Trading Signals: MTP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Jul. 10, 2017

Trading Signals: MTP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 5, 2016 - Tue. Jan. 14, 2020)

(Midatech Pharma plc)
MTP latest price $132.4950 (3.92%) ($127.5000 - $136.4950) on Mon. Jul. 10, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.1% (three month average)
RSI   45
Latest Price   $132.4950(3.92%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   MTP advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   MTP declines -0.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock rally for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support MTP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
KWEB(10%)    ARKK(8%)    REMX(8%)    TAN(8%)    ARKG(7%)
Factors Impacting MTP price   MTP will decline at least -1.55% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-4%)    XLP(-3%)    VIXM(-3%)    TBT(-3%)    IYT(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.55% (StdDev 3.1%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $129.77(2.1%)
10 Day Moving Average   $128.7(2.95%)
20 Day Moving Average   $130.02(1.9%)
To recent high   -10.2%
To recent low   6%
Market Cap   $1.398b

$. MTP price fluctuates within 2.54% (three month std-dev: 3.1%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 6 Average positive next day return: 1.12%(67%) Average negative next day return: -0.94%(33%) Sample size 6 Average positive next three day return: 3.43%(33%) Average negative next three day return: -3.15%(67%) Sample size 6 Average positive next weekly return: 4.03%(33%) Average negative next weekly return: -5.19%(67%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170810

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_10_2017	136.83	130.02	128.7	129.77	130.67	130.94	132.5(3.92%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	23	40	30	-0	0	48%	-0.16	-55.9	3.1%	0	0.8	45	0
2	Jul_7_2017	137.05	130.26	128.18	129.07	129.51	129.97	127.5(-1.44%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.5	-7	40	1	-30	0	46%	-0.17	-61.7	3.07%	0	-0.8	36	0
3	Jul_6_2017	137.28	130.59	128.81	128.57	128.98	130.4	129.37(-0.49%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	20	90	34	-23	0	44%	-0.23	-82.6	3.09%	0	-0.4	40	0
4	Jul_5_2017	137.6	131.08	129.06	127.9	128.09	129.06	130(0.39%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	19	60	33	-24	0	44%	-0.33	-78.1	3.14%	0	-0.3	53	0
5	Jul_3_2017	138.05	131.43	129	127.6	127.34	127.56	129.5(0.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-4	10	7	-37	0	44%	-0.22	-63.8	3.13%	0	-0.5	52	0

6	Jun_30_2017	138.35	131.9	129.53	127.5	127.35	127.56	129(3.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-12	-20	-5	-31	0	41%	-0.21	-48.6	3.21%	0	-0.7	55	0
7	Jun_29_2017	138.64	132.34	130.2	127.24	128.01	127.12	125(-0.79%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-29	-30	-24	-44	0	41%	-0.25	-47.8	3.18%	0	-1.6	37	0
8	Jun_28_2017	138.99	133.31	131.27	129.1	128.85	127.58	126(-1.95%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-40	-70	-42	-35	0	41%	-0.24	-22	3.18%	0	-1.6	44	0
9	Jun_27_2017	139.32	133.75	131.61	130.36	130.42	128.9	128.5(-0.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-29	-80	-27	-34	0	41%	-0.21	-17.7	3.19%	0	-1.2	40	0
10	Jun_26_2017	139.61	133.94	131.73	130.56	131.21	130.11	129(1.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-39	-40	-36	-47	0	41%	-0.21	-21.8	3.2%	0	-1.1	44	0

11	Jun_23_2017	139.91	134.06	131.56	131.86	131.36	131.93	127.68(-4.93%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-32	20	-26	-50	0	41%	-0.25	-23.1	3.22%	0	-1.3	41	0
12	Jun_22_2017	140.26	134.55	132.62	133.59	132.62	132.32	134.31(1.51%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	8	-40	17	-20	0	43%	-0.2	-13.1	3.17%	0	-0.1	47	0
13	Jun_21_2017	140.54	134.31	132.56	133.83	133.32	130.78	132.31(2.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-40	-140	-35	-53	0	43%	-0.18	-18.6	3.17%	0	-0.4	39	0
14	Jun_20_2017	140.8	134.53	133.26	133.07	133.79	132.92	129.51(-4.42%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-43	-30	-39	-54	0	43%	-0.31	-17.7	3.16%	0	-1.1	49	0
15	Jun_16_2017	141.24	134.9	134.06	132.97	133.09	135.86	135.5(-0.61%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	29	150	44	-15	0	45%	-0.24	-18.4	3.12%	0	0.1	55	0

16	Jun_13_2017	141.58	135.21	134.39	131.17	131.36	134.67	136.33(0.61%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	44	180	62	-11	0	45%	-0.15	-23.4	3.11%	0	0.2	57	0
17	Jun_12_2017	141.79	135.16	134.5	131.6	131.97	130.31	135.5(5.45%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	25	-80	39	-16	0	45%	-0.14	-22.6	3.13%	0	0.1	50	0
18	Jun_9_2017	141.99	135.2	135.33	131.3	131.84	128.06	128.5(-0.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-116	-190	-132	-68	0	40%	-0.15	-22.3	3.05%	0	-1.4	53	0
19	Jun_8_2017	142.21	135.39	135.98	133.6	134.84	133.62	129(1.97%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1	-57	-40	-67	-27	0	40%	-0.19	-14	3.09%	0	-1.4	47	0
20	Jun_7_2017	142.48	135.77	136.35	135.3	137.59	135.63	126.5(-8.66%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2	-17	-50	-22	-2	0	40%	-0.13	-7.1	3.09%	0	-2.1	45	0

21	Jun_6_2017	142.67	136.34	136.93	137.9	137.91	136.06	138.5(3.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-55	-90	-69	-14	0	44%	-0.03	6.7	2.9%	0	0.6	47	0
22	Jun_5_2017	142.71	136.25	136.76	137.8	138.84	139.56	134(-4.29%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1	-11	60	-17	8	0	42%	0.01	2.5	2.87%	0	-0.6	51	0
23	Jun_2_2017	142.7	136.28	136.36	139.98	139.13	139.75	140(1.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	28	10	26	35	0	44%	0	13.2	2.84%	0	1	53	0
24	Jun_1_2017	142.7	136.03	135.97	138.78	139.9	138.13	137.5(-1.43%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	25	-60	23	31	0	44%	0.01	-5.1	2.86%	0	0.4	57	0
25	May_31_2017	142.68	136.08	135.85	137.54	137.71	138.5	139.5(1.09%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	-23	40	-31	-0	0	44%		-20.2	2.88%	0	0.9	53	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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