Trading Signals: NBIX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Apr. 21, 2016

Trading Signals: NBIX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 10, 2015 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Neurocrine Biosciences Inc)
NBIX latest price $49.1900 (4.82%) ($46.5100 - $49.6300) on Thu. Apr. 21, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.85% (three month average)
RSI   76
Latest Price   $49.1900(4.82%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   NBIX advances 1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   NBIX advances 3.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support NBIX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IBB(56%)    XBI(53%)    ARKG(43%)    IWO(41%)    XLV(39%)
Factors Impacting NBIX price   NBIX will decline at least -1.925% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-15%)    TLT(-8%)    UUP(-7%)    SHY(-5%)    IGOV(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.925% (StdDev 3.85%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 4.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $47.13(4.37%)
10 Day Moving Average   $46.34(6.15%)
20 Day Moving Average   $43.57(12.9%)
To recent high   -2.3%
To recent low   52.8%
Market Cap   $4.585b

Neurocrine Biosciences, Inc. operates as a product based bio-pharmaceutical company. It discovers, develops and intends to commercialize drugs for the treatment of neurological and endocrine related diseases and disorders. The company product includes INGREZZA. Neurocrine Biosciences was founded by Kevin C. Gorman and Wylie W. Vale on January 1992 and is headquartered in San Diego, CA.

$. NBIX price fluctuates within 9.46% (three month std-dev: 3.85%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 10 Average positive next day return: 2.03%(30%) Average negative next day return: -0.79%(70%) Sample size 10 Average positive next three day return: 3.98%(30%) Average negative next three day return: -3.39%(70%) Sample size 10 Average positive next weekly return: 7.12%(40%) Average negative next weekly return: -11.7%(60%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160521

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_21_2016	43.35	43.57	46.34	47.13	46.99	47.48	49.19(4.82%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	31	60	19	65	0.89	45%	-0.07	73.3	3.85%	0	1.4	76	INF
2	Apr_20_2016	43.38	42.89	45.93	46.67	46.58	46.67	46.93(1.27%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	22	10	5	71	0.83	47%	-0.16	70.7	3.8%	0	1	77	INF
3	Apr_19_2016	43.45	42.46	45.86	46.51	46.49	46.49	46.34(-0.71%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	29	-0	5	99	0.8	47%	-0.18	76	3.92%	0	0.9	81	INF
4	Apr_18_2016	43.53	41.95	45.55	46.18	46.23	46.5	46.67(0.28%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	38	40	11	117	1.11	47%	-0.27	73.1	3.94%	0	1.1	82	INF
5	Apr_15_2016	43.65	41.37	45.18	45.61	45.6	46.49	46.54(-0.68%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	43	140	12	134	1.04	47%	0.07	67.9	3.97%	0	1.2	84	INF

6	Apr_14_2016	43.62	40.74	44.7	45.41	45.14	45.96	46.86(1.58%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	56	110	21	160	1.21	52%	-0.21	66.4	3.97%	0	1.4	85	INF
7	Apr_13_2016	43.71	40.1	43.99	45.09	44.89	44.72	46.13(3.15%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	41	-40	3	153	0.69	49%	-0.21	66	4.35%	0	1.4	84	INF
8	Apr_12_2016	43.8	39.49	43.14	45.16	45.05	44.33	44.72(2.15%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	33	-120	-6	149	0.97	49%	-0.25	68.9	4.48%	0	1.2	67	INF
9	Apr_11_2016	43.91	39.02	42.42	44.81	45.23	45.07	43.78(-3.93%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	36	0	-3	154	0.96	48%	-0.25	68.7	4.49%	0	1.1	71	INF
10	Apr_8_2016	44.02	38.6	41.63	44.64	44.79	45.77	45.57(0.68%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	54	160	17	166	0.93	48%	-0.18	70.1	4.49%	0	1.7	77	INF

11	Apr_7_2016	44.1	37.98	40.62	43.84	44.13	45.4	45.26(-2.65%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	72	220	39	170	1.38	46%	-0.27	65	4.51%	0	1.9	79	INF
12	Apr_6_2016	44.22	37.38	39.63	42.69	42.73	43.8	46.49(8.22%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	70	180	41	157	1.38	45%	-0.18	54.5	4.53%	0	2.6	81	INF
13	Apr_5_2016	44.3	36.71	38.74	40.83	41.21	42.86	42.96(0.07%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	61	310	36	137	0.91	42%	-0.23	41.4	4.44%	0	2.1	78	INF
14	Apr_4_2016	44.4	36.33	38.01	39.67	39.88	41.65	42.93(3.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	71	330	53	123	1.88	40%	-0.2	33.5	4.44%	0	2.6	69	INF
15	Apr_1_2016	44.49	35.91	37.19	38.16	38.19	39.56	41.54(5.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	51	250	40	85	1.2	40%	-0.25	14.9	4.51%	0	2.8	68	INF

16	Mar_31_2016	44.6	35.62	36.4	36.92	36.84	38.11	39.55(6.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	37	230	30	57	2.11	38%	-0.29	-5.5	4.49%	0	2.5	69	INF
17	Mar_30_2016	44.73	35.62	35.83	36.12	35.97	36.82	37.15(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	18	150	12	36	1.1	35%	-0.36	-16.5	4.4%	0	1.1	64	INF
18	Mar_29_2016	44.89	35.53	35.52	36.36	35.81	35.56	37.17(4.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	15	-90	6	41	1.1	38%	-0.36	-7.3	4.4%	0	1.1	64	INF
19	Mar_28_2016	45.05	35.49	35.52	36.11	36.07	35.12	35.41(0.23%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-1	-190	-11	28	0.99	35%	-0.62	-14.8	4.44%	0	-0.1	48	INF
20	Mar_24_2016	45.33	35.61	35.35	36.04	36.21	36.06	35.33(-0.59%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	3	-10	-6	30	1.21	35%	-0.42	-14	4.44%	0	-0.2	51	INF

21	Mar_23_2016	45.52	35.7	35.2	35.73	35.99	37.03	35.54(-7.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	19	220	17	23	1.21	35%	-0.39	-16.8	4.48%	0	-0.1	47	INF
22	Mar_22_2016	45.7	35.77	35.02	35.44	35.14	36.36	38.35(6.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	26	220	33	6	1.11	37%	-0.33	-25.3	4.4%	0	1.6	46	INF
23	Mar_21_2016	45.85	35.64	34.54	34.58	34.38	34.95	35.9(2.4%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	2	100	14	-34	1.04	34%	-0.3	-44.8	4.3%	0	0.2	44	INF
24	Mar_18_2016	45.99	35.71	34.51	34.54	34.14	33.92	35.06(3.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-13	-80	-2	-45	1.82	34%	-0.33	-40.5	4.28%	0	-0.4	44	INF
25	Mar_17_2016	46.14	35.83	34.53	34.61	34.42	33.81	33.81(-0.73%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-20	-140	-8	-56	1.41	33%		-33.7	4.25%	0	-1.3	35	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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