Trading Signals: NBIX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Apr. 12, 2016

Trading Signals: NBIX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 10, 2015 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Neurocrine Biosciences Inc)
NBIX latest price $44.7200 (2.15%) ($42.4500 - $44.8000) on Tue. Apr. 12, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.48% (three month average)
RSI   67
Latest Price   $44.7200(2.15%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   NBIX advances 0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   NBIX advances 11.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support NBIX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IBB(56%)    XBI(54%)    ARKG(43%)    IWO(42%)    XLV(40%)
Factors Impacting NBIX price   NBIX will decline at least -2.24% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-15%)    TLT(-8%)    UUP(-7%)    SHY(-5%)    IGOV(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.24% (StdDev 4.48%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $45.16(-0.97%)
10 Day Moving Average   $43.14(3.66%)
20 Day Moving Average   $39.49(13.24%)
To recent high   -11.2%
To recent low   38.9%
Market Cap   $4.168b

Neurocrine Biosciences, Inc. operates as a product based bio-pharmaceutical company. It discovers, develops and intends to commercialize drugs for the treatment of neurological and endocrine related diseases and disorders. The company product includes INGREZZA. Neurocrine Biosciences was founded by Kevin C. Gorman and Wylie W. Vale on January 1992 and is headquartered in San Diego, CA.

$. NBIX price fluctuates within 10.99% (three month std-dev: 4.48%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 7 Average positive next day return: 3.1%(71%) Average negative next day return: -3.71%(29%) Sample size 7 Average positive next three day return: 7.18%(57%) Average negative next three day return: -2.6%(43%) Sample size 7 Average positive next weekly return: 6.16%(71%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.98%(29%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160512

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_12_2016	43.8	39.49	43.14	45.16	45.05	44.33	44.72(2.15%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	33	-120	-6	149	0.97	49%	-0.25	68.9	4.48%	0	1.2	67	0
2	Apr_11_2016	43.91	39.02	42.42	44.81	45.23	45.07	43.78(-3.93%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	36	0	-3	154	0.96	48%	-0.25	68.7	4.49%	0	1.1	71	0
3	Apr_8_2016	44.02	38.6	41.63	44.64	44.79	45.77	45.57(0.68%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	54	160	17	166	0.93	48%	-0.18	70.1	4.49%	0	1.7	77	0
4	Apr_7_2016	44.1	37.98	40.62	43.84	44.13	45.4	45.26(-2.65%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	72	220	39	170	1.38	46%	-0.27	65	4.51%	0	1.9	79	0
5	Apr_6_2016	44.22	37.38	39.63	42.69	42.73	43.8	46.49(8.22%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	70	180	41	157	1.38	45%	-0.18	54.5	4.53%	0	2.6	81	0

6	Apr_5_2016	44.3	36.71	38.74	40.83	41.21	42.86	42.96(0.07%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	61	310	36	137	0.91	42%	-0.23	41.4	4.44%	0	2.1	78	0
7	Apr_4_2016	44.4	36.33	38.01	39.67	39.88	41.65	42.93(3.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	71	330	53	123	1.88	40%	-0.2	33.5	4.44%	0	2.6	69	0
8	Apr_1_2016	44.49	35.91	37.19	38.16	38.19	39.56	41.54(5.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	51	250	40	85	1.2	40%	-0.25	14.9	4.51%	0	2.8	68	0
9	Mar_31_2016	44.6	35.62	36.4	36.92	36.84	38.11	39.55(6.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	37	230	30	57	2.11	38%	-0.29	-5.5	4.49%	0	2.5	69	0
10	Mar_30_2016	44.73	35.62	35.83	36.12	35.97	36.82	37.15(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	18	150	12	36	1.1	35%	-0.36	-16.5	4.4%	0	1.1	64	0

11	Mar_29_2016	44.89	35.53	35.52	36.36	35.81	35.56	37.17(4.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	15	-90	6	41	1.1	38%	-0.36	-7.3	4.4%	0	1.1	64	0
12	Mar_28_2016	45.05	35.49	35.52	36.11	36.07	35.12	35.41(0.23%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-1	-190	-11	28	0.99	35%	-0.62	-14.8	4.44%	0	-0.1	48	0
13	Mar_24_2016	45.33	35.61	35.35	36.04	36.21	36.06	35.33(-0.59%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	3	-10	-6	30	1.21	35%	-0.42	-14	4.44%	0	-0.2	51	0
14	Mar_23_2016	45.52	35.7	35.2	35.73	35.99	37.03	35.54(-7.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	19	220	17	23	1.21	35%	-0.39	-16.8	4.48%	0	-0.1	47	0
15	Mar_22_2016	45.7	35.77	35.02	35.44	35.14	36.36	38.35(6.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	26	220	33	6	1.11	37%	-0.33	-25.3	4.4%	0	1.6	46	0

16	Mar_21_2016	45.85	35.64	34.54	34.58	34.38	34.95	35.9(2.4%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	2	100	14	-34	1.04	34%	-0.3	-44.8	4.3%	0	0.2	44	0
17	Mar_18_2016	45.99	35.71	34.51	34.54	34.14	33.92	35.06(3.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-13	-80	-2	-45	1.82	34%	-0.33	-40.5	4.28%	0	-0.4	44	0
18	Mar_17_2016	46.14	35.83	34.53	34.61	34.42	33.81	33.81(-0.73%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-20	-140	-8	-56	1.41	33%	-0.41	-33.7	4.25%	0	-1.3	35	0
19	Mar_16_2016	46.33	35.97	34.78	34.58	34.7	34.37	34.06(-0.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-20	-60	-6	-60	0.8	35%	-0.32	-27.1	4.28%	0	-1.2	39	0
20	Mar_15_2016	46.48	36.17	35.21	34.5	34.67	34.37	34.07(-4.51%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-12	90	2	-53	1.11	35%	-0.28	-12.5	4.34%	0	-1.4	41	0

21	Mar_14_2016	46.61	36.33	35.54	34.44	34.44	35.03	35.68(0.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-6	120	8	-47	0.7	36%	-0.28	0	4.34%	0	-0.5	50	0
22	Mar_11_2016	46.74	36.35	35.64	34.5	34.31	34.31	35.44(5.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-10	-20	4	-51	0.86	36%	-0.26	1.5	4.34%	0	-0.6	44	0
23	Mar_10_2016	46.86	36.36	35.87	34.49	34.45	33.85	33.63(-0.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-27	-130	-16	-59	0.88	33%	-0.3	-4.1	4.28%	0	-1.9	36	0
24	Mar_9_2016	47	36.4	36.25	35.03	34.93	34.31	33.67(-0.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-34	-130	-28	-50	1.12	33%	-0.3	-11.5	4.3%	0	-1.9	43	0
25	Mar_8_2016	47.14	36.36	36.62	36.03	35.87	35.05	33.8(-6.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-24	-170	-21	-31	1.12	33%		-12.8	4.31%	0	-1.6	38	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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