Trading Signals: MTP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Dec. 14, 2017

Trading Signals: MTP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 5, 2016 - Tue. Jan. 14, 2020)

(Midatech Pharma plc)
MTP latest price $53.9700 (-1.87%) ($53.0000 - $55.5000) on Thu. Dec. 14, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   5.01% (three month average)
RSI   20
Latest Price   $53.9700(-1.87%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   MTP advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   MTP declines -7.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support MTP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
REMX(14%)    XBI(13%)    ARKG(11%)    IBB(11%)    FXI(9%)
Factors Impacting MTP price   MTP will decline at least -2.505% in a week (0% probabilities).
USO(-6%)    XLU(-5%)    UUP(-5%)    BNDX(-5%)    XLRE(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.505% (StdDev 5.01%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2.8%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $37.51(-30.5%)
Resistance Level   $59.69
5 Day Moving Average   $54.3(-0.61%)
10 Day Moving Average   $55.89(-3.44%)
20 Day Moving Average   $59.69(-9.58%)
To recent high   -51.6%
To recent low   2.8%
Market Cap   $569m

$. MTP price fluctuates within 9.7% (three month std-dev: 5.01%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 10 Average positive next day return: 2.99%(70%) Average negative next day return: -3.83%(30%) Sample size 10 Average positive next three day return: 2.77%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -4.27%(50%) Sample size 10 Average positive next weekly return: 5.01%(60%) Average negative next weekly return: -8.62%(40%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20180114

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_14_2017	90.67	59.69	55.89	54.3	54.38	54.53	53.97(-1.87%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-24	20	-2	-90	0	36%	-0.86	-52.2	5.01%	0	-1	20	INF
2	Dec_13_2017	91.46	60.23	56.52	54.01	54.25	54.98	55(-0.9%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-23	110	6	-111	0	36%	-0.85	-58.4	5.02%	0	-0.9	17	INF
3	Dec_12_2017	92.24	60.79	57.26	54.31	54.17	54.22	55.5(4.62%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-31	-0	-0	-122	0	36%	-0.86	-61	5.02%	0	-0.9	28	INF
4	Dec_11_2017	93.04	61.36	57.88	54.95	54.56	53.53	53.05(-1.76%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-51	-150	-26	-125	0	37%	-0.86	-61.1	4.98%	0	-1.5	44	INF
5	Dec_8_2017	93.85	62.06	58.98	56.44	56.18	54.12	54(2.86%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-49	-270	-33	-98	0	37%	-0.83	-59.7	5.02%	0	-1.5	55	INF

6	Dec_7_2017	94.64	62.87	60.36	57.74	57.84	55.58	52.5(-7.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-57	-270	-47	-85	0	40%	-0.86	-57.8	5%	0	-2	43	INF
7	Dec_6_2017	95.46	63.75	62.43	59.34	59.43	58.23	56.5(-3.72%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-36	-140	-32	-47	0	40%	-0.83	-55.7	5.09%	0	-1.5	45	INF
8	Dec_5_2017	96.26	64.43	63.74	60.59	60.39	60.09	58.69(-3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-16	-40	-14	-22	0	39%	-0.77	-52.7	5.16%	0	-1.2	45	INF
9	Dec_4_2017	97.01	65	63.98	61.25	61.18	60.63	60.5(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-12	-70	-8	-24	0	39%	-0.75	-49.6	5.17%	0	-1	46	INF
10	Dec_1_2017	97.74	65.46	63.48	61.95	61.77	60.69	60.5(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-31	-130	-26	-44	0	39%	-0.73	-50.1	5.21%	0	-1.1	47	INF

11	Nov_30_2017	98.46	65.98	63.87	63.45	63.02	61.72	60.5(-3.59%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-46	-160	-45	-47	0	39%	-0.77	-44.6	5.17%	0	-1.2	43	INF
12	Nov_29_2017	99.22	66.52	64.3	66.06	66.27	62.84	62.75(1.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-32	-350	-34	-26	0	38%	-0.69	-27.9	5.17%	0	-0.8	46	INF
13	Nov_28_2017	99.91	66.97	64.65	67.41	68.39	64.33	62(-3.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-49	-370	-56	-27	0	38%	-0.72	-21	5.18%	0	-1.1	44	INF
14	Nov_27_2017	100.63	67.37	65.15	67.03	69.48	69.7	64(-5.88%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-6	130	-3	-15	0	38%	-0.64	-26.2	5.18%	0	-0.7	46	INF
15	Nov_24_2017	101.28	67.85	65.4	65.03	67.48	72.45	68(-7.53%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	42	630	61	-14	0	39%	-0.89	-38.6	5.14%	0	0	50	INF

16	Nov_22_2017	102.19	68.08	65.53	64.25	63.16	69.26	73.54(5.81%)	N/A	N/A	0	2	62	630	87	-14	0	41%	-0.28	-39.6	5.03%	0	1.2	53	INF
17	Nov_21_2017	102.48	67.79	64.99	62.45	61.73	62.51	69.5(15.66%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.6	35	50	62	-45	0	37%	-0.85	-55.9	4.99%	0	0.4	49	INF
18	Nov_17_2017	103.36	67.93	64.94	61.8	61.2	57.07	60.09(11.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-77	-500	-65	-111	0	34%	-0.62	-59.9	4.66%	0	-1.7	30	INF
19	Nov_16_2017	104.01	68.56	65.94	63.17	63.4	60.94	54(-15.81%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-2.1	-91	-260	-85	-110	0	29%	-0.7	-55.8	4.4%	0	-3.3	19	INF
20	Nov_15_2017	104.74	69.62	67.61	65.67	65.93	65.34	64.14(-0.56%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-33	-50	-20	-71	0	32%	-0.62	-64.4	4%	0	-2	24	INF

21	Nov_14_2017	105.39	69.98	68.3	66.84	66.58	65.86	64.5(-2.64%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-32	-90	-22	-63	0	30%	-0.61	-64.6	4%	0	-2.1	29	INF
22	Nov_13_2017	106.04	70.42	68.97	67.84	67.46	66.53	66.25(-1.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-26	-110	-19	-46	0	30%	-0.58	-61.3	4.09%	0	-1.8	48	INF
23	Nov_10_2017	106.66	70.82	69.55	68.59	68.03	67.31	66.95(0.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-24	-100	-19	-39	0	33%	-0.63	-51.5	4.22%	0	-1.8	40	INF
24	Nov_9_2017	107.34	71.09	69.84	69.2	68.31	68.38	66.5(-5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-17	-30	-11	-34	0	33%	-0.62	-46.4	4.24%	0	-2.3	41	INF
25	Nov_8_2017	108.01	71.45	70.59	69.8	68.61	68.75	70(0.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-4	-40	2	-22	0	34%		-37.3	4.22%	0	-0.8	43	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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