Trading Signals: MTP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Apr. 7, 2017

Trading Signals: MTP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 5, 2016 - Tue. Jan. 14, 2020)

(Midatech Pharma plc)
MTP latest price $135.5000 (3.04%) ($125.0000 - $138.5000) on Fri. Apr. 7, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.66% (three month average)
RSI   42
Latest Price   $135.5000(3.04%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   MTP advances 0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   MTP declines -2.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support MTP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
GLD(10%)    GDX(8%)    IPO(7%)    SIL(7%)    XME(5%)
Factors Impacting MTP price   MTP will decline at least -1.83% in a week (0% probabilities).
BNDX(-8%)    PCY(-6%)    XLV(-4%)    XLRE(-4%)    XBI(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.83% (StdDev 3.66%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.3%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $130(-4.06%)
Resistance Level   $138.72
5 Day Moving Average   $134.6(0.67%)
10 Day Moving Average   $135.82(-0.24%)
20 Day Moving Average   $138.72(-2.32%)
To recent high   -15.8%
To recent low   3.8%
Market Cap   $1.43b

$. MTP price fluctuates within 2.83% (three month std-dev: 3.66%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0.46%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 0.15%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -1.17%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 1.22%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.02%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170507

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_7_2017	143.38	138.72	135.82	134.6	134.31	133.31	135.5(3.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-14	-60	-3	-47	0	45%	-0.1	-35.7	3.66%	0	-0.8	42	INF
2	Apr_6_2017	143.52	138.87	136.24	133.6	134.91	133.5	131.5(-4.01%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-32	-40	-22	-62	0	45%	-0.13	-43.4	3.66%	0	-1.9	42	INF
3	Apr_5_2017	143.71	139.21	137.52	134.9	133.94	135.31	137(2.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-29	50	-21	-54	0	47%	-0.17	-35	3.66%	0	-0.6	41	INF
4	Apr_4_2017	143.96	139.5	137.98	135	134.78	136.31	134(-0.74%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	30	70	48	-25	0	49%	-0.1	-31.1	3.65%	0	-1.6	45	INF
5	Apr_3_2017	144.1	139.85	138.98	135.8	134.84	132.56	135(3.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-30	-140	-25	-44	0	49%	-0.08	-30.5	3.69%	0	-1.5	47	INF

6	Mar_31_2017	144.21	140.13	139.75	137.3	136.09	133.24	130.5(-5.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.2	-74	-170	-80	-57	0	49%	-0.06	-21.3	3.68%	0	-3.1	38	INF
7	Mar_30_2017	144.29	140.57	140.81	139.2	138.59	137.11	138(0.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-32	-90	-34	-24	0	55%	0.01	-8.2	3.64%	0	-1	52	INF
8	Mar_29_2017	144.27	140.47	141.46	140.5	139.09	138.94	137.5(-0.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-27	-40	-33	-8	0	55%	0.01	-13.3	3.7%	0	-1.2	53	INF
9	Mar_28_2017	144.25	140.61	141.78	141.4	139.09	140.06	138.02(-3.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-1.3	7	-50	6	10	0	55%	-0.03	-19	3.7%	0	-1	45	INF
10	Mar_27_2017	144.3	140.86	141.95	141.4	140.88	139.25	142.5(1.79%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-31	-120	-41	-2	0	57%	0.05	-0.6	3.69%	0	0.7	53	INF

11	Mar_24_2017	144.23	140.8	141.89	141.4	141.8	141.69	140(-3.12%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.1	-11	-20	-18	9	0	57%	0.03	-22.5	3.71%	0	-0.3	51	INF
12	Mar_23_2017	144.19	140.79	141.75	141.4	142.63	142.5	144.51(1.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	20	-10	18	24	0	57%	0.04	-37.4	3.71%	0	1.4	59	INF
13	Mar_22_2017	144.13	140.81	141.03	142.62	141.39	141.91	142(-1.44%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-8	-0	-15	14	0	59%	0	-51.9	3.71%	0	0.4	61	INF
14	Mar_21_2017	144.13	141.09	141.1	142.22	142.05	142.76	144.08(1.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	38	30	39	36	0	56%	0.06	-62.3	3.74%	0	1	55	INF
15	Mar_20_2017	144.05	140.87	140.71	141.2	140.84	140.87	142.5(1.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	5	-10	2	13	0	56%	0.02	-96.8	3.78%	0	0.5	49	INF

16	Mar_17_2017	144.02	141.35	140.44	141.1	139.89	141.34	140(-3.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	8	50	6	12	0	56%	0.03	-78.9	3.77%	0	-0.3	49	INF
17	Mar_16_2017	143.98	141.79	140.27	140.7	140.22	140.81	144.5(3.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	44	20	50	26	0	56%	0.01	-83	3.78%	0	0.6	56	INF
18	Mar_15_2017	143.96	142.41	139.32	139.24	138.62	138.44	140(0.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-16	-20	-15	-20	0	56%	-0.04	-70.4	3.77%	0	-0.4	42	INF
19	Mar_14_2017	144.02	143	139.31	139.84	138.24	139.62	139(-2.11%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-1	40	5	-18	0	56%	-0.05	-67.5	3.77%	0	-0.7	38	INF
20	Mar_13_2017	144.09	143.87	139.67	140.14	138.8	138.81	142(2.9%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	22	-30	30	-3	0	56%	-0.02	-59.9	3.77%	0	-0.3	53	INF

21	Mar_10_2017	144.12	144.65	139.58	140.14	138.55	136.85	138(0.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-35	-110	-32	-43	0	58%	-0.03	-55.8	3.76%	0	-0.9	37	INF
22	Mar_9_2017	144.16	145.55	139.75	139.74	139.27	138.79	137.2(-4.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-23	-30	-15	-46	0	58%	-0.01	-57	3.79%	0	-1.1	41	INF
23	Mar_8_2017	144.17	146.58	140.6	139.3	138.9	140.25	143(1.78%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	1	60	18	-49	0	60%	0.01	-59.8	3.76%	0	-0.5	38	INF
24	Mar_7_2017	144.16	147.25	141.04	138.7	137.81	139.75	140.5(0.36%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	9	80	29	-53	0	60%	0	-60.8	3.76%	0	-0.8	42	INF
25	Mar_6_2017	144.16	148.05	141.01	139.2	137.56	137.55	140(1.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-8	-40	14	-73	0	60%		-58.9	3.78%	0	-1	39	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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