Trading Signals: NBIX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. May. 18, 2016

Trading Signals: NBIX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 10, 2015 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Neurocrine Biosciences Inc)
NBIX latest price $45.6400 (5.19%) ($43.1100 - $46.6600) on Wed. May. 18, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.4% (three month average)
RSI   46
Latest Price   $45.6400(5.19%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   NBIX advances 1.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   NBIX declines -1.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support NBIX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IBB(55%)    XBI(53%)    ARKG(43%)    IWO(41%)    XLV(39%)
Factors Impacting NBIX price   NBIX will decline at least -1.7% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-15%)    UUP(-7%)    TLT(-7%)    SHY(-5%)    IGOV(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.7% (StdDev 3.4%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 5.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $44.25(3.14%)
10 Day Moving Average   $43.94(3.87%)
20 Day Moving Average   $45.22(0.93%)
To recent high   -7.2%
To recent low   35.7%
Market Cap   $4.254b

Neurocrine Biosciences, Inc. operates as a product based bio-pharmaceutical company. It discovers, develops and intends to commercialize drugs for the treatment of neurological and endocrine related diseases and disorders. The company product includes INGREZZA. Neurocrine Biosciences was founded by Kevin C. Gorman and Wylie W. Vale on January 1992 and is headquartered in San Diego, CA.

$. NBIX price fluctuates within 4.56% (three month std-dev: 3.4%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160618

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_18_2016	41.99	45.22	43.94	44.25	44.35	44.58	45.64(5.19%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	5	40	11	-15	1.58	57%	-0.26	-29.2	3.4%	0	0.2	46	INF
2	May_17_2016	42.1	45.28	43.65	43.65	43.87	44.69	43.39(-4.93%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-5	150	7	-42	1.25	54%	-0.24	-35.4	3.4%	0	-0.9	42	INF
3	May_16_2016	42.2	45.43	43.81	43.91	43.64	44.12	45.64(4.56%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	3	60	18	-42	1.01	58%	0.09	-29.8	3.35%	0	0.1	43	INF
4	May_13_2016	42.16	45.48	43.86	43.76	43.63	43.05	43.65(1.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-16	-100	-1	-61	0.77	55%	-0.24	-25.6	3.32%	0	-0.9	33	INF
5	May_12_2016	42.26	45.63	44.04	43.61	43.81	43.15	42.94(0.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-31	-90	-14	-81	0.75	55%	-0.21	-26.4	3.34%	0	-1.3	30	INF

6	May_11_2016	42.35	45.83	44.42	43.55	43.73	44.2	42.65(-4.56%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-24	90	-3	-86	0.64	58%	-0.21	-25.3	3.35%	0	-1.7	28	INF
7	May_10_2016	42.44	46.03	44.79	43.6	43.49	44.47	44.69(-0.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-5	150	20	-79	0.57	63%	-0.16	-27.1	3.34%	0	-0.8	43	INF
8	May_9_2016	42.51	46.04	45.05	43.67	43.24	43.25	44.89(4.71%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-19	-30	2	-82	0.78	63%	-0.16	-21.5	3.38%	0	-0.6	47	INF
9	May_6_2016	42.58	46.01	45.39	44.04	43.67	42.5	42.87(0.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-38	-210	-25	-77	1.13	55%	-0.23	-14.2	3.55%	0	-1.7	38	INF
10	May_5_2016	42.68	46.16	45.97	44.58	44.57	43.23	42.65(-0.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-47	-210	-40	-66	0.96	55%	-0.3	4.1	3.58%	0	-2.1	38	INF

11	May_4_2016	42.81	46.32	46.63	45.43	45.47	44.84	42.91(-4.75%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-32	-90	-30	-38	0.96	51%	-0.26	38.5	3.6%	0	-2.3	38	INF
12	May_3_2016	42.92	46.52	47.08	46.1	46.26	45.91	45.05(-3.55%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-11	-40	-10	-15	0.78	54%	-0.14	81.8	3.63%	0	-1	48	INF
13	May_2_2016	42.98	46.44	47.24	46.6	46.46	46.09	46.71(2.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-12	-60	-15	-2	0.79	49%	-0.12	101.1	3.6%	0	0.2	61	INF
14	Apr_29_2016	43.03	46.27	47.25	46.98	46.9	46.6	45.58(-2.81%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-8	-50	-15	14	0.7	49%	-0.19	112.9	3.73%	0	-0.4	62	INF
15	Apr_28_2016	43.11	46.09	47.37	47.59	47.51	46.82	46.9(1.43%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-3	-110	-14	30	1.25	47%	-0.12	114.2	3.71%	0	0.3	57	INF

16	Apr_27_2016	43.16	45.75	47.38	48.05	47.96	47.21	46.24(-2.75%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-3	-120	-18	44	0.73	45%	-0.16	103.4	3.75%	0	0.2	56	INF
17	Apr_26_2016	43.23	45.34	47.4	48.19	48.32	48.21	47.55(-2.18%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	12	-10	-2	52	0.74	45%	-0.09	90.4	3.8%	0	0.6	54	INF
18	Apr_25_2016	43.27	44.85	47.14	47.95	48.1	48.72	48.61(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	24	100	12	60	0.52	45%	-0.12	80	3.81%	0	1	71	INF
19	Apr_22_2016	43.32	44.21	46.67	47.56	47.55	48.44	48.66(-1.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	32	130	22	60	0.95	45%	-0.07	79.1	3.84%	0	1.2	71	INF
20	Apr_21_2016	43.35	43.57	46.34	47.13	46.99	47.48	49.19(4.82%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	31	60	19	65	0.89	45%	-0.07	73.3	3.85%	0	1.4	76	INF

21	Apr_20_2016	43.38	42.89	45.93	46.67	46.58	46.67	46.93(1.27%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	22	10	5	71	0.83	47%	-0.16	70.7	3.8%	0	1	77	INF
22	Apr_19_2016	43.45	42.46	45.86	46.51	46.49	46.49	46.34(-0.71%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	29	-0	5	99	0.8	47%	-0.18	76	3.92%	0	0.9	81	INF
23	Apr_18_2016	43.53	41.95	45.55	46.18	46.23	46.5	46.67(0.28%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	38	40	11	117	1.11	47%	-0.27	73.1	3.94%	0	1.1	82	INF
24	Apr_15_2016	43.65	41.37	45.18	45.61	45.6	46.49	46.54(-0.68%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	43	140	12	134	1.04	47%	0.07	67.9	3.97%	0	1.2	84	INF
25	Apr_14_2016	43.62	40.74	44.7	45.41	45.14	45.96	46.86(1.58%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	56	110	21	160	1.21	52%		66.4	3.97%	0	1.4	85	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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