Trading Signals: NBIX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Jan. 20, 2016

Trading Signals: NBIX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 10, 2015 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Neurocrine Biosciences Inc)
NBIX latest price $49.6700 (7.84%) ($43.6700 - $50.9700) on Wed. Jan. 20, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.9% (three month average)
RSI   39
Latest Price   $49.6700(7.84%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   NBIX advances 1.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   NBIX declines -7.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Growth stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support NBIX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IBB(58%)    XBI(56%)    ARKG(43%)    IWO(42%)    XLV(41%)
Factors Impacting NBIX price   NBIX will decline at least -1.95% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-16%)    TLT(-9%)    UUP(-6%)    SHY(-6%)    GLD(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.95% (StdDev 3.9%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 9.8%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $30.8(-37.99%)
Resistance Level   $49.93
5 Day Moving Average   $46.59(6.61%)
10 Day Moving Average   $46.78(6.18%)
20 Day Moving Average   $49.93(-0.52%)
To recent high   -13.8%
To recent low   18.7%
Market Cap   $4.629b

Neurocrine Biosciences, Inc. operates as a product based bio-pharmaceutical company. It discovers, develops and intends to commercialize drugs for the treatment of neurological and endocrine related diseases and disorders. The company product includes INGREZZA. Neurocrine Biosciences was founded by Kevin C. Gorman and Wylie W. Vale on January 1992 and is headquartered in San Diego, CA.

$. NBIX price fluctuates within 8.37% (three month std-dev: 3.9%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -2.5%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -11.53%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -17.37%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160220

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_20_2016	49.95	49.93	46.78	46.59	46.56	47.27	49.67(7.84%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-11	100	22	-109	1.46	53%	0.06	-37.4	3.9%	0	-0.1	39	0
2	Jan_19_2016	49.92	50.03	46.96	45.86	45.72	46.68	46.06(-3.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-20	140	17	-129	1.64	48%	0.06	-42.1	3.82%	0	-0.9	40	0
3	Jan_15_2016	49.89	50.37	47.55	45.57	45.39	45.86	47.6(-0.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-20	60	19	-137	7.83	53%	0.02	-47	3.78%	0	-0.7	41	0
4	Jan_14_2016	49.88	50.76	48.36	45.57	45.17	44.77	47.75(14.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-37	-70	-5	-132	2.58	53%	0.08	-45.4	3.93%	0	-0.8	47	0
5	Jan_13_2016	49.84	51.02	49.17	45.33	45.63	44.92	41.86(-9.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-66	-90	-39	-147	1.24	45%	0.02	-45.3	3.53%	0	-2.3	33	0

6	Jan_12_2016	49.83	51.55	50.65	46.98	46.75	45.58	46.02(3.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-56	-190	-38	-110	1.12	51%	0.1	-41.8	3.34%	0	-1.6	39	0
7	Jan_11_2016	49.78	51.86	51.39	48.26	47.96	46.33	44.6(-3.9%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-69	-260	-60	-94	1.12	51%	0.02	-37.5	3.32%	0	-2.3	33	0
8	Jan_8_2016	49.77	52.32	52.32	49.81	49.85	47.92	46.41(-2.79%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-63	-270	-62	-64	0.76	63%	0.04	-25.8	3.36%	0	-2.2	35	0
9	Jan_7_2016	49.75	52.62	52.87	51.84	51.45	49.59	47.74(-4.75%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-58	-280	-64	-39	0.86	63%	0.02	-7.8	3.65%	0	-2.2	32	0
10	Jan_6_2016	49.74	52.92	53.3	53.59	53.4	51.79	50.12(-4.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-37	-220	-47	-7	0.65	62%	0.06	16.5	3.61%	0	-1.5	45	0

11	Jan_5_2016	49.71	53.01	53.48	54.87	54.93	53.31	52.43(0.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.3	-16	-200	-29	23	0.46	65%	0.1	30.2	3.66%	0	-0.3	56	0
12	Jan_4_2016	49.66	53.06	53.45	54.98	55.46	55.01	52.35(-7.46%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.4	-9	-30	-21	29	1.35	65%	0.18	21.6	3.69%	0	-0.4	54	0
13	Dec_31_2015	49.57	53.01	53.5	55.16	55.29	56.55	56.57(0.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	34	170	28	52	1.59	74%	0.22	12.3	3.66%	0	1.9	59	0
14	Dec_30_2015	49.46	52.79	53.32	54.05	54.29	55.92	56.49(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	1.5	49	220	48	52	0.56	77%	0.22	-10.5	3.67%	0	2.2	63	0
15	Dec_29_2015	49.35	52.6	52.93	52.99	52.92	54.04	56.49(6.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.5	33	140	35	27	0.68	77%	0.2	-38.1	3.9%	0	2.7	57	0

16	Dec_28_2015	49.25	52.47	52.38	51.97	51.96	52.67	53.01(-0.45%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	13	100	16	2	0.47	65%	0.08	-68.9	3.83%	0	0.5	55	0
17	Dec_24_2015	49.21	52.67	52.24	51.74	51.7	51.81	53.25(4.35%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	3	10	7	-9	0.73	59%	0.08	-44	4.44%	0	0.4	49	0
18	Dec_23_2015	49.17	52.78	52.21	51.61	51.73	51.26	51.03(-0.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-17	-60	-17	-15	0.55	59%	0.04	-44.5	4.42%	0	-1	52	0
19	Dec_22_2015	49.15	52.97	52.28	52.49	52.57	51.59	51.15(-0.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-13	-130	-15	-5	0.31	59%	0.06	-29.9	4.43%	0	-1	48	0
20	Dec_21_2015	49.12	53.15	52.5	52.85	53.37	52.21	51.39(-0.93%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-11	-120	-15	1	0.52	55%	0.04	-17.6	4.45%	0	-1	47	0

21	Dec_18_2015	49.1	53.29	52.53	52.81	53.47	53.54	51.87(-1.37%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-7	50	-8	-4	1.48	55%	0.06	-13.7	4.58%	0	-0.8	45	0
22	Dec_17_2015	49.07	53.39	52.68	52.76	53.16	54.54	52.59(-5.12%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	11	200	16	-4	1.33	55%	0.08	-9.2	4.58%	0	-0.5	40	0
23	Dec_16_2015	49.03	53.58	52.54	52.86	52.48	53.4	55.43(4.64%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.4	19	100	28	-9	0.66	57%	0.14	5.4	4.53%	0	1	48	0
24	Dec_15_2015	48.96	53.5	52.23	52.09	51.97	51.78	52.97(3.44%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-7	-30	2	-35	0.75	55%	0.1	-2.1	4.5%	0	-0.3	46	0
25	Dec_14_2015	48.91	53.46	52.24	52.16	51.92	51.56	51.21(-0.76%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-18	-60	-9	-44	0.76	55%		-2.7	4.48%	0	-1.3	42	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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