treatment of neurological and endocrine related diseases and disorders. The company product includes INGREZZA. Neurocrine Biosciences was founded by Kevin C. Gorman and Wylie W. Vale on January 1992 and is headquartered in San Diego, CA.

$. NBIX price fluctuates within 5.32% (three month std-dev: 3.37%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 6 Average positive next day return: 2.29%(67%) Average negative next day return: -2.08%(33%) Sample size 6 Average positive next three day return: 1.63%(67%) Average negative next three day return: -4.95%(33%) Sample size 6 Average positive next weekly return: 4.62%(33%) Average negative next weekly return: -7.09%(67%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160703

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_3_2016	41.86	46.44	48.33	49.14	49.67	49.97	49.52(-2.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	38	70	22	87	1.24	60%	0.05	50.4	3.37%	0	1.2	67	INF
2	Jun_2_2016	41.84	46.1	48.07	48.4	48.67	49.69	50.75(2.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	40	160	24	86	1.19	60%	0.22	34	3.44%	0	1.9	72	INF
3	Jun_1_2016	41.75	45.69	47.55	47.57	47.62	49.37	49.6(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	43	260	30	83	0.95	60%	0.1	19.9	3.45%	0	1.7	71	INF
4	May_31_2016	41.71	45.45	46.95	47.4	47.22	47.66	49.65(7.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	43	50	31	77	2.24	60%	0	14.2	3.49%	0	2	62	INF
5	May_27_2016	41.71	45.27	46.53	47.08	47.05	45.86	46.19(0.79%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-4	-180	-23	55	0.65	57%	-0.02	7.1	3.37%	0	0.5	55	INF

6	May_26_2016	41.72	45.23	46.3	47.42	47.6	46.78	45.83(-1.57%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-5	-110	-28	65	1.16	57%	-0.12	4.6	3.4%	0	0.3	60	INF
7	May_25_2016	41.77	45.27	46.05	47.64	47.99	48.24	46.56(-4.53%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	24	60	3	87	1.14	57%	-0.14	2.4	3.39%	0	0.7	63	INF
8	May_24_2016	41.83	45.24	45.69	47.46	47.59	48.41	48.77(1.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	49	130	33	97	0.98	60%	-0.07	-2.1	3.34%	0	1.8	69	INF
9	May_23_2016	41.86	45.15	45.25	46.38	46.57	47.73	48.07(0.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	40	190	29	71	1.34	60%	0.14	-14.9	3.35%	0	1.5	58	INF
10	May_20_2016	41.8	45.15	44.9	45.9	45.67	46.77	47.89(2.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	42	150	37	57	1.11	60%	-0.21	-17.3	3.37%	0	1.4	51	INF

11	May_19_2016	41.89	45.14	44.38	45.05	45.05	45.41	46.92(2.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	28	60	29	25	1.18	60%	-0.24	-23.5	3.39%	0	0.9	53	INF
12	May_18_2016	41.99	45.22	43.94	44.25	44.35	44.58	45.64(5.19%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	5	40	11	-15	1.58	57%	-0.26	-29.2	3.4%	0	0.2	46	INF
13	May_17_2016	42.1	45.28	43.65	43.65	43.87	44.69	43.39(-4.93%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-5	150	7	-42	1.25	54%	-0.24	-35.4	3.4%	0	-0.9	42	INF
14	May_16_2016	42.2	45.43	43.81	43.91	43.64	44.12	45.64(4.56%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	3	60	18	-42	1.01	58%	0.09	-29.8	3.35%	0	0.1	43	INF
15	May_13_2016	42.16	45.48	43.86	43.76	43.63	43.05	43.65(1.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-16	-100	-1	-61	0.77	55%	-0.24	-25.6	3.32%	0	-0.9	33	INF

16	May_12_2016	42.26	45.63	44.04	43.61	43.81	43.15	42.94(0.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-31	-90	-14	-81	0.75	55%	-0.21	-26.4	3.34%	0	-1.3	30	INF
17	May_11_2016	42.35	45.83	44.42	43.55	43.73	44.2	42.65(-4.56%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-24	90	-3	-86	0.64	58%	-0.21	-25.3	3.35%	0	-1.7	28	INF
18	May_10_2016	42.44	46.03	44.79	43.6	43.49	44.47	44.69(-0.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-5	150	20	-79	0.57	63%	-0.16	-27.1	3.34%	0	-0.8	43	INF
19	May_9_2016	42.51	46.04	45.05	43.67	43.24	43.25	44.89(4.71%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-19	-30	2	-82	0.78	63%	-0.16	-21.5	3.38%	0	-0.6	47	INF
20	May_6_2016	42.58	46.01	45.39	44.04	43.67	42.5	42.87(0.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-38	-210	-25	-77	1.13	55%	-0.23	-14.2	3.55%	0	-1.7	38	INF

21	May_5_2016	42.68	46.16	45.97	44.58	44.57	43.23	42.65(-0.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-47	-210	-40	-66	0.96	55%	-0.3	4.1	3.58%	0	-2.1	38	INF
22	May_4_2016	42.81	46.32	46.63	45.43	45.47	44.84	42.91(-4.75%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-32	-90	-30	-38	0.96	51%	-0.26	38.5	3.6%	0	-2.3	38	INF
23	May_3_2016	42.92	46.52	47.08	46.1	46.26	45.91	45.05(-3.55%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-11	-40	-10	-15	0.78	54%	-0.14	81.8	3.63%	0	-1	48	INF
24	May_2_2016	42.98	46.44	47.24	46.6	46.46	46.09	46.71(2.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-12	-60	-15	-2	0.79	49%	-0.12	101.1	3.6%	0	0.2	61	INF
25	Apr_29_2016	43.03	46.27	47.25	46.98	46.9	46.6	45.58(-2.81%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-8	-50	-15	14	0.7	49%		112.9	3.73%	0	-0.4	62	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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